UFC 322 – Leon Edwards vs Carlos Prates Predictions, Betting Odds And Best Bets

Leon Edwards vs Carlos Prates matchup features championship pedigree against devastating knockout ability. Edwards will be looking to halt a two-fight skid against one of the division’s most dangerous finishers. They will face on November 15th at UFC 322at Madison Square Garden.

Edwards stands 6’2″ with a 74 inch reach. His 22-5 -1 NC showcases technical striking at 2.62 per minute with excellent 54% accuracy while absorbing 2.42. His striking defense sits at 53%, showing solid defensive awareness despite recent setbacks and his grappling presents options with 1.18 takedowns per fight at 36% accuracy and 0.4 submission attempts. He has 63% takedown defense and has shown vulnerabilities in recent fights, a concerning trend against elite wrestlers.

🚨BREAKING: Carlos Prates vs Leon Edwards is Officially Signed for #UFC322 at Madison Square Garden on November 15th. pic.twitter.com/0mKQm4IJT7
— Octagon Pulse | UFC MEDIA🚨 (@OctagonPulse) August 27, 2025

Prates measures 6’1″ with a massive 78 inch reach. His 22-7 record showcases aggressive striking at 3.82 per minute with matching 54% accuracy while absorbing 4.80. His striking defense registers at just 48%, revealing defensive holes that elite strikers exploit and his grappling remains largely unused with minimal 0.23 takedowns per fight at perfect 100% accuracy and 0.0 submission attempts. He has a solid 84% takedown defense and keeps fights standing where his power dominates.

Leon Edwards vs Carlos Prates Predictions And Picks

This UFC fight breaks down to whether Prates’ explosive finishing power can overcome Edwards’ championship-level experience and technical superiority. Prates holds clear advantages in reach at 78 inches and devastating knockout power with 17 KO victories, including his recent spinning back elbow destruction of Geoff Neal.

Edwards’ superior striking output at 2.62 per minute paired with identical 54% accuracy shows technical efficiency. Prates’ inferior 48% striking defense creates openings for Edwards’ precise southpaw striking. If Prates can get Edwards out early, this can be his fight, but Edwards is tough and hard to knock out. If not, then Prates is in for a long night.

If we bet on this fight, we are going with Leon Edwards to win via unanimous decision.

Leon Edwards vs Carlos Prates MMA Betting Odds

Carlos Prates enters as the favorite at -215 on FanDuel. Meanwhile, Leon Edwards comes in as the +164 underdog. The odds reflect concerns about Edwards’ recent form and Prates’ explosive finishing power.

FanDuel

High total bonus ceiling

Daily second-chance bet protection

No promo code required

$150

Welcome offer

Bet $5 & Get $150 in Bonus Bets

Click to reveal code

COPIED

F A N D U V I P

Claim now

New customers only. Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.

The odds for the fight stand at even at –112 both ways (going the distance and ending inside the distance). The uncertainty reflects Prates’ knockout power balanced against Edwards’ proven durability and championship experience.

Leon Edwards vs Carlos Prates Best Bets

Here are the best bets for Leon Edwards vs Carlos Prates fight:

Edwards Moneyline (+164)

Excellent value on the former champion with superior technical skills. His 54% striking accuracy while absorbing just 2.42 strikes compared to Prates’ 4.80 absorbed reveals massive defensive advantages. Edwards has never been knocked out, suggesting he survives early explosiveness.

Edwards by Decision (+300)

Outstanding odds on the most likely outcome. Edwards’ championship experience and superior defensive metrics should control pace over three rounds. Prates’ lower striking defense creates openings for Edwards’ technical southpaw striking to accumulate winning rounds.

Prates by KO/TKO (+165)

These are great odds for a known hard hitter against a veteran that is on a losing streak. Prates can shut Edwards’ lights out if he manages to land clean. The confidence he has going into this fight also becomes relevant.

(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)

(Image Credit: Per Haljestam – Imagn Images)

Zaid Quraishi

mma

I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!