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UFC 321- Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilld Predictions, Betting Odds And Best Bets

Zaid Quraishi

Controversial decisions define Nasrat Haqparast’s recent winning streak. The Afghan-German striker has won five straight fights, including back-to-back split decisions. Now he faces rising prospect Quillan Salkilld at UFC 321 in Abu Dhabi this weekend. The Australian contender is just two fights into his proper UFC career but has looked impressive destroying Anshul Jubli via quick knockout and grinding out a decision over Yanal Ashmouz. This Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilld matchup represents a massive step up in competition for the prospect against a veteran riding momentum.

Haqparast stands 5’10” with a 72 inch reach and brings an 18-5 record. He lands 6.40 significant strikes per minute at 45% accuracy while absorbing 6.01. His striking defense sits at 63%, and his takedown defense is strong at 84%. 

Salkilld measures 6’0″ with a 75 inch reach and owns a 9-1 record. He lands 5.48 strikes per minute at impressive 59% accuracy while absorbing just 3.46. His striking defense of 45% concerns, but his wrestling dominates with 8.41 takedowns per fight at 37% accuracy and perfect 100% takedown defense. That size and wrestling could be problematic for Haqparast.

Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilld Predictions And Picks

Salkilld has looked phenomenal in his two UFC appearances, showcasing dangerous knockout power against Jubli and smart grappling against Ashmouz. However, those opponents wouldn’t get booked against anyone Haqparast has faced in recent years. The competition gap is significant.

Haqparast thrives in brawls and wars of attrition. His last five fights have been absolute battles where his cardio, chin, and volume striking eventually wear down opponents. He absorbs heavy damage but gives back just as much. That style works against fighters willing to stand and trade, but Salkilld’s 8.41 takedowns per fight suggests he won’t play that game if things get uncomfortable on the feet.

The biggest question mark remains Salkilld’s ability to handle elite-level competition. Haqparast has survived wars with legitimate contenders and knows how to steal rounds late when fights get close. Salkilld’s 9-1 record looks great, but this is uncharted territory for the young prospect.

If we bet on this fight, we’re going with Nasrat Haqparast to win via unanimous decision. 

Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilld MMA Betting Odds

This is essentially a pick’em fight as per FanDuel. Nasrat Haqparast comes in at -120. Meanwhile, Quillan Salkilld is a -106 underdog. The odds reflect uncertainty about how Salkilld handles this massive step up in competition. 

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The odds for the fight going the distance stand at -168. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is lower and the odds (+132) reflect that expectation. 

Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilldk Best Bets

Here are some of the best bets for Nasrat Haqparast vs Quillan Salkilld fight at UFC 321:

Over 2.5 Rounds (-205)

This seems to be the safest play. Haqparast has just two finishes in 14 UFC fights, and Salkilld hasn’t faced anyone durable enough to test his finishing ability.

Fight Goes Distance (-168)

Similar logic applies here with slightly better odds. Both fighters’ styles and Haqparast’s proven durability suggest judges will decide this one.

Salkilld by Decision (+220)

If you are picking a winner, take the prospect with better odds. His size, wrestling, and reach advantages could frustrate Haqparast over three rounds. And he could end up being the perfect counter to Haqparast’s style.

(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)

(Image Credit: Gary A. Vasquez – Imagn Images)

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I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!

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