UFC Qatar – Belal Muhammad vs Ian Garry Predictions, Betting Odds And Best Bets

Belal Muhammad vs Ian Garry matchup features relentless wrestling pressure against fluid striking and athletic evasion. Both fighters are looking to secure their positions in the elite 170-pound division. These contenders will clash at UFC 323 on November 22nd.

Muhammad stands 5’11” with a 72 inch reach and a 24-4 record. He showcases aggressive striking at 4.46 per minute with 43% accuracy while absorbing 3.78. His striking defense sits at 55% and his grappling presents serious threats with 2.24 takedowns per fight at 38% accuracy and 0.1 submission attempts. He has an excellent 90% takedown defense that keeps scrambles in his favor when opponents shoot.

Belal Muhammad vs. Ian Garry

November 22nd.

Qatar.

Just announced by Dana White. pic.twitter.com/WhsOlJZ0pI
— Spinnin Backfist (@SpinninBackfist) October 1, 2025

Garry measures 6’3″ with a 74 inch reach and 16-1 record. He showcases volume striking at 4.77 per minute with superior 54% accuracy while absorbing just 2.77. His striking defense registers at 51%, trailing Muhammad’s defensive capabilities and his grappling shows respectable threat with 1.02 takedowns per fight at 33% accuracy and 0.4 submission attempts. He has a solid 73% takedown defense that presents challenges against Muhammad’s wrestling-heavy approach.

Belal Muhammad vs Ian Garry Predictions And Picks

This UFC fight breaks down to whether Muhammad’s championship-caliber wrestling and legendary cardio can overwhelm Garry’s athletic superiority and well-rounded striking game. Muhammad holds clear advantages in grappling metrics and experience at the highest level, having competed for and won the welterweight championship. His high takedowns per fight at creates opportunities to implement his grinding pressure throughout five rounds.

The critical factor lies in Garry’s physical advantages and fighting style. Garry’s fluid movement, superior striking accuracy and ability to strike from every angle make him exceptionally difficult to corner. Muhammad’s recent loss to Jack Della Maddalena exposed vulnerabilities when he abandoned his wrestling foundation to engage in striking battles. Against an opponent like Garry who possesses elite footwork, long limbs, and evasive movement, Muhammad must employ relentless wrestling pressure from the opening bell.

If we bet on this fight, we are going with Belal Muhammad to win via unanimous decision.

Belal Muhammad vs Ian Garry MMA Betting Odds

Ian Garry enters as a solid favorite at -290 on FanDuel. Meanwhile, Belal Muhammad comes in as the +215 underdog. The odds reflect confidence in Garry’s youth, athleticism, and physical advantages overcoming Muhammad’s wrestling pressure.

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The odds for the fight going the distance stand at -270. The overwhelming odds favor judges deciding this matchup, with early finish odds at +200 reflecting both fighters’ durability and Muhammad’s championship-level conditioning that ensures he survives all five rounds.

Belal Muhammad vs Ian Garry Best Bets

Here are the best bets for Belal Muhammad vs Ian Garry fight:

Muhammad by Decision (+320)

Fair price on the more experienced fighter. His superior wrestling should neutralize Garry’s standup.

Fight Goes Distance (-270)

Safe bet despite steep odds. Both fighters’ proven durability and Muhammad’s legendary cardio make judges inevitable. Muhammad’s championship experience and mental toughness ensure he survives five rounds, while Garry’s technical approach favors decision victories.

Over 2.5 Rounds (-330)

Premium price but safest play. Muhammad’s conditioning ensure he makes it deep into the fight regardless of adversity. Garry’s technical striking approach prioritizes volume over power, making early finishes unlikely.

(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)

(Image Credit: Craig Kidwell – Imagn Images)

Zaid Quraishi

mma

I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!