Jun 6 2023; Paris,France; Aryna Sabalenka tosses the ball to serve during her match against Elina Svitolina (UKR) on day 10 at Stade Roland-Garros.

tennis

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elina Svitolina Head to Head Record, Preview and Prediction for WTA Madrid Open 2025 Semifinal

Winner faces Swiatek or Gauff in the final.

Jun 6 2023; Paris,France; Aryna Sabalenka tosses the ball to serve during her match against Elina Svitolina (UKR) on day 10 at Stade Roland-Garros.

After overcoming a massive Marta Kostyuk hurdle in the previous round, World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka faces another Ukrainian in the form of Elina Svitolina on Thursday. Producing a supremely high level of tennis this week, the two players will clash for a spot in Saturday’s final. In all likelihood, the underdog Svitolina might receive the backing of Manolo Santana Stadium. Can she pull off an upset of magnificent proportions?

“You’re the best player in the world for a reason,” said Jessica Pegula after losing to Aryna Sabalenka in the Miami Open final recently. After all, the Belarusian has reached five finals in 2025 – winning two titles along the way. The 26-year-old powerful customer has repeatedly proven that she is one of the most consistent players on tour, when it comes to reaching the deep ends of the draw. A 7-6(4) 7-6(7) win over Kostyuk earned her a semifinal spot.

Having turned pro in 2010, Elina Svitolina is one of the few veterans from the last generation to still be thriving today. At the age of 30, Svitolina has managed to win a title and reach a semifinal this year. A former Olympic bronze medalist, she is on a 11-match winning streak without dropping a set. Svitolina thrashed the Madrid breakout star Moyuka Uchijima 6-2 6-1 in her quarterfinal encounter.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina Head to Head Record

Aryna Sabalenka leads the head to head against Elina Svitolina by 4-1 so far. Their last meeting was at Cincinnati in 2024.

Svitolina’s one and only victory over her three-time Grand Slam winning counterpart came at Strasbourg in 2020. Since then, it has been Belarusian domination through and through. The fact that three out of five matches between these players have gone to a deciding set suggests that there is little to choose between them.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2024 Cincinnati	Round of 16	Aryna Sabalenka	7-5 6-2
2024 Rome	Round of 16	Aryna Sabalenka	4-6 6-1 7-6(7)
2023 Roland Garros	Quarterfinal	Aryna Sabalenka	6-4 6-4
2020 Strasbourg	Semifinal	Elina Svitolina	6-2 4-6 6-4
2018 Wuhan	Round of 32	Aryna Sabalenka	6-4 2-6 6-1

Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina Titles Comparison

Aryna Sabalenka	Category	Elina Svitolina
3	Grand Slams	0
19	WTA Singles Titles	18
6	WTA Doubles Titles	2
8	WTA-1000 Titles	4
5	WTA-500 Titles	2
R2 (Tokyo 2020)	Olympics Best Performance	Bronze (Tokyo 2020)
No. 1	Current World Ranking	No. 17

Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina Madrid Open 2025 Prediction

It is important to remember that Aryna Sabalenka is a former champion at the Spanish capital. Having relinquished her trophy last year, she will be desperate to take it back home to Florida with her. While Svitolina’s strongest assets are her baseline game and court coverage, Sabalenka is someone who can make you feel like you’re in a confined space with her brutal ball striking. She will take extra risks vs the Ukrainian, and go for drop shots to test her vertical movement as opposed to lateral.

Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka in three sets.

Sabalenka d. Marta Kostyuk 7-6(4) 7-6(7)

Great match from both.

3 set points saved in set 2.

Aryna reaches her 3rd consecutive semifinal in Madrid.

This is also her 3rd consecutive WTA 1000 semifinal.

✅4th Madrid SF
✅Won 15 of last 16 matches in Madrid

Delivering.

🐅 pic.twitter.com/GFHs4HiiRj
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) April 30, 2025

Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina Madrid Open 2025 Betting Odds

Aryna Sabalenka Win: 8/15

Elina Svitolina Win: 9/5

Aryna Sabalenka

Betting

Coco Gauff

Elina Svitolina

Iga Swiatek

Madrid Open

Tennis

WTA

WTA 1000

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.