Winner to face Carlos Alcaraz in the SF.
The No. 3 and No. 4 ranked players in the world will lock horns, as Alexander Zverev and Taylor Fritz are set to compete for a spot in the 2025 Six Kings Slam semifinal on Wednesday. Although the American has the clear-cut advantage in the rivalry, the exhibition tournament in Riyadh is an uncharted territory for both players. The winner of this highly anticipated contest will face World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz in the final four. Today, we will break down the head-to-head, predictions and betting odds for you (via BetMGM).
Alexander Zverev and Taylor Fritz have already faced each other twice this year. The 28-year-old German is a three-time Grand Slam runner-up, and has one title to his name this year. He won the BMW Open in Munich, and also finished as a finalist at the Australian Open and in Stuttgart. Zverev is a former Olympic gold medalist, and has been ranked as high as No. 2 in the world. Since his Round of 32 exit at the US Open, Sascha has won 3 matches and lost 4 of them. Yet, his impressive 48-21 record speaks volumes of his mental fortitude.
When it comes to American men’s tennis, Fritz is the poster-boy. A former finalist at Flushing Meadows, the 27-year-old led Team World to an iconic Laver Cup triumph in September. During the grass court swing, Fritz picked up two titles in Stuttgart and Eastbourne. The World No. 4 was also the runner-up in Tokyo, and displayed supreme consistency with semifinal finishes at big events like Wimbledon, Miami Open and Canada Masters. Fritz has garnered an incredible 50 tour-level wins in 2025 – including a 90% success rate on his own service games.
Taylor Fritz has a 9-5 record in the head-to-head against Alexander Zverev. He has won the last six encounters against the German powerhouse.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2025 Laver Cup | Round Robin | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2025 Stuttgart | Final | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 7-6(0) |
| 2024 Nitto ATP Finals | Semifinal | Taylor Fritz | 6-3 3-6 7-6(3) |
| 2024 Laver Cup | Round Robin | Taylor Fritz | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024 US Open | Quarterfinal | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(2) 3-6 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2024 Wimbledon | Round of 16 | Taylor Fritz | 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 6-3 |
| 2024 Rome | Quarterfinal | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023 United Cup | Round Robin | Taylor Fritz | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2022 ATP Cup | Round Robin | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021 Indian Wells | Quarterfinal | Taylor Fritz | 4-6 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2021 Wimbledon | Round of 32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-7(3) 6-4 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2019 Basel | Round of 32 | Taylor Fritz | 7-6(7) 6-4 |
| 2018 Wimbledon | Round of 64 | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 5-7 6-7(0) 6-1 6-2 |
| 2016 Washington | Round of 32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 6-2 |
| Alexander Zverev | Category | Taylor Fritz |
| 3 | Current Ranking | 4 |
| 511-219 | Career W-L Record | 334-209 |
| 48-21 | YTD W-L Record | 50-19 |
| 24 | Career Titles | 10 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 2 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
Among the top ranked players in the world, it can be argued that Taylor Fritz is one of the most in-form players. The American peaked at a very high level at the Laver Cup, and followed it up by wreaking havoc at the Japan Open. One of the criticisms against Zverev’s game is his inability to take charge and finish off points – something that Fritz might look to exploit. Unless the World No. 3 is not afraid to go for the lines and attack the net to keep the rallies short, it will be Fritz who is likely to advance.
Prediction: Taylor Fritz in three sets.
While the odds market is constantly fluctuating for this battle, Taylor Fritz (3/5) has a slight advantage against underdog Alexander Zverev (13/10). According to the implied probability on the money line, Fritz’s 61% likelihood of emerging victorious gives him the edge. Given below are the result odds and set-specific events (as per BetMGM):
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
(Image Credits: Robert Deutsch, Imagn Images)
