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UFC 322 – Beneil Dariush vs Benoit Saint-Denis Predictions, Betting Odds And Best Bets

Zaid Quraishi

Beneil Dariush vs Benoit Saint-Denis matchup features elite submission threats against devastating finishing ability. Both fighters are desperate to secure their positions in the stacked 155-pound division. These two will meet at UFC 322 on November 15th at Madison Square Garden.

Dariush stands 5’10” with a 72 inch reach and 23-6-1 record. He showcases balanced striking at 3.78 per minute with 49% accuracy while absorbing 2.61. His striking defense sits at 57%, showing solid defensive awareness and his grappling presents real threats with 2.12 takedowns per fight at 38% accuracy and dangerous 0.8 submission attempts. He has an impressive 82% takedown defense that keeps scrambles in his favor when opponents shoot.

Saint-Denis measures 5’11” with a 73 inch reach and a 15-3 -1 NC record. He showcases aggressive striking at 5.05 per minute with excellent 55% accuracy while absorbing a concerning 4.19. His striking defense registers at just 42%, revealing defensive vulnerabilities that elite strikers exploit and his grappling dominates with elite 4.35 takedowns per fight at 37% accuracy and consistent submission threats. He has 70% takedown defense in the UFC, but has shown holes against elite wrestlers.

Beneil Dariush vs Benoit Saint-Denis Predictions And Picks

Dariush holds clear advantages in striking defense at 57% compared to Saint-Denis’ alarming 42%, and absorbs just 2.61 strikes per minute against Saint-Denis’ 4.19 absorbed, revealing massive defensive gaps. However, the path to victory favors Saint-Denis’ relentless aggression. His 5.05 strikes per minute at 55% accuracy significantly outpaces Dariush’s 3.78 at 49% accuracy, creating constant pressure that drains opponents. 

The critical factor lies in Saint-Denis’ momentum and explosive finishing ability. His recent submission victories showcase evolving ground skills that complement his striking aggression. His only recent loss came against elite contender Dustin Poirier, proving his ability to compete at championship level. 

The 36 year old Dariush, while technically superior, faces a 7 year age disadvantage against Saint-Denis’ relentless pace. The experience advantage favors Dariush’s championship-level resume, but Saint-Denis’ explosive athleticism and finishing ability across all positions creates constant threats.

If we bet on this fight, we are going with Benoit Saint Denis to win via KO/TKO.

Beneil Dariush vs Benoit Saint-Denis MMA Betting Odds

Benoit Saint-Denis enters as the favorite at -215 on FanDuel. Meanwhile, Beneil Dariush comes in as the +164 underdog. The odds reflect confidence in Saint-Denis’ aggressive pressure and finishing ability overwhelming Dariush’s experience.

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The odds for the fight going the distance stand at +188. Odds strongly favors an early finish with odds at -250, reflecting both fighters’ finishing abilities and Saint-Denis’ relentless pressure.

Beneil Dariush vs Benoit Saint-Denis Best Bets

Here are the best bets for Beneil Dariush vs Benoit Saint-Denis fight:

Saint-Denis Moneyline (-215)

Fair price on the younger, more explosive fighter. His 5.05 strikes per minute at 55% accuracy combined with elite 4.35 takedowns per fight creates overwhelming pressure that should break Dariush’s defensive discipline. 

Saint-Denis by KO/TKO (+160)

Excellent value on the most likely finish. Saint-Denis’ aggressive striking volume against Dariush’s striking defense creates accumulating damage opportunities. His recent finishing form and Dariush’s age make knockout the highest probability outcome.

Fight Under 1.5 Rounds (+124)

Strong odds for early finish. Saint-Denis’ explosive starts create immediate finishing threats. Both fighters’ submission skills make early stoppages likely before championship-level adjustments take effect. The aggressive pace favors first-round violence.

(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)

(Image Credit: Per Haljestam – Imagn Images)

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I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!

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