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World Cup
Jordan
23 Jun 2026 03:00
Algeria
Prediction:
· 5.75
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World Cup · 2

Jordan vs Algeria: Prediction and Odds, World Cup, 22/06/2026

23 Jun 2026 San Francisco Bay Area Stadium Marcelo Javelly

Two teams staring at early elimination collide at the San Francisco Bay Area Stadium on June 22 in a World Cup Group J fixture that carries knockout-round stakes. Algeria, priced at 1.57, arrive as clear favourites against a Jordan side making its historic tournament debut, but both desperately need three points after opening-match defeats.

Our prediction
2: Algeria to win
1.57 on betmgm.com · Confidence Medium
Algeria's superior squad depth, vastly greater tournament experience, and the likely return of Riyad Mahrez make them the strongest pick in this contest.
Odds recorded on 23 Sep 2026 at 10:34 · Odds are subject to change

Projected final score: 0-2

Algeria are the clear class act here, ranked 28 in the world against Jordan's 63, and their form of 4 wins or draws from their last 5 contrasts sharply with Jordan's winless run of 3 losses and 2 draws. With Riyad Mahrez back in the starting XI alongside Mohamed Amoura, 1.57 reflects a side finally at full attacking strength.

Jordan have conceded 13 goals across their last 5 matches and are missing three key defenders to serious injuries, including two ACL victims. That defensive fragility points firmly toward Algeria finding the net more than once, while Jordan's toothless attack, limited by squad depth issues, makes 1.80 a reasonable expectation in a controlled Algerian victory.

Recommended Bets for Jordan vs Algeria

Jordan vs Algeria, Odds Comparison

Odds comparison

betmgm.comfanduel.com
Jordan to win5.756.00
Draw4.004.20
Algeria to win1.571.54
Under 2.51.871.88
BTTS Yes1.982.00

Odds recorded on 23 Sep 2026 at 10:34 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Algeria enter this crucial World Cup second-round fixture as clear favourites at 1.57, backed by a world ranking of 28, five World Cup appearances, and the return of Riyad Mahrez to the starting lineup after his surprise omission against Argentina.

  • World ranking 28 vs 63: Algeria hold a commanding quality gap over Jordan.
  • 3W-1D-1L in their last five matches, compared to Jordan's winless 0W-2D-3L run.
  • Mahrez and Amoura (10 qualifying goals) reunite in attack at full strength for the first time this tournament.
  • Algeria's opening loss came against reigning champions Argentina, a far tougher test than Jordan faced.

Jordan face a steep challenge at 5.75, arriving with zero points, four confirmed injury absences including two ACL victims, and a defence that has shipped 13 goals across their last five matches heading into this must-win encounter.

  • 13 goals conceded in their last five matches, the worst defensive record of both sides.
  • Four key players out through injury: Al-Naimat, Smeeri, Al-Quraishi, and Sabra all unavailable.
  • Zero World Cup wins in their debut tournament, with limited experience at this level.

Key point: With both defences exposed in their openers and Algeria's attack now at full strength, the over 2.5 goals market at 1.91 offers a compelling complementary angle to the away win.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Form & Statistics: Jordan vs Algeria

Jordan

Recent form

LLLDD
Wins0/5 (0%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses3/5 (60%)

Season statistics (5)

2.3Total goals
46%Both teams score
1.3Goals scored
1Goals conceded

Algeria

Recent form

LWWDW
Wins3/5 (60%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

2.3Total goals
38%Both teams score
1.8Goals scored
0.5Goals conceded
StatisticJordanAlgeria
Last 5 results2D 3L·3W 1D 1L
Avg goals scored1.3·1.8
Avg goals conceded1.0·0.5
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/5·2/5

Probabilities & Odds: Jordan vs Algeria

Source : betmgm.com
MarketProbabilityOdds
Jordan to win17.4%5.75
Draw25%4.00
Algeria to win63.7%1.57
Both teams to score (Yes)50.5%1.98
Over 2.5 goals52.4%1.91
Under 2.5 goals53.5%1.87

Match Information

Competition: World Cup
Stage: Group Stage, 2
Date: 23 Jun 2026
Time: 03:00 UTC
Stadium: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
Probable lineup

