Beijing braces for Anisimova’s firepower against Paolini’s fearless form
Third seed Amanda Anisimova will meet sixth seed Jasmine Paolini in the China Open 2025 quarterfinals. Both received first-round byes, with Anisimova cruising past Katie Boulter and wild card Shuai Zhang in straight sets before staging a comeback win over 13th seed Karolina Muchova. Paolini has yet to drop a set, defeating Anastasija Sevastova, 27th seed Sofia Kenin, and Marie Bouzkova in commanding fashion.
Amanda Anisimova comes back to beat Karolina Muchova and reach the Beijing WTA 1000 QFs.
— José Morgado (@josemorgado) September 30, 2025
Fun match and her great season continues. pic.twitter.com/MQ4nKIzNXV
Anisimova, currently at a career-high world No. 4, has made a remarkable comeback since her mental health break in May 2023. She returned in 2024 and hit her stride in 2025, reaching finals at Wimbledon and the US Open before falling to Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka. Her season highlights include a Doha title over Jelena Ostapenko, semifinals in Charleston, and a finals run in London. Across 52 matches, she’s hit 183 aces, winning 65.5% of first-serve points, with 45.4% return points and a 44.4% break-point conversion rate.
✅She won the title in Rome (both singles and doubles)
— Mario Boccardi (@boccardi_marioo) September 21, 2025
✅She won another Billie Jean King Cup title
Italy can't thank Jasmine Paolini enough
Absolute LEGEND of Italian sports pic.twitter.com/Q8W1RJzTC4
Paolini, ranked No. 8 in singles and No. 5 in doubles, has been a breakout force. Her season featured a breakthrough Rome title over Coco Gauff and a Cincinnati finals run. She has also reached semifinals in Miami, Stuttgart, and Bad Homburg, and captured doubles titles in Doha, Rome, and Roland Garros alongside Sara Errani. And most recently, she lifted the Billie Jean Cup, defeating Jessica Pegula. In 50 matches, Paolini has struck 66 aces, won 62.1% of first-serve points, and converted 48.3% of break points.
Amanda Anisimova holds a 1-0 edge over Jasmine Paolini, their only meeting coming in Parma 2021, where the American prevailed in straight sets.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Parma | Round of 32 | Amanda Anisimova | 6-2, 6-1 |
| Amanda Anisimova | Category | Jasmine Paolini |
| 4 | Current Ranking | 8 |
| 200-114 | Career W-L | 421-285 |
| 39-16 | YTD W-L | 35-15 |
| 3 | Career Titles | 3 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 1 |
Anisimova’s firepower and recent consistency give her the edge, but Paolini’s undefeated run in Beijing and proven big-match experience make this a highly competitive contest. Still, the American has the edge.
Tough to watch but what a season from Anisimova.
— José Morgado (@josemorgado) September 6, 2025
2 Slam finals
1 WTA 1000 title
World #4 on Monday
Will almost surely make her WTA Finals debut.
A lot to be proud of. pic.twitter.com/mAyNQneSxI
Prediction: Amanda Anisimova in straight sets
With Anisimova favored at -174 and Paolini at +142, the odds lean toward Anisimova edging through, though Paolini’s form can create hurdles, stretching the match, if not a straight-set win.
Here are the betting odds according to FanDuel:
Amanda Anisimova: -174
Jasmine Paolini: +142
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via FanDuel):
Set 1 Winner Anisimova: -154
Set 1 Winner Paolini: +116
Set 2 Winner Anisimova: -182
Set 2 Winner Paolini: +136
(According to FanDuel: FanDuel offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Image Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images
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mma I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.
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