Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for Wimbledon 2025 Round of 16

Ben Shelton will be aiming to make it three in a row against Sonego

Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

The number 10 seed at this year’s Wimbledon, Ben Shelton, plays his round of 16 tie against Lorenzo Sonego. This will be the second match on the No. 1 Court today, with the winner moving on to the quarters to face either world number 1, Jannik Sinner, or Grigor Dimitrov.

The American 22-year-old has matched his best result at the Championships, and a win today will put him in the quarters for the first time. Shelton has powered through the tournament thus far with convincing straight-set victories over Alex Bolt, Rinky Hijikata, and Marton Fucsovics in his first, second, and third rounds respectively.

Shelton has served well throughout the tournament with 34 aces and just 10 double faults, winning 95% of his service games. But, he has been equally effective on return games, converting nearly 40% of his break point chances.

At 22 years old, Ben Shelton becomes the youngest American man to make three Major Round of 16 appearances in a year since Andy Roddick in 2004 🇺🇲 pic.twitter.com/OOHdgD0HNz
— ESPN (@espn) July 5, 2025

As for Sonego, grass is one of his better surfaces, but even then, his overall record stands at 23-20, while he is only 2-3 this year. It’s been more of a struggle for the Italian, especially in the past couple of rounds.

Sonego defeated Jaime Faria in straight sets in round one, but then came through in four and five-set matches against Nikoloz Basilashvili and Brandon Nakashima in the second and third rounds respectively.

Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these two stands at 3-1 in favor of the American. Shelton has won the previous two meetings, but today’s match will be the pair’s first meeting on grass. Their last match came just last month at Roland Garros, in which Shelton prevailed in five sets.

Year	Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025	Roland Garros	Round of 128	Ben Shelton	6-4, 4-6, 3-6, 6-2, 6-3
2025	Australian Open	Quarterfinal	Ben Shelton	6-4, 7-5, 4-6, 7-6
2023	Roland Garros	Round of 128	Lorenzo Sonego	6-4, 3-6, 6-3, 6-3
2022	Cincinnati	Round of 64	Ben Shelton	7-6, 3-6, 7-5

Sensazionale 🇮🇹

Lorenzo Sonego wins a five-set thriller in over five hours, defeating Brandon Nakashima 6-7(5), 7-6(8), 7-6(2), 3-6, 7-6(3)#Wimbledon pic.twitter.com/1gqaAoSd11
— Wimbledon (@Wimbledon) July 5, 2025

Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego Comparison

Ben Shelton	Category	Lorenzo Sonego
10	Ranking	47
90-67	Career W-L	153-171
19-14	YTD W-L	11-16
2	Career Titles	4
0	Grand Slams	0
0	YTD Titles	0

Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego Wimbledon 2025 Prediction

Shelton will head into this match as the favorite. Although he has had his fair share of struggles, he seems to turn things around at the majors. Moreover, he has been playing really well on grass, and his big serve should give him the edge.

Sonego has also played good grass-court tennis up to this point, but countering Shelton’s serve may not be an easy task. And then there is the added pressure of consecutive defeats to the same player at this year’s previous 2 slams.

Match Prediction: Shelton wins in four sets

Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonego Wimbledon 2025 Betting Odds

As per BetMGM, Shelton is the heavy favorite with a 76% chance of winning this match. The money line for this match also shows the American as the favorite to win by a big margin. (Sourced from BetMGM).

As for the number of games and sets, the betting odds by BetMGM reflect that Shelton is favored to win the match in four sets.

Bet	Ben Shelton	Lorenzo Sonego
Match Odds	27/100	14/5

The over-under for the number of sets and games in this match is as follows:

Total Sets – Over 3.5: 11/20
Total Sets – Under 3.5: 7/5
Total Sets – Under 4.5: 3/10

Total Games won by Borges – Over 19.5: 10/11
Total Games – Over 40.5: 17/20
Total Games – Under 40.5: 10/11

Sonego to win at least one set: 11/25
Total Tiebreaks – Under 1.5: 13/25

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals, and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Ben Shelton

Lorenzo Sonego

Tennis

Wimbledon

Wimbledon 2025

Devavrat Kulkarni

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I am a content writer for the NFL team, and joined The Playoffs after working with Sportskeeda and NFL Analysis as an NFL writer. After starting my professional career as a French-to-English translator, working as a content writer is a new adventure for me. I started out in the sports media field for two main reasons: my love for sports in general, especially the NFL, NBA, and Tennis, as well as my passion for writing. The best part of this job is that I get to write a variety of pieces with the freedom to explore content from various angles. It also enables me to stay up to date with the sporting world, which otherwise can be difficult to do in the day-to-day grind. In a world full of chaos, sports unite and entertain like nothing else!