Lineups: Jordan vs Algeria

Jordan

3-4-2-1
  1. 1 Yazeed Abulaila
  2. 2 Abdallah Nasib
  3. 3 Yazan Al-Arab
  4. 4 Mohammad Abualnadi
  5. 5 Ihsan Haddad
  6. 6 Nizar Al-Rashdan
  7. 7 Noor Al-Rawabdeh
  8. 8 Mohannad Abu Taha
  9. 9 Odeh Fakhouri
  10. 10 Mousa Al-Tamari
  11. 11 Ali Olwan
  • Malek Abu Dahab
  • Hassan Abu Hasheesh
  • Fadi Abu Zraiq
  • Anas Al Daoud
  • Mahmoud Al Mardi
  • Saed Al-Rosan
  • Ahmed Azaizerh
  • Bara' Marei
  • Rajaei Ayed
  • Mahmoud Shawkat
  • Yousef Abu Jalboush
  • Mohammad Taha
  • Yazan Al-Naimat (torn ligament (ACL))
  • Issam Smeeri (ruptured Achilles tendon)
  • Adham Al-Quraishi (ACL injury)
  • Ibrahim Sabra (torn ankle ligament)

Algeria

4-3-3
  1. 1 Luca Zidane
  2. 2 Rafik Belghali
  3. 3 Aissa Mandi
  4. 4 Ramy Bensebaini
  5. 5 Rayan Ait-Nouri
  6. 6 Hicham Boudaoui
  7. 7 Nabil Bentaleb
  8. 8 Ibrahim Maza
  9. 9 Riyad Mahrez
  10. 10 Mohamed Amoura
  11. 11 Fares Chaibi
  • Anthony Mandrea
  • Zineddine Belaid
  • Samir Chergui
  • Ahmed Touba
  • Ramiz Zerrouki
  • Houssem Aouar
  • Anis Hadj Moussa
  • Amine Gouiri
  • Islam Slimani

Medium confidence

A compact 3-4-2-1 meets a classic 4-3-3 as Jordan and Algeria prepare for a pivotal Group Stage clash. Jordan's narrow defensive block will look to absorb pressure before releasing Mousa Al-Tamari in behind, while Algeria's width and technical midfield trio should create consistent overloads.

Riyad Mahrez anchors Algeria's attacking threat from the right flank, and his ability to cut inside against Jordan's wing-backs could prove decisive. Both lineups carry probable status from credible sources, giving reasonable confidence in these shapes ahead of the 03:00 kickoff.

Final thoughts on the predictions for Jordan vs Algeria

Algeria's superior squad depth, vastly greater tournament experience, and the likely return of Riyad Mahrez make them the strongest pick in this contest. Jordan showed heart against Austria but conceded three goals, and their defensive frailties will be punished by a sharper Algerian attack. The pick is Algeria to win at 1.57, a line that offers fair value given the gulf in quality between these two sides. Odds and markets subject to change.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main prediction for Jordan vs Algeria?

Algeria to win is the call here, backed at 1.57, with the single most decisive factor being Algeria's ranking advantage of 35 places over Jordan, whose defence has conceded 13 goals across their last five matches, making them deeply vulnerable to a frontline featuring Mahrez and Amoura.

What is the highest odd for Jordan to win?

Jordan's best home-win price sits at 5.75, reflecting their heavy underdog status. Bettors seeking safer coverage can explore the double chance combining Jordan and the draw, which effectively insures against an Algerian win while keeping Jordan's slim upset potential in play.

Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?

Jordan have conceded 13 goals in their last five matches, and Algeria boast Mohamed Amoura with 10 qualifying goals. With both defences under pressure in a must-win group stage clash, the goals are expected to flow. The Over 2.5 market at 1.91 looks like the standout angle.

When and where is Jordan vs Algeria played?

Jordan vs Algeria kicks off at 03:00 UTC on June 23, 2026, which converts to 05:00 CET. The match is staged at the San Francisco Bay Area Stadium in the United States.

Can Algeria pull off an upset against Jordan?

Algeria are actually the favourites here, not the underdogs. Framed correctly, the question is whether Jordan can cause the upset. At 1.57 for Algeria, the market reflects their clear quality edge: a 35-place ranking gap, five World Cup appearances versus Jordan's debut, and Mahrez returning to the XI make a Jordanian upset genuinely unlikely.

Which alternative market offers the best value?

With no over/under or BTTS odds available, the best alternative angle is the Both Teams to Score market at 1.98. Jordan did find the net against Austria via Ali Olwan's historic goal, and Algeria's defence is not impenetrable after shipping three to Argentina, giving both sides a realistic scoring chance.

Where to watch the match

  • ITV1
  • ITVX
  • bet365
  • BBC iPlayer
  • BBC One

Jordan vs Algeria will be broadcast live on ITV1 and BBC One via linear television, with the match kicking off at 03:00 UTC on 23 June 2026, meaning UK viewers will need to stay up late or set their alarms for an early morning start.

For those preferring to stream, ITVX, BBC iPlayer, and bet365 all carry the match online, giving viewers flexible options across devices and platforms to catch this World Cup group stage clash.

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