Jun 28, 2025; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Gregory Rodrigues (blue gloves) reacts after the fight against Jack Hermansson (red gloves) during UFC 317 at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images
Roman Kopylov vs Gregory Rodrigues matchup features devastating finishing ability from both sides. These middleweights will collide at UFC 322 on November 15th at Madison Square Garden.
Kopylov stands 6’0″ with a 75 inch reach and a 14-4 record. He showcases aggressive striking at 4.74 per minute with 50% accuracy while absorbing a concerning 5.08. His striking defense sits at 53% and his grappling shows minimal involvement with 1.02 takedowns per fight at 42% accuracy and 0.0 submission attempts. He has solid 87% takedown defense and keeps fights standing where his power dominates.
Rodrigues measures 6’3″ with a matching 75 inch reach and a 17-6 record. He showcases even higher striking output at 5.54 per minute with 51% accuracy while absorbing 5.04. His striking defense registers at just 50% and his grappling presents more threats than Kopylov with 2.21 takedowns per fight at 38% accuracy and 0.3 submission attempts. He has exceptional 90% takedown defense that ensures this stays standing where both fighters prefer.
Roman Kopylov vs Gregory Rodrigues Predictions And Picks
This UFC fight breaks down to pure striking warfare between two knockout artists with minimal defensive discipline. Rodrigues holds clear advantages in height at three inches taller, striking output at 5.54 per minute against Kopylov’s 4.74, and slight accuracy edge at 51%. His recent performances showcase finishing power, with knockout victories over Jack Hermansson.
However, Kopylov’s superior durability and defensive awareness can’t be ignored. The critical factor lies in defensive metrics where Kopylov holds significant edges. His striking defense outclasses Rodrigues’ and more importantly, Kopylov has never been knocked out in his career despite 12 knockout victories proving his finishing power. His recent survival against elite striker Paulo Costa showcases proven chin against championship-level power.
The three inch height advantage for Rodrigues at 6’3″ creates distance management opportunities. His higher output at 5.54 strikes per minute creates volume advantages. Both fighters’ aggressive styles guarantee violent exchanges.
If we bet on this fight, we are going with Gregory Rodrigues to win via by KO/TKO.
Roman Kopylov vs Gregory Rodrigues MMA Betting Odds
Gregory Rodrigues enters as the favorite at -188 on FanDuel. Meanwhile, Roman Kopylov comes in as the +146 underdog. The odds reflect confidence in Rodrigues’ height, volume striking, and recent knockout power overcoming Kopylov’s durability advantages.
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The odds for the fight going the distance stand at +192. The overwhelming odds favors an early finish with odds at -260, reflecting both fighters’ knockout power and minimal defensive discipline.
Roman Kopylov vs Gregory Rodrigues Best Bets
Here are the best bets for Roman Kopylov vs Gregory Rodrigues fight:
Kopylov Moneyline (+146)
Excellent value on the more durable striker. His proven chin having never been knocked out paired with superior striking defense creates decisive advantages in violent exchanges. Recent survival against Paulo Costa proves elite-level durability.
Rodrigues by KO/TKO (+250)
Outstanding odds on the most likely outcome. His streak of knockouts prove finishing power and he keeps winning against almost everyone. Both fighters’ willingness to trade makes this the most valuable outcome.
Fight Under 1.5 Rounds (+122)
Both these fighters have aggressive styles and they are always gunning for the finish. This approach from the fighters makes this a safe bet.
(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)
(Image Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie – Imagn Images)
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I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!
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