A clash between the in-form Paul and the veteran Khananov
Day 6 of the 2025 Roland Garros continues in Paris with third-round action underway. The second match of the day on Court Simonne-Mathieu will be a men’s clash between the 12th seed, Tommy Paul, and the 24th seed Karen Khachanov.
This third-round encounter between the pair will be their third career matchup, with the winner advancing to the round of 16 to play either Nuno Borges or Alexei Popyrin.
So far, the American 12th seed, Paul has had a challenging time on court at this year’s French Open. He came from a set down to defeat Elmer Moller in the first round, while he was taken the distance in his second-round win against Marton Fucsovics.
This year, Paul has had some pretty good results, although none of his runs have resulted in titles. He started off the season by reaching the semis at the Adelaide International, followed by a quarter-final at the Australian Open, more semi-finals in Dallas, Houston, and Rome. Paul has hit 167 aces and holds a high service games won percentage with 82%.
FIGHTING THROUGH 👊
— ATP Tour (@atptour) May 28, 2025
Tommy Paul comes back from two sets down to beat Fucsovics 4-6 2-6 6-3 7-5 6-4… 🔥@rolandgarros | #rolandgarros | #tommypaul pic.twitter.com/MRfhWC1Vst
Khachanov has reached the third round with a routine three-set win over Aleksandar Vukic in the first round, but was tested to the brink in the second round by Sebastian Ofner, finally getting over the hum 6-2 in the fifth set.
The Russian has had a mixed year so far, entering the French Open with a 12-12 record. His only meaningful run this year has been the semi-final he made in Barcelona. Despite his unfavorable results, Khachanov has still fired 129 aces, and holds a service games won percentage of 78%, and has converted on 41% of his break points.
Tommy Paul and Karen Khachanov have played each other twice prior to their match today. The American holds the lead at present, with the head-to-head standing at 2-0. The pair played their first match in 2022 on a hard court, and more recently, they met again at the 2025 Madrid Masters on clay.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | ATP Masters 1000 Madrid | Round of 32 | Tommy Paul | 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 2022 | ATP Masters 1000 Miami | Round of 64 | Tommy Paul | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6(3) |
As far as titles are concerned, there is not much difference between the two. Paul has won 4 titles in his career while Khachanov has 7, but Khachanov has played many more matches at the highest level. Neither has made it past the semi-finals at a Grand Slam, and while the Russian’s highest ranking has been 8, the American has peaked at 9.
| Tommy Paul | Category | Karen Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Ranking | 24 |
| 197-133 | Career W-L | 293-213 |
| 21-8 | YTD W-L | 12-12 |
| 4 | Career Titles | 7 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 0 |
Both players have the game to cause problems to the other, but the main difference this year between the two has been the American’s better form and consistency. Khachanov hasn’t put together a solid performance yet, and that could be the real difference in today’s match.
Prediction: Paul in five sets
Read More: French Open Order of Play Day 6 – Important Matches To Watch Out For
The betting odds in this match are slightly in favor of the Russian, but even as the odds suggest, this match could go either way, especially since both of them have the game to adapt well to the clay.
Tommy Paul Win: 11/10
Karen Khachanov Win: 8/11
(According to BetMGM)
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