$150
Defending champion is on the quest for a third trophy in Doha.
World No. 14 Andrey Rublev begins his title defense at the 2026 ATP Qatar Open with a tricky opening round battle against Jesper de Jong of the Netherlands on Tuesday. The Russian powerhouse may not have had the most fortuitous start to the year, but Doha is a venue where he has excelled over the years. Meanwhile, de Jong was in the midst of internal controversy after a shock loss vs India at the Davis Cup, and needs a string of results to revive his campaign. Can Rublev fend off the challenge of the Dutchman to remain on course for a third championship run at the Middle Eastern event?
Rublev and de Jong have previously met once on the ATP Tour, with the former World No. 5 comfortably emerging victorious. Rublev is a 10-time Grand Slam quarterfinalist who has also captured the Davis Cup trophy and an Olympic mixed doubles gold medal. With 17 singles successes to his name, he will start this match as the favorite. Unlike his opponent, de Jong is yet to lift a tour-level trophy above his shoulders. The 25-year-old is currently ranked No. 86 in the world, making him the second best Dutch sensation at the moment. He has made a 1-4 start to 2026, with his only victory coming against Sumit Nagal of India.
According to the tennis betting odds on BetMGM, Andrey Rublev is the favorite to win this clash with -715 odds on the moneyline. Jesper de Jong has been tagged as the underdog with pre-match odds of +480 on BetMGM. Here’s how we are betting on this Round of 32 encounter at the ATP Qatar Open 2026 in Doha, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.
Given below are the latest odds for Andrey Rublev vs Jesper de Jong from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.
| Market | BetMGM | FanDuel |
| Moneyline | Rublev (-715), de Jong (+480) | Rublev (-630), de Jong (+450) |
| Game Handicap | Rublev -4.5 (+104), de Jong +4.5 (-134) | Rublev -4.5 (-108), de Jong +4.5 (-122) |
| Total Games | >21.5 (-110), <21.5 (-118) | >21.5 (-116), <21.5 (-116) |
| Set Betting | Rublev 2-0 (-215) | Rublev 2-0 (-185) |
Our Picks: Total Games Under 20.5 at +105 Odds
Against a lower ranked player like de Jong, Rublev is naturally the clear favorite. The youngster is still rising up the ranks, and currently does not possess the weapons to displace the experienced superstars of the game. Meanwhile, the Russian has won a pair of Masters-1000 trophies and notched over 25 wins against Top-10 opponents. On hard courts, his 66% service point success rate puts him in a commanding position over most players. With a straight sets result more than likely, betting on the total games being under the 20.5 mark at +105 gains would be a wise choice.
Andrey Rublev leads the head-to-head against Jesper de Jong by 1-0. In the Round of 32 of the 2025 Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell, the No. 4 seed brushed aside his counterpart with utmost disdain. The Doha Round of 32 will be the first meeting between these two players on a hard court.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2025 Barcelona | Round of 32 | Andrey Rublev | 6-1 6-3 |
The ATP Qatar Open 2026 can be streamed live on various platforms and channels, depending on which part of the world you are watching from. This includes Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.
| Date | February 17, 2026 |
| Time | |
| Tournament | ATP Qatar Open, Round of 32 |
| Surface | Outdoor Hard Court |
| Court | Centre Court, Khalifa International Centre |
| TV/Streaming | Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN. |
(Image Credits: Robert Deutsch, Imagn Images)
