Get to know the betting odds, predictions and picks for the upcoming Tracy Cortez vs. Viviane Araujo fight at UFC 317!
The women’s flyweight division has always been a fascinating puzzle. This 125-pound class tends to fly under the radar despite housing some of the most technical fighters in MMA. The division has seen its share of surprises over the years, from Valentina Shevchenko’s dominant reign to the emergence of new contenders who refuse to follow the script. At UFC 317, two ranked flyweights will step into the octagon with plenty on the line.
Tracy Cortez, sitting at number 10, faces Brazil’s Viviane Araujo, who holds the eighth spot in the UFC rankings. This fight is a genuine crossroads bout where the winner takes a significant step toward title contention, and the loser might find themselves sliding backward in an increasingly competitive division. Both women have proven they belong at this level, but only one can climb higher when the dust settles.
Viviane Araujo brings seasoned toughness that only comes from years of grinding through the UFC’s unforgiving landscape. At 38 years old, the Brazilian veteran has seen it all during her six-year run with the promotion. Her 7-5 UFC record might not scream dominance, but those numbers don’t tell the whole story. She’s faced former champions and rising contenders alike, absorbing valuable lessons from each encounter.
Viviane Araujo and Tracy Cortez face off 🔥#UFC317
— MMA Orbit (@mma_orbit) June 28, 2025
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Tracy Cortez enters this fight carrying the weight of expectation and the sting of recent defeat. Her first UFC loss came against Rose Namajunas, snapping an incredible 11-fight winning streak that stretched back to 2017. That kind of momentum doesn’t just disappear overnight, and Cortez has the youth and athleticism to bounce back stronger. At 30 years old, she represents the new generation of flyweights who blend traditional boxing fundamentals with modern MMA grappling.
The oddsmakers have spoken about this matchup. According to BetMGM, they have installed Tracy Cortez as a solid -250 favorite. Meanwhile Viviane Araujo sits at +205 as the underdog. These numbers suggest the betting public believes Cortez’s youth and recent high-level experience give her a clear advantage.

The odds for the fight going the distance has also come out. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is lower and the odds (-600) reflect that. The odds for the fight not seeing the judges scorecards stand at +390.
This fight shapes up as a classic striker versus grappler matchup, though both women have evolved beyond simple stereotypes. Cortez will look to keep the fight standing where she can utilize her boxing advantage and superior cardio. She needs to stay busy with her jab, move laterally to avoid takedown attempts, and gradually wear down the older fighter through volume striking.
Araujo’s path to victory runs through her grappling superiority and veteran savvy. She will need to close the distance early and often, looking for takedowns against the cage where she can control Cortez and potentially find submission opportunities. Her experience in big fights could prove decisive if the bout remains close heading into the final round.
If we bet on the fight, we are going with Tracy Cortez to win the fight via unanimous decision.
(All Odds According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
(Image Credit: Mark J. Rebilas – Imagn Images)
mma I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!
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