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Novak Djokovic vs. Alex de Minaur Head-to-Head Record, Prediction and Betting Odds for Wimbledon 2025 Round of 16

Gulshan Sharma

Alex De Minaur defeated Djokovic only once in the 2024 United Cup.

24-time Grand Slam champion, Novak Djokovic will be in action at Centre Court for the round of 16 clash in the 2025 Wimbledon championship. The Serbian superstar will take on Australian ace, Alex de Minaur on Monday afternoon. Djokovic overcame Miomir Kecmanovic in straight sets to secure his record 100th Wimbledon victory. On the other hand, Alex de Minaur outclassed August Holmgren 6-4, 7-6, 6-3 in the third round. It would be a interesting battle between the former No. 1 and the Australian No. 1.

Also Read: Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur Wimbledon Round of 16 Preview – Can De Minaur Find a Way Past the Sensational Serb?

Novak Djokovic is chasing his 25th Grand Slam tournament. The Serbian ace reached the finals in last two years of the Wimbledon competition. He has dropped only 11 games in last two straight-set victories. Novak is yet to drop a round of 16 fixture in the Wimbledon since 2018. The 38-year-old hasn’t played grass-court matchup before the Wimbledon but looked terrific in his first three matches.

Alex De Minaur reached the quarterfinals of the 2024 Wimbledon and he is currently on a 31-12 record this year, including 4-1 on grass. He secured straight-set victories in first and third round. The Australian ace has struggled a lot against Djokovic and has only one victory over the former Wimbledon champion. He has to produced a special show to counter Novak on grass court amid the scoreboard pressure at Centre Court.

Novak Djokovic vs. Alex de Minaur Head to Head Record

Novak Djokovic holds the 3-1 lead over Alex de Minaur in the ATP H2H meetings. The Serbian ace suffered only defeat in the 2024 United Cup in straight sets. Alex de Minaur ended Djokovic’s 43-match winning run in Australia. Meanwhile, it will be their second Grand Slam match as Novak had the last laugh in the 2023 Australian Open.

YearEventRoundWinnerScore
2024WimbledonQuarterfinalNovak Djokovic W/O
2024ATP Masters 1000 Monte-CarloQuarterfinalNovak Djokovic 7-5, 6-4
2024United CupQuarterfinalAlex de Minaur 6-4, 6-4
2023Australian OpenRound of 16Novak Djokovic 6-2, 6-1, 6-2

Novak Djokovic vs. Alex de Minaur Career Comparison

Novak DjokovicCategoryAlex de Minaur
6Current Ranking11
1148–230 Career W-L276–167
24-9YTD W-L31-12
100Career Titles9
24Grand Slams0
1YTD Titles2

Novak Djokovic vs. Alex de Minaur 2025 Wimbledon Prediction

Novak Djokovic brings experience and mental toughness of big matches. The Serbian ace posted a 24-9 record this season and dropped only one set in the competition so far. The 7-time Wimbledon champion will counter Alex de Minaur through aggressive baseline game. His backhand is strong and he can master the both sides of the court.

Alex de Minaur, on the other hand, starts slow but delivers counter punch through long rallies. The Aussie sensation will drag Novak to five sets and trouble him with his strong forehand. Djokovic will lead in return points, return games, and break points. It means, whoever holds the nerves will take charge of the match, Meanwhile, Novak Djokovic will play slightly his longer match of the competition but will find a way to reach the quarterfinals.

Prediction: Novak Djokovic to win in four sets.

Novak Djokovic vs. Alex de Minaur 2025 Wimbledon Betting Odds

With odds at 1/6, Djokovic enters as the strong favorite, considering his Wimbledon records and grass-court run. Alex de Minaur, at 5/1, offers the underdog quality and a potential threat being a solid forehand. Still, the odds favour Djokovic to prevail in the fourth round.

Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM

  • Novak Djokovic: 1/6
  • Alex de Minaur: 5/1

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM): 

  • Total Games Over 32.5: 4/6
  • Total Games Under 32.5: 27/20
  • Set 1 Winner: Djokovic- 1/3 , Minaur 5/2
  • Set 2 Winner: Djokovic- 33/100, Minaur 11/4
  • Total Sets Over 3.5: 7/2
  • Total Sets Under 3.5: 2/9

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

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A native of Jaipur, Rajasthan, journalist, and a complete soccer and basketball fan, he found the huge interest with basketball by watching videos of Allen Iverson and Tony Parker, but fell head over heels in love with the sport during the Warriors’ championship era (2015-2018). A sports game addict since his late PS1, he’s also passionate about the Eagles, Inter Miami and the Fever. He’s fortunate to have seen all his favorite teams win championships. He also has a special love for cricket and football (soccer), where he is a fan of Royal Challengers Bangalore and Barcelona. 

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