Jun 7, 2025; Newark, New Jersey, UNITED STATES; Vicente Luque (red gloves) fights Kevin Holland (blue gloves) during UFC 316 at Prudential Center. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

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Kevin Holland vs Daniel Rodriguez Preview, Predictions And MMA Betting Odds

Get to know the betting odds, predictions and picks for the upcoming Kevin Holland vs Daniel Rodriguez fight at UFC 318!

Jun 7, 2025; Newark, New Jersey, UNITED STATES; Vicente Luque (red gloves) fights Kevin Holland (blue gloves) during UFC 316 at Prudential Center. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

The 32 year old Kevin Holland has become one of the most active fighters on the UFC roster, seemingly willing to fight anyone, anywhere, anytime. His willingness to step up on short notice has made him a fan favourite, even if it hasn’t always worked out in his favor. Holland’s journey through the UFC has been a wild ride of highlight reel finishes mixed with frustrating setbacks that left fans wondering which version would show up on fight night.

Standing across from him at UFC 318 is Daniel Rodriguez, a grizzled veteran who’s carved out his own path in the welterweight jungle. At 38 years old, ‘D-Rod’ represents the old school approach to MMA: show up, throw hands, and let the chips fall where they may. Rodriguez has never been one to back down from a scrap, which makes this matchup particularly intriguing. Both men bring serious stopping power to the octagon, but their paths to victory couldn’t be more different. This clash promises to deliver the kind of action that makes UFC 318’s main card worth watching.

Kevin Holland vs Daniel Rodriguez Preview

Holland enters this bout with a significant physical advantage that could prove decisive. Standing 6’3″ with an 81 inch reach, he towers over Rodriguez’s 5’11” frame and 75 inch reach. That seven inch reach difference gives Holland the ability to control distance and pick his shots from the outside. His striking statistics show a measured approach, landing 4.24 significant strikes per minute with 50% accuracy while absorbing just 3.11 strikes per minute. His defensive numbers sit at 50%, which isn’t spectacular but shows improvement from his earlier wild-swinging days.

Rodriguez brings a completely different energy to this fight. The southpaw pressure fighter unloads an impressive 7.39 significant strikes per minute, but his defensive struggles show as he absorbs 5.39 strikes back. Those numbers paint the picture of a fighter who loves to trade shots regardless of the consequences. At 38 years old, Rodriguez’s chin has absorbed plenty of punishment over the years, which could become a factor if Holland finds his range early.

Kevin Holland vs Daniel Rodriguez MMA Betting Odds

The sportsbooks have made their position crystal clear on this matchup. According to Fanduel, Kevin Holland opens as a massive -500 favorite. Meanwhile, Daniel Rodriguez sits as a +310 underdog. These odds reflect several key factors working in Holland’s favor. His physical advantages, recent winning streak, and overall skill level have impressed oddsmakers enough to make him a favorite.

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The odds for the fight going the distance has also come out. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is slightly higher and the odds (-190) reflect that. The odds for the fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at +148.

Kevin Holland vs Daniel Rodriguez Predictions And Picks

Holland’s reach advantage will allow him to control the pace and pick his shots from the outside. Rodriguez needs to pressure constantly and hope his veteran experience can overcome the physical disadvantages, but that’s a tall order against someone with Holland’s dimensions and improving skills.

Holland’s submission game adds another layer of danger for Rodriguez. The old school brawler isn’t known for his ground game, and Holland has shown he can finish fights both standing and on the mat. Rodriguez’s best chance involves turning this into a phone booth fight and hoping his pressure can overwhelm Holland’s defensive improvements.

If we bet on the fight, we are going with Kevin Holland to win the fight via submission.

(Image Credit: Vincent Carchietta – Imagn Images)

Daniel Rodriguez

Kevin Holland

UFC 318

Zaid Quraishi

mma

I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!