UFC 324 hits T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, January 24, with Justin Gaethje vs Paddy Pimblett headlining a main card packed with high-stakes fights. This historic event marks the UFC’s first numbered card under the new Paramount+ deal, featuring an interim lightweight title fight, former champions seeking redemption, and explosive finishers hunting statement wins.
Below, we’ve put together our favorite UFC 324 parlay picks and best combos for the main card. These are the spots where we think it actually makes sense to tie fights and markets together. Rather than forcing 6-8 legs just for a bigger payout, we’re keeping our parlays selective and focused on logical connections.
Parlays are always higher risk, higher reward, so we’re keeping our combos tight. If you prefer straight bets, you can also see our UFC 324 best bets and single fight predictions.
UFC 324 Parlay Picks At A Glance
Parlay Type
Legs
Combined Odds & Books
Main-card parlay
Pimblett ML + Silva ML + O’Malley vs Yadong Over 2.5 rounds
Odds from FanDuel and BetMGM, accurate as of January 23, 12:00 PM ET. UFC parlay prices can move quickly, so always re-check the latest odds before betting.
This is our main card favorites combo: two heavy favorites we expect to control their fights plus a distance leg in a technical striking battle. We’re comfortable tying these together because Pimblett and Silva have clear paths to victory, while O’Malley vs Yadong features two durable strikers unlikely to get blown out early.
Leg-by-Leg Reasoning
Leg 1 – Pimblett ML (-235): The young British star brings elite grappling (10 career submission wins, second-degree BJJ black belt) against a 37 year old Gaethje. Pimblett lands 5.19 significant strikes per minute while absorbing only 3.14, showing superior strike efficiency. Gaethje’s durability concerns are real after getting KO’d by Max Holloway. Pimblett’s youth advantage and submission threat give him multiple paths to victory over five rounds.
Leg 2 – Silva ML (-340): Silva is riding momentum with back-to-back wins, showing she’s the next generation at flyweight. She lands 5.04 significant strikes per minute against Namajunas’ 3.60, controlling pace and volume. Her decision win rate (75% of her UFC fights) suggests she will grind out Namajunas over 15 minutes with superior output and cardio.
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Leg 3 – O’Malley vs Yadong Over 2.5 (+280): Both strikers are exceptionally durable. O’Malley has only been finished once (2020), and Yadong has never been stopped by strikes in 31 professional fights. O’Malley’s distance management (72″ reach advantage, 6.30 significant strikes/min) means he can land safely while Yadong’s relentless forward pressure guarantees volume. The fight goes to decision with 67% implied probability. Neither gets blown out in three rounds.
At +150, this offers solid value. Our implied probability for these three hitting together is around 40%, which aligns well with what +150 suggests. We are happy with this parlay down to about +135. As a reminder: Keep parlay stakes smaller than your straight-bet unit size.
This parlay focuses on fight duration rather than outcomes. We’re mixing overs in matchups featuring elite cardio and durability with an under in a heavyweight knockout derby. This allows us to capitalize on strong reads about how long fights will last.
Leg-by-Leg Reasoning
Leg 1 – Pimblett vs Gaethje Over 2.5 (-116): Despite Gaethje’s finishing power (20 career KOs), both fighters are incredibly durable. Pimblett has never been stopped, and he doesn’t have the one shot power to finish Gaethje. This is a five-round title fight where Pimblett’s submission hunting and Gaethje’s defensive wrestling create a chess match. Expect adjustments and deep water, not an early blowout.
Leg 2 – O’Malley vs Yadong Over 2.5 (-280): The safest leg in this parlay. Yadong has never been finished by strikes, and O’Malley prioritizes distance management over reckless finishing attempts. O’Malley went the distance in his first fight with Merab Dvalishvili, showing he can fight smart for three rounds. Yadong’s durability means he survives even if losing rounds. This goes to decision.
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Leg 3 – Cortes-Acosta vs Lewis Under 1.5 (+112): This is the most finish-heavy fight on the card. Lewis has 16 UFC knockouts and lands bombs. Cortes-Acosta brings violent pressure at 5.55 strikes/min with one-punch power. Neither heavyweight has elite defense, and both hunt early finishes. One big shot ends this in round one or early round two.
At +436, this distance parlay offers excellent value. The combined implied probability is around 19%, but we think these legs hit together closer to 24-26%. We’re comfortable playing this down to +380.
To bet this parlay, you’ll need to manually build it across BetMGM and FanDuel, as these are the best available odds for each leg on different books. This is an extreme longshot. Bet 0.1-0.25 units maximum.
Leg-by-Leg Reasoning
Leg 1 – Lewis ML (+260): ‘The Black Beast’ has 16 UFC knockouts and one-punch power that can end any fight instantly. At 40 years old, Lewis is being written off, but he’s built a career on making younger, hungrier fighters overconfident. Cortes-Acosta (-325 favorite) will press forward aggressively, potentially walking into Lewis’ devastating counter right hand. If Lewis times one shot perfectly, this upset hits.
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Leg 2 – Namajunas ML (+275): Rose is a two-time former champion at strawweight who moved up in weight, which typically favors the naturally smaller fighter’s speed and technique. Silva’s striking volume advantage assumes Rose can’t wrestle, but Namajunas has underrated grappling (6 career submission wins). If Rose mixes takedowns and frustrates Silva’s rhythm, she can steal rounds and grind out a decision in a fight where she’s getting zero respect from oddsmakers.
Leg 3 – Allen ML (+220): Arnold Allen is criminally undervalued here. Jean Silva has explosive finishing power but hasn’t faced someone with Allen’s well-rounded game. Allen’s takedown defense (78%) and volume striking (4.85 sig strikes/min) can neutralize Silva’s aggression. Silva’s recent wins came against aging veterans and Allen represents a significant step up in competition. If Allen survives the early storm and implements his wrestling, he controls the fight.
This parlay requires everything to go wrong for the favorites. Lewis lands his one big shot. Rose’s championship experience and grappling neutralize Silva’s volume. Allen weathers the early storm and imposes his game. And the main event delivers an early finish instead of a five-round war. At +4220, a $10 bet returns $422. This is pure lottery ticket territory, but each underdog has a legitimate path to victory.
How We’re Building UFC Parlays For UFC 324
Our philosophy is to keep leg count low to limit compounding risk. We cap our core parlays at three legs maximum and only use parlays where legs logically fit together: durable fighters point to overs, clear skill gaps support moneyline bets, and finish-heavy matchups justify unders.
We avoid stuffing in every favorite just to chase huge numbers. Parlays are high-risk, high-reward and should be a small part of your portfolio, typically 20-30% of what you would bet on a straight play. Check FanDuel and BetMGM for MMA parlay promos before placing bets.
I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!
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