$1,500
World No. 1 inches closer to another semifinal in Melbourne Park.
With defending champion Madison Keys out of the draw, two-time winner Aryna Sabalenka stands tall as the favorite to succeed at the Australian Open in 2026. She will look to exert her dominance over 18-year-old American Iva Jovic in the quarterfinals on Tuesday. The World No. 27 is yet to drop a set in Melbourne Park this year, and is set to line up the biggest upset of her young career. But with the bucketloads of experience and aggression that she brings, the tigress shall not back down.
Top seed Sabalenka has not lost a single competitive match in 2026. The Belarusian won the title here in 2023 and 2024, before finishing as the runner-up last year. A four-time Grand Slam champion, Sabalenka has a career win-loss record of 488-200. While the 27-year-old is no stranger to the deeper stages of majors, Jovic will be playing the biggest match of her life. The two-time Grand Slam winner in girls’ doubles captured her first WTA singles trophy at the Guadalajara Open in 2025.
According to the tennis betting odds on BetMGM, World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka (-625) is a clear favorite to win this match. Iva Jovic (+450) is the underdog, via BetMGM. Here’s how we are betting on Sabalenka vs Jovic in this nail-biting quarterfinal at the Australian Open 2026, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.
Given below are the latest odds for Aryna Sabalenka vs Iva Jovic from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.
| Market | BetMGM | FanDuel |
| Moneyline | Sabalenka (-625), Jovic (+450) | Sabalenka (-650), Jovic (+460) |
| Game Handicap | Sabalenka -5.5 (-104), Jovic +5.5 (-120) | Sabalenka -5.5 (-112), Jovic +5.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | >19.5 (-113), <19.5 (-110) | >19.5 (-112), <19.5 (-118) |
| Set Betting | Sabalenka 2-0 (-200) | Sabalenka 2-0 (-190) |
Our Pick: Iva Jovic +4.5 Games at +148
While players tend to go pound for pound with Sabalenka over one set, maintaining it across a best of three is the challenge. Under the soaring Melbourne heat and the pressure of a Grand Slam quarterfinal, Jovic will certainly have some nerves. There is no doubt that her ruthless attacking mindset has the potential to give Sabalenka some jitters. But taking her record in tiebreakers and at the Australian Open into account, the World No. 1 should prevail on Tuesday.
When we look at the 2026 stats of both women, Sabalenka has a far superior record on serve. She wins over 75% points on first serve, and saves a majority of the break points faced. On the other hand, Jovic relies less on her serve and more on her brute force from the baseline. Whether or not she can outhit and outthink her counterpart, remains to be seen.
All things considered, we are predicting a tight two set victory for Aryna Sabalenka. An outcome of Jovic with +4.5 on the game handicap is the best bet for this last eight duel.
The head-to-head between Sabalenka and Jovic is 0-0 ahead of the Australian Open 2026 quarterfinals. Stay tuned for further updates in this rivalry on the WTA Tour.
The Australian Open 2026 can be viewed live on a variety of streaming platforms and TV channels across the world. This includes Tennis Channel, Stan Sport, ESPN International, TSN, beIN Sports, SuperSport, Canal+, Sony Sports, Eurosport and TNT Sports – depending on where you are watching from.
| Date | January 27, 2026 |
| Time | 11:30 AM Local |
| Tournament | Australian Open 2026, Quarterfinal |
| Surface | Outdoor Hard Court |
| Court | Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne |
| TV/Streaming | Tennis Channel, Stan Sport, ESPN International, TSN, beIN Sports, SuperSport, Canal+, Sony Sports, Eurosport, TNT Sports |
(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)
