UFC 321- Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida Predictions, Betting Odds And Best Bets

Heavyweight matchmaking has been a mess lately. Jon Jones retired without defending against the obvious challenger. Now the division finally gets moving with fighters who actually want to compete. Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida clash at UFC 321 in Abu Dhabi this Saturday, and the winner likely earns a title shot.

Volkov stands 6’7″ as one of the division’s most polished strikers with a 38-11 record. The Russian giant lands 4.97 significant strikes per minute at 57% accuracy while absorbing 2.99. His takedown defense sits at 72% with minimal ground time.

Almeida brings a 22-3 record with 66% striking accuracy. The 6’3″ Brazilian averages 6.58 takedowns per fight at 60% accuracy with equally concerning 60% takedown defense. His 2.4 submission attempts per fight make him one of the most dangerous grapplers in the heavyweight division.

Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida Predictions And Picks

Volkov will use his range control with straight punches and teep kicks to keep Almeida at distance. Moreover, his leg kicks will slow Almeida’s forward pressure and disrupt takedown timing.

Almeida’s path to victory comes with closing the distance aggressively because Volkov gets lost when opponents close range. His relentless pressure and elite chain wrestling should eventually drag Volkov down. Once grounded, Almeida’s suffocating top control speak to his ability to end fights quickly.

If we bet on the fight, we are going against the grain with Alexander Volkov to win via unanimous decision.

Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida MMA Betting Odds

According to FanDuel, Jailton Almeida enters as the betting favorite at -240. Meanwhile, Alexander Volkov comes in at +182 underdog. These odds show the Brazilian’s dominance in the division and the bookmakers’ trust on him winning.

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The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The odds for the fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at +250. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is higher and the odds (-350) reflect that.

Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida Best Bets

Here are some of the best bets for Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida fight at UFC 321:

Almeida by Submission (+160)

This offers tremendous value for how this fight likely plays out. His world class grappling and 16 first-round finishes make submission the most probable path to victory.

Almeida by Submission Rounds 1 or 2 (+210)

Even better odds for the same outcome with time specificity. Almeida’s finishing rate suggests he gets this done early before Volkov can implement any game plan.

Volkov vs Almeida Under 1.5 Rounds (-104)

This bet relies on Almeida’s aggressive style and finishing ability. Volkov has a vulnerable takedown defense which Almeida can cash in on.

(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)

(Image Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie – Imagn Images)

Zaid Quraishi

mma

I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!