Norway
Senegal
>World Cup · 2Norway vs Senegal: Prediction and Odds, World Cup, 22/06/2026
Norway return to the World Cup stage after 28 years and face a Senegal side reeling from their opening defeat to France. This Group I clash at New York New Jersey Stadium on June 22 carries enormous weight: victory would put Norway on the brink of the knockouts, while Senegal's tournament life hangs in the balance. The hosts are priced at 2.25.
Projected final score: 2-1
Norway's commanding 4-1 opening win over Iraq, combined with Senegal's 3-1 defeat to France, creates a 7-goal swing in group momentum that firmly favours Solbakken's side. Haaland is already on two World Cup goals and Norway sit top of the group, making them a strong selection at 2.25.
Senegal's must-win desperation means Pape Thiaw's side will push forward, leaving space for Norway's counter-attack but also allowing Mané and Jackson to threaten a backline with only two clean sheets in their last nine internationals. A tight, open game points to goals at both ends, supporting 1.71 and a narrow three-goal total.
Recommended Bets for Norway vs Senegal
Norway vs Senegal, Odds Comparison
Match Analysis
Norway enter this fixture as clear favorites at 2.25, riding the momentum of a commanding 4-1 opening win over Iraq. Haaland's two-goal performance and a fully fit squad make Ståle Solbakken's side the dominant force in Group I.
- 4-1 opening win over Iraq gives Norway a decisive goal difference advantage in the group.
- Erling Haaland already has 2 World Cup goals, supported by Ødegaard and Sørloth in a fluid 4-3-3.
- Top of Group I, Norway carry superior psychological momentum into a must-win fixture for their opponents.
- Fully fit squad with zero injury or suspension concerns, allowing Solbakken to field his strongest XI.
Senegal arrive at 3.00 facing a must-win situation after conceding three goals to France in their opener. Pape Thiaw's side retain quality through Mané, Koulibaly, and Sarr, but their defensive frailties were brutally exposed in matchday one.
- 3 goals conceded against France highlighted a fragile defensive structure under pressure.
- A 3-1 opening defeat forces Senegal to attack, exposing them to Norway's sharp counter-attacks.
- Despite a World ranking of 15th, Senegal's tournament form and confidence are severely undermined.
Key point: With both defenses vulnerable, the double chance covering Norway and a high-scoring game makes 1.91 a compelling complement to the home win prediction.
Statistics and Head-to-Head
Form & Statistics: Norway vs Senegal
Norway
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Senegal
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Norway vs Senegal: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
Probabilities & Odds: Norway vs Senegal
Source : betmgm.comMatch Information
Lineups: Norway vs Senegal
Norway
Starters
- 1 Ørjan Nyland
- 2 Julian Ryerson
- 3 Kristoffer Ajer
- 4 Torbjørn Heggem
- 5 David Møller Wolfe
- 6 Martin Ødegaard
- 7 Sander Berge
- 8 Fredrik Aursnes
- 9 Alexander Sørloth
- 10 Erling Haaland
- 11 Antonio Nusa
Bench
- Leo Skiri Østigård
- Fredrik Bjørkan
- Kristian Thorstvedt
- Oscar Bobb
- Jørgen Strand Larsen
- Patrick Berg
- Thelo Aasgaard
Senegal
Starters
- 1 Édouard Mendy
- 2 Krépin Diatta
- 3 Kalidou Koulibaly
- 4 Moussa Niakhaté
- 5 El Hadji Malick Diouf
- 6 Idrissa Gueye
- 7 Pape Gueye
- 8 Lamine Camara
- 9 Ismaila Sarr
- 10 Nicolas Jackson
- 11 Sadio Mané
Bench
- Ibrahim Mbaye
- Pathé Ciss
- Habib Diarra
- Iliman Ndiaye
- Ismaïl Jakobs
- Pape Matar Sarr
- Abdoulaye Seck
Medium confidence
A mirror clash of 4-3-3 systems sets up a fascinating tactical duel, with Norway's pressing game built around Erling Haaland as the central reference point and Martin Ødegaard pulling strings in midfield. Senegal match that structure with their own dynamic front three, anchored by the experience of Sadio Mané.
The battle in the middle third looks decisive: Norway's Sander Berge and Fredrik Aursnes will need to contain a Senegalese trio featuring the energy of Lamine Camara and the veteran nous of Idrissa Gueye. Both lineups carry multiple credible sources, giving this preview a solid foundation ahead of what promises to be a genuinely open Group Stage encounter.
Final thoughts on the predictions for Norway vs Senegal
Norway's momentum, Haaland's razor-sharp finishing, and a fully fit squad make them the clear pick in this Group I clash. Senegal need a result but lack the defensive solidity to contain this Norwegian attack, as their 3-1 loss to France exposed. The pick is Norway to win at 2.25, a selection backed by form, fitness, and tactical superiority on both sides of the ball. This is a preview of an upcoming match and should not be considered as betting advice or a recommendation to place a wager.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main prediction for Norway vs Senegal?
Norway to win at 2.25 is the clear selection: the Norwegians top Group I after a 4-1 demolition of Iraq, while Senegal arrive battered and in must-win mode after conceding three to France, making Norway's superior tournament momentum the single most decisive factor.
What is the highest odd for Norway to win?
The best available price on a Norway victory is 2.25. Punters who want safer coverage can explore the double chance combining Norway and the draw, which wraps the home side's win into a lower-risk position without needing a clean Norway victory to cash.
Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?
Both sides have shown they can score and concede freely: Norway put four past Iraq and Senegal leaked three against France. That attacking openness points firmly toward Over 2.5 goals at 1.91, with a combined average well above three goals per game across their opening World Cup fixtures.
When and where is Norway vs Senegal played?
Norway vs Senegal kicks off on 23 June 2026 at 02:00 CET (00:00 UTC). The match is played at New York New Jersey Stadium, one of the flagship venues for the 2026 tournament in the United States.
Can Senegal pull off an upset against Norway?
It is possible but genuinely difficult. Senegal's attacking trio of Mané, Jackson, and Sarr carries real quality, yet their defensive frailties were ruthlessly exposed against France. At 3.00, the market reflects a near 29% implied chance, which feels fair given Norway's form, full fitness, and Haaland's threat up front.
Which alternative market offers the best value?
With both defenses already proven leaky, Both Teams to Score at 1.71 offers strong value. Norway kept only two clean sheets in their last nine internationals, and Senegal's forwards are too dangerous to be blanked, making a mutual exchange of goals the likeliest scoring pattern here.
Where to watch the match
- ITV1
- ITVX
Norway vs Senegal will be broadcast live on ITV1 in the United Kingdom, with kickoff scheduled for 1:00 AM BST on 23 June 2026. The match is part of the World Cup group stage and carries significant implications for both sides.
Viewers who prefer to watch online can stream the match via ITVX, ITV's dedicated streaming platform, available through its website and mobile app. ITVX offers free access to ITV content, making this World Cup clash accessible without an additional subscription.
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