The prelims of UFC Vegas 113 feature a welterweight clash between Alex Morono and Daniil Donchenko. This three round battle pits the veteran American against the rising Ukrainian finisher at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Donchenko opens as a massive -750 favorite, with Morono at +525 as the underdog. Here’s how we’re betting UFC Vegas 113: Morono vs Donchenko, including our UFC predictions, best bet, key props and an expert final verdict.
Mini Fight Info Strip
Event: UFC Vegas 113 – UFC Apex
Weight class: UFC Welterweight bout
Fight length: 3-round prelim bout
Date & time: Saturday, February 7, 2026 – Prelims: 06:00 p.m. ET, walk time ~08:30 p.m. ET
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Odds updated: February 6, 2026 – 12:05 AM ET. Lines may move before fight night, especially after weigh-ins or late injury news.
Tale of the Tape – Key Stats to Know
Before we get into the matchup, here’s a Tale of the Tape for Morono vs Donchenko.
Tale Of The Tape
Alex Morono
Daniil Donchenko
Record
24-12 (1 NC)
13-2
Age
35
24
Height
5’11”
5’11”
Reach
72″
71″
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
Sig. Strikes Landed
5.03
8.76
Striking Accuracy
40%
57%
Takedowns
0.33
3.37
Takedown Defense
47%
75%
Submission Avg.
0.3
0.0
Donchenko holds advantages in youth, striking volume, striking accuracy, striking defense, damage avoidance, takedown volume, and takedown defense. Morono counters with superior reach and experience.
Fighter Breakdown – Alex Morono Analysis
Morono comes in with a 24-12 (1 NC) record bringing veteran experience to the welterweight division. The 35 year old American is a technical striker with solid fundamentals but lacks elite physical tools.
Strengths: Extensive UFC experience (24-12 record). Superior reach advantage. Decent striking volume (5.03 per minute). Moderate striking defense (56%). Veteran composure and octagon IQ. Durability over 37 professional fights.
Weaknesses: Massive age disadvantage at 35 years old. Poor striking accuracy (40%). Higher damage absorption (4.78 per minute). Terrible takedown defense (47%). Minimal wrestling offense (0.33 takedowns). Low takedown accuracy (24%). Limited submission threat (0.3 attempts). Physical decline against younger competition.
Betting Angles: Morono’s +525 moneyline offers pure lottery ticket value only. Morono by Decision (+1100) requires surviving Donchenko’s finishing power.
Donchenko brings a 13-2 record with elite striking metrics and devastating finishing ability. The 24 year old Ukrainian is a rising prospect with exceptional offensive output and defensive awareness.
Strengths: Massive youth advantage at 24 years old. Elite striking volume (8.76 per minute). Exceptional striking accuracy (57%) and striking defense (72%). Superior damage avoidance (2.25 absorbed per minute). Elite takedown volume (3.37 per fight). Better takedown defense (75%).
Betting Angles: Donchenko’s -750 moneyline offers minimal value despite overwhelming advantages. Donchenko by KO/TKO (-170) provides best value as most likely finish.
This welterweight clash features a catastrophic mismatch that virtually guarantees an early finish. Donchenko’s elite offensive output combined with exceptional 57% accuracy overwhelms Morono’s poor defensive capabilities. The Ukrainian’s devastating volume paired with Morono’s terrible 47% takedown defense and higher damage absorption creates immediate finishing opportunities.
The age differential, 35 vs 24, exacerbates the physical mismatch. At -130 (implied 56.3%), we project this ends under 1.5 rounds closer to 60-65% of the time, offering solid value in the most likely scenario.
Donchenko’s elite striking metrics against Morono’s defensive vulnerabilities create the clearest path to a knockout victory. The Ukrainian’s 8.76 strikes per minute at 57% accuracy means he lands approximately 5 clean, significant strikes per minute. This is a devastating rate that accumulates damage rapidly against Morono’s poor 56% striking defense.
At -170 (implied 63.0%), we project Donchenko wins by KO/TKO around 60-65% of the time, offering moderate value as the overwhelmingly most likely result.
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Small stake only. The only path for Morono requires somehow surviving Donchenko’s early onslaught and grinding out a decision with veteran savvy and experience. If Morono can weather the storm using his reach advantage and technical fundamentals, his 37 professional fights provide survival instincts that inexperienced prospects sometimes struggle to break.
This scenario requires nearly everything going right for Morono. At +1100 (implied 8.3%), this offers massive payout if Morono’s experience produces an upset survival performance. This is purely a lottery ticket on the veteran’s durability and Donchenko’s inexperience. Keep stakes at 0.25 units maximum.
Prediction – Final Verdict
Official pick: Daniil Donchenko by KO/TKO
We are backing Donchenko to secure a knockout victory in this welterweight mismatch. The Ukrainian’s overwhelming physical advantages, elite striking metrics, and youth should prove insurmountable for the aging veteran.
Donchenko should establish his dominance immediately with relentless striking volume, landing clean shots at will against Morono’s poor defensive metrics. The veteran’s limited offensive tools and poor accuracy mean he struggles to mount meaningful counters, while Donchenko’s exceptional 72% striking defense keeps him safe from Morono’s desperate attempts.
As the fight progresses, Donchenko’s accumulating damage should break down Morono’s defenses, eventually creating finishing opportunities. Donchenko should capitalizes with power shots that produce the stoppage.This knockout victory should continue Donchenko’s rise in the welterweight division, establishing him as a legitimate prospect against UFC-level competition.
How to Bet UFC Vegas 113: Tips for This Card
Beyond the welterweight prelim bout, UFC Vegas 113 offers several compelling matchups that create both opportunities and traps for bettors.
Card Tips:
Volume overwhelms poor defense. Donchenko’s 8.76 strikes per minute against Morono’s 56% defense creates sustained damage. Elite volume breaks down aging veterans quickly.
Submission specialists in heavyweight are rare. Jailton Almeida’s 2.0 submission attempts per fight makes him an outlier in the division. This specialization creates value in finish markets.
Mario Bautista’s volume approach becomes more effective over 25 minutes. Championship rounds favor high-output fighters.
UFC Vegas 113 Fight Card
Main Card (09:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)
Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira – Bantamweight bout, 5 rounds
Amir Albazi vs Kyoji Horiguchi – Flyweight bout, 3 rounds
Jailton Almeida vs Rizvan Kuniev – Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds
Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Marc-Andre Barriault – Middleweight bout, 3 rounds
Jean Matsumoto vs Farid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds
Dustin Jacoby vs Julius Walker – Light Heavyweight bout, 3 rounds
Prelims (6:00 p.m. ET – Paramount+)
Alex Morono vs Daniil Donchenko – Welterweight bout, 3 rounds
Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza – Women’s Strawweight bout, 3 rounds
Said Nurmagomedov vs Javid Basharat – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds
Wang Cong vs Eduarda Moura – Women’s Flyweight bout, 3 rounds
Muin Gafurov vs Jakub Wiklacz – Bantamweight bout, 3 rounds
I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!
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