Sabalenka opens her 2025 Roland Garros run against Rakhimova with momentum and history on her side.
World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka begins her 2025 Roland Garros run against Kamilla Rakhimova. The Belarusian, who turned pro in 2015, owns 20 WTA singles titles, including Grand Slam wins at the 2023 and 2024 Australian Open and the 2024 US Open. Her best result in Paris was a semifinal finish in 2023.
Rakhimova, on the other hand, joined the tour in 2019 and has three doubles titles, most recently at the 2024 Copa Colsanitas with Cristina Bucsa. She’s still seeking her first big singles moment. They now meet again on the clay. The favorite is clear, but in tennis, underdogs don’t always follow the script. Will this be a routine win or a breakout upset? Let’s find out.
Aryna Sabalenka says she feels STRONGER than ever on clay ahead of #RolandGarros
— Liviefromparis 🇫🇷🤸🏼♀️🎾 (@Livieparis2024) May 23, 2025
"I'm thrilled to be back. I am excited to play my first match here. I've improved my clay game a lot over the years. Physically, mentally & in terms of tennis, I feel stronger than ever on clay pic.twitter.com/aeGuTMjfYb
Sabalenka has been dominant in 2025, reaching six finals and winning titles in Brisbane, Miami, and Madrid. With a 34-6 record, 126 aces, and 77.4% of service games won, she’s firmly justified her No. 1 ranking. She’s also winning 47.8% of return points and converting 48.7% of break points.
Aryna Sabalenka ☄️ #RolandGarros pic.twitter.com/k11NxzBhFX
— Roland-Garros (@rolandgarros) May 22, 2025
Rakhimova, ranked No. 75, has had a modest season. She holds an 8-15 record, with most main-draw exits in early rounds. Her highlights include a WTA 125K quarterfinal in Paris and Round of 16 finishes in Antalya and Lleida. Statistically, she’s posted 14 aces, 57.7% service games won, 26.8% return games won, and a 30.2% break point conversion rate.
Aryna Sabalenka leads the head-to-head against Kamilla Rakhimova 2-0. Their rivalry began on this very stage, Roland Garros in 2023, where Sabalenka cruised through in straight sets. A year later, they met again in Washington, D.C., and while Rakhimova pushed the match to three sets, she ultimately fell to the Tigress once more.
Now, the third chapter of their story returns to the red clay where it all began. But will Sabalenka roar again, or is it finally Rakhimova’s time to strike back? A win here for Rakhimova would be the biggest of her career and a shocking first-round exit for the world No. 1. But that’s a very big “if.”
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Washington DC | Round of 16 | Aryna Sabalenka | 7–5, 4–6, 6–4 |
| 2023 | Roland Garros | Round of 32 | Aryna Sabalenka | 6–2, 6–2 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | Category | Kamilla Rakhimova |
| 1 | Ranking | 75 |
| 450-194 | Career W-L | 224-168 |
| 34-6 | YTD W-L | 8-15 |
| 20 | Career Titles | 0 |
| 3 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 3 | YTD Titles | 0 |
Given Sabalenka’s dominant form, superior stats, and head-to-head edge, she’s the clear favorite. Rakhimova may put up resistance, but it’s hard to see an upset here.
Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka in straight sets
Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
Aryna Sabalenka: 1/50
Kamilla Rakhimova: 17/1
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mma I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.
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