Mar 18, 2023; London, UNITED KINGDOM; Marvin Vettori (red gloves) reacts during his fight with Roman Dolidze (not pictured) during UFC 286 at O2 Arena. Mandatory Credit: Per Haljestam-USA TODAY Sports

ufc-predictions

Marvin Vettori vs Brendan Allen Preview, Predictions And MMA Betting Odds

Get to know the betting odds. predictions and picks for the upcoming Marvin Vettori vs Brendan Allen fight at UFC 318!

Both Marvin Vettori and Brendan Allen know the feeling of ups and downs all too well. These two veterans have been grinding in the octagon for years, collecting wins and losses along the way. Sometimes the sport rewards patience, other times it punishes those who wait too long to make their move.

What makes this fight particularly interesting is the timing for both men. Vettori has been headlining cards but coming up short in big moments. Allen has been climbing steadily but hitting roadblocks against elite competition. Both fighters sit at similar crossroads in their careers, making this matchup feel like a pivotal moment. The winner gets to stay relevant in a UFC middleweight division, while the loser might need to seriously reconsider their championship aspirations.

Marvin Vettori vs Brendan Allen Preview

Marvin Vettori enters this bout with a 19-8-1 record and some serious questions about his recent form. ‘The Italian Dream’ has headlined two APEX events recently, losing both by decision. Standing 6’0″ with a 74 inch reach, Vettori fights from a southpaw stance. His striking output averages 4.54 significant strikes per minute with solid 46% accuracy. He absorbs 4.37 strikes per minute while defending 56% of incoming attacks. His wrestling shows 1.51 takedown attempts per fight at 45% accuracy. His takedown defense traditionally sat at strong levels, but recent fights have exposed some vulnerabilities at 69%.

Brendan Allen brings a 24-7 record and slightly better recent momentum into this fight. His last outing was a co-main event loss to Anthony Hernandez, but he looked competitive despite the defeat. Before that, he dropped another co-main event decision to Nassourdine Imavov. Allen measures 6’2″ with a 75 inch reach and fights from an orthodox stance. His striking output sits lower at 3.55 significant strikes per minute but with better 53% accuracy. He takes less damage, absorbing 3.67 strikes per minute while defending 45% of strikes. His wrestling attempts match Vettori at 1.53 per fight but with lower 38% accuracy. His takedown defense sits at 56%, and his submission average of 1.3 attempts per fight shows his grappling threat.

Marvin Vettori vs Brendan Allen MMA Betting Odds

According to Fanduel, the oddsmakers have made Brendan Allen the favorite at -235. Meanwhile Marvin Vettori returns at +180. These odds suggest the market believes Allen’s recent performances have been more impressive than Vettori’s.

FanDuel

High total bonus ceiling

Daily second-chance bet protection

No promo code required

$150

Welcome offer

Bet $5 & Get $150 in Bonus Bets

Click to reveal code

COPIED

F A N D U V I P

Claim now

New customers only. Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.

The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is lower and the odds (+194) reflect that. The odds for the fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at -260.

Marvin Vettori vs Brendan Allen Predictions And Picks

This fight comes down to energy levels and who can impose their pace longer. Allen has shown remarkable cardio in his recent fights, using it to drag opponents into exhausting exchanges. His clinch work and grappling transitions wear down opponents both physically and mentally. Vettori has traditionally been durable, but age and recent wars might be catching up to him.

The key factor will be Vettori’s takedown defense, which has shown cracks lately. Allen won’t blast double leg takedowns like a pure wrestler, but his fence work and transitions create opportunities. His ability to press opponents against the cage and find ways to get behind them could be decisive.

Vettori holds the striking advantage with more power and cleaner technique. However, Allen’s chin has held up well against harder hitters, and his defensive improvements have been noticeable. The Italian’s striking edge might not be enough to overcome Allen’s pace and pressure.

If we bet on the fight, we are going with Brendan Allen to win the fight via unanimous decision.

(Image Credit: Per Haljestam – Imagn Images)

Brendan Allen

Marvin Vettori

UFC 318

Zaid Quraishi

mma

I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!