Andrey Rublev vs. Jesper de Jong Prediction, Odds and Best Bets (ATP Qatar Open 2026, Round of 32, February 17)

Defending champion is on the quest for a third trophy in Doha.

World No. 14 Andrey Rublev begins his title defense at the 2026 ATP Qatar Open with a tricky opening round battle against Jesper de Jong of the Netherlands on Tuesday. The Russian powerhouse may not have had the most fortuitous start to the year, but Doha is a venue where he has excelled over the years. Meanwhile, de Jong was in the midst of internal controversy after a shock loss vs India at the Davis Cup, and needs a string of results to revive his campaign. Can Rublev fend off the challenge of the Dutchman to remain on course for a third championship run at the Middle Eastern event?

Andrey Rublev falls on the floor and still wins the point.

Unreal recovery.

Hitting shots like this while seated on the floor is just ridiculous.

🤯
pic.twitter.com/jzq3q35CrS
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) May 11, 2024

Rublev and de Jong have previously met once on the ATP Tour, with the former World No. 5 comfortably emerging victorious. Rublev is a 10-time Grand Slam quarterfinalist who has also captured the Davis Cup trophy and an Olympic mixed doubles gold medal. With 17 singles successes to his name, he will start this match as the favorite. Unlike his opponent, de Jong is yet to lift a tour-level trophy above his shoulders. The 25-year-old is currently ranked No. 86 in the world, making him the second best Dutch sensation at the moment. He has made a 1-4 start to 2026, with his only victory coming against Sumit Nagal of India.

According to the tennis betting odds on BetMGM, Andrey Rublev is the favorite to win this clash with -715 odds on the moneyline. Jesper de Jong has been tagged as the underdog with pre-match odds of +480 on BetMGM. Here’s how we are betting on this Round of 32 encounter at the ATP Qatar Open 2026 in Doha, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.

Tournament & Round: ATP Qatar Open 2026, Round of 32
Surface: Outdoor Hard Court
Format: Men’s Singles, Best of Three Sets
Date & Start Time: February 17,
Court: Centre Court, Khalifa International Complex
Best Bet: Total Games <20.5 @ +105 as per BetMGM

Andrey Rublev vs Jesper de Jong Betting Odds

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Given below are the latest odds for Andrey Rublev vs Jesper de Jong from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.

Market	BetMGM	FanDuel
Moneyline	Rublev (-715), de Jong (+480)	Rublev (-630), de Jong (+450)
Game Handicap	Rublev -4.5 (+104), de Jong +4.5 (-134)	Rublev -4.5 (-108), de Jong +4.5 (-122)
Total Games	>21.5 (-110), <21.5 (-118)	>21.5 (-116), <21.5 (-116)
Set Betting	Rublev 2-0 (-215)	Rublev 2-0 (-185)

Andrey Rublev vs Jesper de Jong Predictions & Picks

Our Picks: Total Games Under 20.5 at +105 Odds

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Against a lower ranked player like de Jong, Rublev is naturally the clear favorite. The youngster is still rising up the ranks, and currently does not possess the weapons to displace the experienced superstars of the game. Meanwhile, the Russian has won a pair of Masters-1000 trophies and notched over 25 wins against Top-10 opponents. On hard courts, his 66% service point success rate puts him in a commanding position over most players. With a straight sets result more than likely, betting on the total games being under the 20.5 mark at +105 gains would be a wise choice.

Andrey Rublev Recent Form

Australian Open 2026: Round of 32
Hong Kong Tennis Open 2026: Semifinal

Jesper de Jong Recent Form

Rotterdam Open 2026: Round of 32
Davis Cup 2026: Round Robin (1-1)
Australian Open 2026: Round of 128
Adelaide International 2026: Qualifying
Hong Kong Tennis Open 2026: Round of 32

Andrey Rublev vs Jesper de Jong Head to Head Record

Andrey Rublev leads the head-to-head against Jesper de Jong by 1-0. In the Round of 32 of the 2025 Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell, the No. 4 seed brushed aside his counterpart with utmost disdain. The Doha Round of 32 will be the first meeting between these two players on a hard court.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Barcelona	Round of 32	Andrey Rublev	6-1 6-3

How to Watch Andrey Rublev vs Jesper de Jong at the ATP Qatar Open 2026?

The ATP Qatar Open 2026 can be streamed live on various platforms and channels, depending on which part of the world you are watching from. This includes Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.

Rublev Survives (Just) 🥵@andreyrublev converts on his 8th match point to defeat De Minaur 6-1 3-6 7-6 in Doha#QatarExxonMobilOpen pic.twitter.com/nWK0UlBcpB
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) February 20, 2025

Date	February 17, 2026
Time
Tournament	ATP Qatar Open, Round of 32
Surface	Outdoor Hard Court
Court	Centre Court, Khalifa International Centre
TV/Streaming	Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.

(Image Credits: Robert Deutsch, Imagn Images)

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.