Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes Preview, Predictions And MMA Betting Odds

Get to know the betting odds, predictions and picks for the upcoming Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes fight at UFC Vegas 108!

The flyweight division keeps churning out fresh talent and exciting matchups. While bigger weight classes grab headlines, these smaller fighters often deliver the most technical battles. UFC Vegas 108 brings fans another intriguing clash in the 125 pound division that could shake up the rankings.

This card features an undefeated prospect against a crafty veteran looking to spoil the party. Rafael Estevam carries a perfect 13-0 record into enemy territory, while Felipe Bunes brings experience and submission skills that have ended many fights early. The contrast in styles makes this bout particularly compelling for fight fans who appreciate technical grappling mixed with striking exchanges.

Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes Preview

Rafael Estevam enters this contest standing 5’8″ with a 69 inch reach. The Brazilian wrestler has built his success on takedowns and control. His numbers are impressive: 6.41 takedowns per 15 minutes with 35% accuracy. More importantly, he defends 60% of takedown attempts against him. Estevam lands strikes at a modest 2.06 per minute but connects on 57% of his shots. His defensive striking sits at 45%, which means he absorbs 2.94 significant strikes per minute.

Felipe Bunes presents a different challenge entirely. The 35 year old matches Estevam’s height and reach but brings a more aggressive striking approach. Bunes throws 4.49 significant strikes per minute, nearly double Estevam’s output, though his accuracy drops to 53%. His defensive numbers raise concerns as he only defends 41% of strikes and has never successfully defended a takedown attempt in the UFC. However, Bunes makes up for defensive shortcomings with offensive creativity. He averages 2.59 takedowns per 15 minutes and hunts for 2.6 submission attempts per fight.

Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes MMA Betting Odds

The oddsmakers have spoken clearly about this matchup. According to Fanduel, Rafael Estevam opens as a heavy favorite at -620. Meanwhile, Felie Bunes sits at +460 as the underdog.

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The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is exactly similar to that of the fight seeing the judges scorecards (-112). This indicated a coin toss approach, where the oddsmakers aren’t sure if the fight will go the whole 3 rounds.

Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes Predictions And Picks

Rafael Estevam should control this fight from start to finish. His wrestling advantage looks overwhelming on paper, especially considering Bunes’ zero percent takedown defense rate. Once Estevam gets top position, he typically stays there and grinds out rounds methodically.

Felipe Bunes needs to finish this fight early or risk getting dominated. His best chance comes in the opening minutes when his energy peaks and Estevam might still be finding his timing. Those submission attempts average 2.6 per fight for good reason as Bunes never stops hunting for the kill.

If we bet on the fight, we are going with Rafael Estevam to win the fight via unanimous decision.

Felipe Bunes

Rafael Estevam

UFC Vegas 108

Zaid Quraishi

mma

I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!