Analyzing the Latest Odds and Expert Predictions for the 2025-26 Premier League Relegation Battle
The start of the 2025/26 Premier League season is just less than a month away. The 380 matches over the course of the season will determine which of the 20 clubs will win the Premier League title, the race for the UEFA Champions League qualification as well as who will get relegated.
Liverpool will be looking to defend their crown after clinching a historic 20th league title last season. While the focus at the top of the table will be on the title race and European qualification battles, the fight to avoid relegation promises to be equally fierce and unpredictable.
𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐦𝐢𝐞𝐫 𝐋𝐞𝐚𝐠𝐮𝐞 𝐅𝐢𝐱𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐬: Easiest & Toughest Starts 📋
— Opta Analyst (@OptaAnalyst) June 18, 2025
The 2025-26 Premier League fixtures have just been released, so we’ve looked at the schedule to analyse which teams have the easiest and toughest starts to the new season.
Best of luck Ruben Amorim…
The 2025/26 Premier League season kicks off on 15 August. As is tradition, the bottom three teams – finishing 18th to 20th – will drop down to the Championship at the end of the season. Last term, Ipswich Town, Leicester City and Southampton suffered the drop after just a single year back in the top flight.
The 2025/26 Premier League relegation betting markets reflect the historical struggle for newly-promoted sides to survive in the Premier League. For the past two consecutive campaigns, all three promoted clubs were relegated at the first attempt. This trend shows the ever-growing gap between the Premier League and the Championship, making life increasingly difficult for clubs stepping up to England’s elite competition.
💰✨ Newly promoted Premier League side Sunderland have made 6 permanent signings so far this summer. 🔴⚪️ pic.twitter.com/U25bZdxMT2
— EuroFoot (@eurofootcom) July 11, 2025
Odds via ~ BetMGM
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Burnley | -300 |
| Sunderland | -300 |
| Leeds United | +110 |
| Brentford | +333 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | +350 |
| West Ham United | +500 |
| Nottingham Forest | +800 |
| Crystal Palace | +900 |
| Everton | +900 |
| Fulham | +1000 |
| AFC Bournemouth | +1100 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | +1600 |
Three clubs who were promoted last season are already tipped as favourites for relegation in 2025/26. Burnley (-300) and Sunderland (-300) are currently the bookmakers’ strongest picks to go straight back down, while Leeds United (+110) are seen as slightly more capable of survival but still under significant threat.
While Burnley, Sunderland, and Leeds are the clear favourites for relegation ahead of the 2025/26 Premier League season, there are very short odds on these three teams. As a result, there’s arguably more value to be found in looking at other clubs who seem to be entering a period of instability.
Brentford (+333) appear particularly vulnerable after the departure of long-time head coach Thomas Frank. His replacement Keith Andrews, faces a tough task with no Premier League managerial experience. On top of that, key players such as Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa are being linked with exits, with goalkeeper Mark Flekken and Christian Norgaard already gone. With so many changes, there is value in backing Brentford to be relegated.
Similarly, Wolves (+350) are heading into the new season after losing their two best players, Matheus Cunha and Rayan Ait-Nouri. Having narrowly avoided relegation last term, Wolves’ squad looks weaker on paper now, with no major reinforcements expected. As a result, both Wolves and Brentford offer far more value in the relegation market than the obvious favourites.
soccer I am a soccer writer at The PlayOffs, covering everything from match analysis to transfer buzz and tactical deep dives. Ever since I was a kid, soccer has been more than just a sport to me—it’s been an obsession. Playing and watching the game from a young age fueled my passion, eventually leading me into the world of sports media and betting. Now, I get to analyze the sport I love and bring the latest updates to fans worldwide.
Read moreThe best part of my job is staying as close as possible to the beautiful game. From the intensity of matchdays to the drama of the transfer market, every moment keeps me hooked.
To all the readers out there — soccer is unpredictable, chaotic, and often heartbreaking just like our lives. But that’s what makes it beautiful. So, buckle up and enjoy the ride.
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