Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Andrey Rublev vs Adrian Mannarino Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for Wimbledon 2025 Round 3

Rublev has won the last two matches against Mannarino

Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

After another day of high quality entertainment of grass-court tennis, we now begin with the first day of round three matches at Wimbledon 2025. The 14th seed, Andrey Rublev, will take to the No. 3 court for his match against Adrian Mannarino, with the winner facing a potential round 4 clash with defending Champion Carlos Alcaraz.

Andrey Rublev vs Adrian Mannarino Preview

Rublev has made his way to the third round after a couple of four-set wins over Laslo Djere and Lloyd Harris respectively. While the Russian hasn’t been in the best of form, he has played well enough to take confidence into today’s match.

Rublev did very well to counter the powerful serves of Lloyd in the last match. Despite hitting 25 aces, the South African was unable to break Rublev’s game, who came to the net 26 times and won the point on 23 occasions.

Rublev d. Harris 6-7 6-4 7-6 6-3

Andrey looks like he's finding his confidence.

After dropping the first set, he recovered and looked a lot more comfortable.

✅3rd Wimbledon R3

Getting better and better 🤍 pic.twitter.com/ES5xptBURJ
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) July 2, 2025

Heading into Wimbledon, Frenchman Adrian Mannarino has played quite a few matches on grass. As a qualifier, Mannarino has already played five matches at SW19 this year, but today’s match will be the toughest test so far.

Mannarino overcame fellow countryman Valentin Royer in the second round with a four-set victory. He served 18 aces and had just 32 unforced errors in comparison to Royer, who had 47, which is where the match saw the biggest difference. However, his first serve percentage was only 60%.

Andrey Rublev vs Adrian Mannarino Head-to-Head Record

Rublev and Mannarino have faced off against one another four times before their clash today. The Russian holds a 3-1 lead in the head-to-head rivalry, which started in 2019 in Moscow.

However, the pair have contested all four matches on hard courts, and today’s encounter at Wimbledon will be their first on grass. Rublev has won the last two times they have played.

Year	Event	Round	Winner	Score
2023	Shanghai Masters	Round of 32	Andrey Rublev	6-3, 6-0
2022	Astana	Quarterfinal	Andrey Rublev	6-1, 6-2
2021	Moscow	Round of 16	Adrian Mannarino	5-7, 7-6, 6-3
2019	Moscow	Final	Andrey Rublev	6-4, 6-0

Andrey Rublev opens up about his mental health and how Marat Safin has helped him get to a better place 🫶

Hard not to love these two 🥹 #Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/pbWTW33v1v
— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) July 2, 2025

Andrey Rublev vs Adrian Mannarino Comparison

Andrey Rublev	Category	Adrian Mannarino
14	Ranking	123
353-198	Career W-L	305-349
18-14	YTD W-L	2-6
17	Career Titles	5
0	Grand Slams	0
1	YTD Titles	0

Andrey Rublev vs Adrian Mannarino Wimbledon 2025 Prediction

Rublev will be seen as the favorite heading into this match, but that is not to say that Mannarino can’t pull off an upset. The Russian has played a consistent brand of tennis, and his ability to win points at the net could be crucial yet again. He will have to continue moving well on the court, especially against the slice backhand, which the Frenchman possesses.

As for Mannarino, this will be a big test for him, and he will have to improve his first serve percentage against a player of Rublev’s quality. He will also need to be more clinical when break point chances come his way. In his last match, he was able to break only twice from 11 opportunities, and that won’t cut it against the Russian.

Match Prediction: Rublev wins in four sets

Andrey Rublev vs. Adrian Mannarino Wimbledon 2025 Betting Odds

As per BetMGM, Rublev is the favorite with a 72% chance of winning this match. The money line for this match also has the Russian as the favorite to win by a big margin. (Sourced from BetMGM).

As for the number of games and sets, the betting odds by BetMGM reflect that Rublev is favored to win the match in four sets.

Bet	Andrey Rublev	Adrian Mannarino
Match Odds	8/25	47/20

The over-under for the number of sets and games in this match is as follows:

Total Sets – Over 3.5: 11/20
Total Sets – Under 4.5: 3/10

Total Games won by Mannarino – Over 18.5: 9/10
Total Games – Over 38.5: 17/20
Total Games – Under 38.5: 10/11

Mannarino to win at least one set: 2/5
Total Tiebreaks – Under 0.5: 11/8

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals, and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Adrian Mannarino

Andrey Rublev

Tennis

Wimbledon

Wimbledon 2025

Devavrat Kulkarni

nfl

I am a content writer for the NFL team, and joined The Playoffs after working with Sportskeeda and NFL Analysis as an NFL writer. After starting my professional career as a French-to-English translator, working as a content writer is a new adventure for me. I started out in the sports media field for two main reasons: my love for sports in general, especially the NFL, NBA, and Tennis, as well as my passion for writing. The best part of this job is that I get to write a variety of pieces with the freedom to explore content from various angles. It also enables me to stay up to date with the sporting world, which otherwise can be difficult to do in the day-to-day grind. In a world full of chaos, sports unite and entertain like nothing else!