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Alexander Zverev vs. Matteo Berrettini Prediction, Odds and Best Bets (ATP Indian Wells 2026, Round of 64, March 6)

Sankalp Harikrishnan

No. 4 seed takes on former Wimbledon finalist for a spot in R3.

Two of the best servers from this generation will meet in the early stages of Indian Wells, as Alexander Zverev takes on Matteo Berrettini in the 2026 BNP Paribas Open R64 on Friday. The No. 4 seed received a bye in Round-1, and will be hoping to make a deep run after his Australian Open heartbreak. On the other hand, Berrettini dug deep to oust French veteran Adrian Mannarino in three tight sets. The two players share history between them, with the rivalry originating in 2018. Let’s take a look at the preview and predictions ahead of Zverev vs Berrettini.

Alexander Zverev has been a consistent name in the Top-10 for close to a decade now. The 28-year-old German has over 500 tour-level wins and 24 singles trophies to his name. In 2026, Sascha started with an average outing at the United Cup before losing to Carlos Alcaraz in the Australian Open semis. Matteo Berrettini has the edge over the World No. 4 in terms of recency bias. The former Wimbledon runner-up beat Zverev in their last two meetings, and boasts 10 singles titles in his career. A former World No. 6, Berrettini is currently ranked No. 66 in the world.

According to the tennis betting odds on FanDuel, Alexander Zverev (-320) is the favorite in this high profile Round of 64 contest. However, Matteo Berrettini (+250) cannot be counted out despite his partially unfavorable odds. Here’s how we are betting on this Round of 64 duel at the ATP BNP Paribas Open 2026 at Indian Wells, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.

  • Tournament & Round: ATP BNP Paribas Open 2026, Round of 64
  • Surface: Outdoor Hard Court
  • Format: Men’s Singles, Best of Three Sets
  • Date & Start Time: March 6,
  • Court: Stadium 1, Indian Wells Tennis Garden
  • Best Bet: Set-1 to Have 9+ Aces @ +200 as per FanDuel
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Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini Betting Odds

Given below are the latest odds for Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.

MarketBetMGMFanDuel
MoneylineZverev (-400), Berrettini (+300)
Zverev (-320), Berrettini (+250)
Game Handicap

Total Games

Set Betting

Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini Predictions & Picks

Our Pick: Over 9 Aces in Set-1 at +200 Odds.

Alexander Zverev Recent Form

  • Acapulco Open 2026: Round of 16
  • Australian Open 2026: Semifinal
  • United Cup 2026: Round Robin (1-1)

Matteo Berrettini Recent Form

  • Chile Open 2026: Round of 32
  • Rio Open 2026: Quarterfinal
  • Argentina Open 2026: Round of 16

Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini Head to Head Record

Alexander Zverev has a record of 4-3 in the rivalry against Matteo Berrettini. However, the 6’5” Italian won their previous two encounters in tight fashion. When it comes to hard courts, Zverev is unbeaten (2/2) against Berrettini so far. The Indian Wells Round of 64 is set to be their first meeting in close to a year.

EventRoundWinnerScore
2025 Monte CarloRound of 32Matteo Berrettini2-6 6-3 7-5
2023 WimbledonRound of 32Matteo Berrettini6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5)
2021 Nitto ATP FinalsRound RobinAlexander Zverev7-6(7) 1-0 RET.
2021 MadridFinalAlexander Zverev6-7(8) 6-4 6-3
2019 ShanghaiSemifinalAlexander Zverev6-3 6-4
2019 RomeRound of 32Matteo Berrettini7-5 7-5
2018 RomeRound of 32Alexander Zverev7-5 6-2

How to Watch Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini at the ATP Indian Wells Masters 2026?

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The ATP Indian Wells 2026 can be streamed live on various platforms and channels, depending on which part of the world you are watching from. This includes Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.

DateMarch 6, 2026
Time11:00 AM Local
TournamentATP BNP Paribas Open, Round of 64
SurfaceOutdoor Hard Court
CourtStadium 1, Indian Wells Tennis Garden
TV/StreamingTennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.

(Image Credits: Susan Mullane, Imagn Images)

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.

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