Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Italian Open 2025 – Matteo Berrettini vs. Jacob Fearnley Prediction and Betting Odds for ATP Round of 64

Berrettini and Fearnley Square Off in Rome

Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

The 29th-seeded Matteo Berrettini will kick off his Italian Open campaign this Saturday against the Brit Jacob Fearnley in the second round. Berrettini received a first-round bye, while Fearnley advanced by taking down wild card Fabio Fognini in commanding straight sets.

The Italian’s 2025 season has been a rollercoaster. He has had deep runs with no titles, and the lows have stayed low. After early exits in Melbourne and Rotterdam, he found some rhythm with back-to-back quarterfinals in Qatar and Dubai. A gritty straight-sets win over Novak Djokovic, featuring a tiebreaker in the opener, stood out in Doha.

He backed it up with a quarterfinal in Miami, losing to Taylor Fritz in three sets. In Monte Carlo, he upset world No. 2 Alexander Zverev before falling to Lorenzo Musetti in the round of 16. Just as momentum was building, Madrid dealt a blow. He retired from his round of 32 clash with Jack Draper due to an abdominal injury.

Roma 🤝 Matteo Berrettini pic.twitter.com/F2hOxrvHYH
— SuperTennis TV (@SuperTennisTv) May 8, 2025

Across the net, 23-year-old Brit Jacob Fearnley is still finding his footing on the ATP main tour. He opened strong with a semifinal in Canberra and a third-round showing at the Australian Open. Since then, results have been uneven. He suffered a first-round loss at Indian Wells and a round of 32 defeat against Grigor Dimitrov in Madrid. The upside is clear, but consistency is still a missing piece.

Matteo Berrettini vs. Jacob Fearnley Head-to-Head Record

Matteo Berrettini and Jacob Fearnley do not have a head-to-head yet. This match at the 2025 Italian Open will be their first meeting ever.

Matteo Berrettini vs. Jacob Fearnley Comparison

Matteo Berrettini	Category	Jacob Fearnley
30	Ranking	57
200-107	Career W-L	9-9
12-9	YTD W-L	7-6
10	Career Titles	0
0	Grand Slams	0
0	YTD Titles	0

Matteo Berrettini vs. Jacob Fearnley Prediction

Berrettini holds the edge with his experience and big-match pedigree, especially in front of a home crowd. But if Fearnley finds an early rhythm and keeps his nerves in check, this could turn into a testing opener for the Italian.

Prediction: Matteo Berrettini in straight sets.