Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Alexander Zverev vs. Arthur Rinderknech Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for Wimbledon 2025 First Round

Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Third seed Alexander Zverev opens his Wimbledon 2025 campaign against France’s Arthur Rinderknech, looking to shake off his history at the All England Club, the only Slam where he’s yet to reach a final. The world No. 3 arrives with solid form after a semifinal run in Halle, and with his game clicking on grass, expectations are high.

Rinderknech, meanwhile, hasn’t had the smoothest lead-in, falling early at the Mallorca Championships and having had no ATP win yet. His best Wimbledon result so far remains a second-round appearance last year, and facing a red-hot Zverev in round one is no easy task. Still, it’s grass and surprises are never out of the question in this first-ever match-up.

Alexander Zverev practised with Novak Djokovic at Wimbledon today 💚🤍💜#Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/JI3t5yhV0T
— szg (@saschashoulders) June 25, 2025

Alexander Zverev vs. Arthur Rinderknech Preview

It’s been a solid, if slightly uneven, season for Zverev. The world No. 3 picked up his 24th career title in Munich, beating Ben Shelton in straight sets, and opened the year strong with a final run at the Australian Open, falling to Jannik Sinner in three sets. He followed that with back-to-back quarterfinals in Argentina and Rio before a brief dip. Since then, it’s been steady with quarterfinals in Rome and Roland Garros and recent finals in Stuttgart and semis in Halle.

Zverev’s numbers support the consistency: 332 aces, 74% first-serve points won, a 32% return rate on first serves, and 43% break point conversion on 345 opportunities.

Alexander Zverev wins his third Munich title 🏆🏆🏆#BMWOpen pic.twitter.com/xsUvFmKi2i
— TNT Sports (@tntsports) April 20, 2025

Rinderknech, meanwhile, has had a quiet season, with no main-draw appearances past the second round, except at Queen’s, where he reached the quarterfinals, falling to eventual champ Carlos Alcaraz. A week later, he exited in the second round at Mallorca, losing to Felix Auger-Aliassime.

The Frenchman has logged 218 aces, with a strong 75% first-serve win rate, but limited impact on return with just 23% on first-serve returns and 29% break point conversion on 110 chances.

Arthur Rinderknech moves into his first @atptour quarter-final since July! 👏#HSBCChampionships pic.twitter.com/0WTDJVDJjY
— HSBC Championships (@QueensTennis) June 19, 2025

Alexander Zverev vs. Arthur Rinderknech Head-to-Head Record

Alexander Zverev and Arthur Rinderknech do not have a head-to-head yet.

Alexander Zverev vs. Arthur Rinderknech Comparison

Alexander Zverev	Category	Arthur Rinderknech
3	Current Ranking	72
498-211	Career W-L	82-98
35-13	YTD W-L	8-17
24	Career Titles	0
0	Grand Slams	0
1	YTD Titles	0

Alexander Zverev vs. Arthur Rinderknech Prediction

Zverev enters with form and firepower on his side. His season may have had minor dips, but the German has consistently gone deep at big events and boasts far superior return numbers. Rinderknech’s serve can hold up, but his struggles on return and lack of top-tier wins this year leave him vulnerable.

Zverev on Wimbledon

“I had pretty good prep. Played a final, played a semi, worked through those tournaments. I think people are forgetting I’m #3 in the world and #3 in the race…I feel like my form is coming back the last few weeks..I think I can play well here..”

🎥: AELTC pic.twitter.com/vcObvzle3p
— TennisONE App (@TennisONEApp) June 29, 2025

Prediction: Alexander Zverev in straight sets

Alexander Zverev vs. Arthur Rinderknech Wimbledon 2025 Betting Odds

With Zverev listed at 1/10 and Rinderknech a heavy underdog at 11/2, the odds paint a clear picture. Zverev’s recent semifinal and final appearances, combined with a strong statistical edge, especially on return and break points, support the bookmakers’ stance.

Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:

Alexander Zverev: 11/2

Arthur Rinderknech: 1/10

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):

Total Games Over 37.5: 22/25

Total Games Under 37.5: 22/25

Total Games won by Zverev Over 20.5: 17/20

Total Games won by Rinderknech Over 16.5: 10/11

Total Sets Over 3.5: 17/20

Total Sets Under 3.5: 10/11

(All Odds According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Alexander Zverev

Arthur Rinderknech

Wimbledon 2025

Rudra Dubey

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.