Mandatory Credit: Jonathan Hui-Imagn Images

Marta Kostyuk vs. Daria Kasatkina Head-to-Head Record, Preview and Prediction for WTA Italian Open 2025 Round of 64

Kostyuk vs. Kasatkina: Old Rivals, New Stakes on the Italian Clay

Mandatory Credit: Jonathan Hui-Imagn Images

14th seed Daria Kasatkina is set to face Marta Kostyuk in the second round of the Italian Open, setting the stage for a compelling clash of styles. Kasatkina, the current world No. 15, has endured a modest season so far, failing to move past the round of 16 at any event. Kostyuk, meanwhile, comes in riding the momentum of a dominant first-round win over Alexandra Eala in the first round.

Kostyuk’s season has been a mix of sparks and stalls, starting strong with a quarterfinal run at the Qatar Open, where she lost to Amanda Anisimova in three sets. And most recently, pushing Aryna Sabalenka to back-to-back tiebreaks in a tightly contested Madrid Open quarterfinal. However, between those two events, she’s struggled to find consistency, falling short of the second week in most tournaments.

On another level 📈@marta_kostyuk puts on a dominate showing to knock out Eala 6-0, 6-1.#IBI25 pic.twitter.com/pAVWoX4NtC
— wta (@WTA) May 7, 2025

Marta Kostyuk vs. Daria Kasatkina Head-to-Head Record

Daria Kasatkina holds a 4-2 lead in her head-to-head battles with Marta Kostyuk, a rivalry that has quietly gained layers over the years. It all began at the 2020 US Open, where a then-rising Kostyuk stunned Kasatkina in straight sets, and she followed it up with another convincing win at the 2021 Istanbul Open. But that’s where her streak ended.

Since then, Kasatkina has flipped the script, winning four straight matches, including dominant straight-set victories in Birmingham (2021) and Brisbane (2024), as well as hard-fought three-setters in Tokyo (2023) and Berlin (2024). With each encounter, Kasatkina has tightened her grip on the matchup, showing her dominance and outlasting Kostyuk when it matters.

Year	Tournament	Round	Winner	Score
2024	Berlin Open	1st Round	Daria Kasatkina	4–6, 7–6(6), 6–3
2024	Brisbane International	2nd Round	Daria Kasatkina	6–3, 6–4
2023	Toray Pan Pacific Open	1st Round	Daria Kasatkina	3–6, 6–4, 6–3
2021	Birmingham Classic	2nd Round	Daria Kasatkina	6–2, 7–5
2021	Istanbul Open	2nd Round	Marta Kostyuk	6–3, 6–4
2020	US Open	1st Round	Marta Kostyuk	6–1, 6–2

Marta Kostyuk vs. Daria Kasatkina Comparison

Marta Kostyuk	Category	Daria Kasatkina
27	Ranking	15
228-138	Career W-L	395-227
14-10	YTD W-L	11-10
1	Career Titles	8
0	Grand Slams	0
0	YTD Titles	0

Marta Kostyuk vs. Daria Kasatkina Prediction

This match could go either way. Kasatkina holds the edge in their head-to-head and brings a strategic, defensive style that has frustrated Kostyuk in the past. But the Ukrainian has shown flashes of big-match grit this season, especially in Madrid. If she can stay aggressive without overdoing it, she has the weapons to trouble Kasatkina. Given her recent form and willingness to take risks, Kostyuk might just have the edge in what could be a tightly contested match.

Prediction: Marta Kostyuk in straight sets