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Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Club Predictions, Picks & Odds for February 17, 2026

Moumita Dutta

The UEFA Champions League knockout playoff first leg between Borussia Dortmund and Atalanta BC will be held on Tuesday, February 17, 2026, at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany. It pairs a recent finalist with a resurgent Serie A side that finished higher in the league phase. 

Dortmund’s formidable home record in Europe meets Atalanta’s aggressive, transition-heavy style, creating a compelling tactical clash. Both clubs are carrying strong domestic momentum as they chase a place in the last 16.

You can find more of our soccer predictions on our main picks hub. Here’s how we’re betting Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta tonight, including our Best Bet, a Same-Game Parlay, and key trends to know.

Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Match Details

  • Competition: Champions League
  • Date & kickoff: Tuesday, February 17, 2026 – 3:00 PM ET / 8:00 PM GT
  • Venue: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Germany
  • Expected XIs: Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1 vs Atalanta 3-4-2-1

Best Bet for Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta

Our best bet for Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta is Serhou Guirassy to Score at +110 (BetMGM) / +110 (FanDuel).

Across Dortmund’s last 10 matches in all competitions, they have scored 22 goals, averaging over 2.0 per match. Meanwhile Guirassy has been directly involved in a significant portion of their xG output. 

In the Champions League league phase, he recorded three goals and consistently posted high shot volumes inside the box. Guirassy thrives on quick combinations and low crosses, an area where Dortmund excel through overlapping full-backs and cutbacks from wide areas.

Julian Ryerson’s recent four-assist performance underlines how frequently Dortmund generate chances from the flanks. Atalanta, while structurally disciplined, concede space between center-backs when wing-backs push high. Guirassy’s movement across the defensive line and strong aerial timing make him the most probable beneficiary.

Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Prediction

Our pick: Borussia Dortmund to Win at -225 (BetMGM) / -250 (FanDuel)

Dortmund have lost just two of their last 22 Champions League home matches, demonstrating consistency at Signal Iduna Park. Domestically, they enter this tie on a six-match league winning streak.

They’ve scored nine goals in their last three Bundesliga outings. Atalanta finished higher in the league phase and remain unbeaten in Serie A this calendar year. Yet their recent Champions League knockout record includes five consecutive eliminations. 

Away from Bergamo, they have occasionally struggled against high-pressing opponents who disrupt build-up play. Dortmund’s pressing under Niko Kovac compresses space in midfield and forces turnovers in advanced zones, creating high-quality chances.

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Same-Game Parlay (Bet Builder) for Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta

Bet $100 to Win $210.46 (FanDuel)
Total Goals Over 2.5 (-140) + BTTS: Yes (-166) + Serhou Guirassy to Score Anytime (+110)

Dortmund’s Champions League campaign began with a 4-4 draw and has frequently featured high-scoring encounters. They average strong shot totals at home and rarely adopt a passive approach in European fixtures. Atalanta’s attacking philosophy under Raffaele Palladino emphasizes vertical transitions and wing-back overlaps. 

They have scored in the majority of their recent fixtures and demonstrated potency by netting three against Juventus in Coppa Italia. However, their aggressive structure also leaves central channels exposed. It’s a vulnerability Dortmund can exploit.

3-Leg Bet Builder

  • Leg 1: Total Goals Over 2.5
  • Leg 2: BTTS: Yes
  • Leg 3: Serhou Guirassy to Score Anytime
  • Combined Odds: +230 (via BetMGM)

While Over 2.5 remains a possibility with chances of a potential 2-1 or 2-1 type scoreline typical of tight first-leg encounters. BTTS reflects Atalanta’s consistent scoring in domestic competition and Dortmund’s occasional defensive lapses against dynamic attackers. Guirassy remains central to the scoring projection, given his shot frequency and finishing efficiency.

Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta Odds

MarketBetMGMFanDuel
1X2Borussia Dortmund +155 / Draw +180 / Atalanta +220Borussia Dortmund +155 / Draw +180 / Atalanta +230
Goals MarketsOver 2.5: -145 / Under 2.5: +105
Over 3.5: +170 / Under 3.5: -250
Over 2.5: -140 / Under 2.5: +114
Over 3.5: +186 / Under 3.5: -235
BTTSYes: -165 / No: +115Yes: -166 / No: +130
Asian HandicapBorussia Dortmund -1.25: +235 / -1.50: +270
Atalanta +1.25: -303
Draw No BetBorussia Dortmund: -190
Atalanta: +135
Borussia Dortmund: -184
Atalanta: +156
Double ChanceBorussia Dortmund or Draw: -300
Atalanta or Draw: -145
Borussia Dortmund or Draw: -320
Atalanta or Draw: -145

Trends to Know for Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta

  • Home Dominance: Dortmund have lost only two of their last 22 Champions League home matches.
  • Scoring Depth: Dortmund have already produced 10 different scorers in this Champions League campaign, highlighting attacking variety.
  • Guirassy Impact: Guirassy has scored three times in the league phase and remains the team’s primary penalty-taker.
  • Atalanta Form: Atalanta are unbeaten domestically in 2026, registering seven wins and two draws.
  • Knockout History: Atalanta have lost their last five Champions League knockout ties, while Dortmund have progressed through five knockout rounds across the past two seasons.

Latest Injuries & Lineup News for Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta

In soccer, injuries and rotations can drastically alter how a match plays out, especially when it comes to BTTS, totals, and goalscorer markets. Navigating through a few key injuries in this clash, both coaches will look to lineup their strongest XI. Here are the players who are either doubtful or are set to miss out:

TeamPlayerStatusNotes
Borussia DortmundEmre CanOutGroin
AtalantaCharles De KetelaereOutKnee

Reminder: Always check confirmed lineups 60–75 minutes before kickoff, especially for goalscorer and BTTS markets.

How to watch – quick Q&A

What time is Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta?

Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta kicks off at 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday, February 17, 2026 (8:00 PM local UK time).

Where is the match being played?

The match will be played at the Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany.

How can I watch on TV / stream?

Broadcast rights vary by territory. In the US, the Champions League can be telecast on Paramount+. The match will be telecast on TNT Sports in the UK. The match will also be available to stream on these broadcasters’ official websites.

DetailInfo
DateFebruary 17, 2026
Time2:45 PM ET / 7:45 PM GT
CompetitionChampions League
VenueSignal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany
TV / Streaming (USA)Paramount+
TV / Streaming (UK)TNT Sports
soccer soccer

Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.

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