The strawweight division is Jessica Andrade’s playground, even when things don’t go her way. The Brazilian powerhouse once ruled this division as champion back in 2019, delivering one of the most memorable title wins in UFC history when she slammed Rose Namajunas unconscious at UFC 237. That knockout remains one of the most replayed highlights in women’s MMA history. Now at 33 years old, Andrade finds herself in a familiar spot. She needs to prove she still belongs among the elite after a tough submission loss to Jasmine Jasudavicius earlier this year.
Standing across from her at UFC 319 will be Loopy Godinez, a Mexican Canadian fighter who’s quietly building something special in the 115 pound division. The 31 year-old has been on a tear lately, winning three straight fights. This fight represents a golden opportunity for Godinez to make a statement against a former champion while Andrade looks to remind everyone why she was once the most feared woman in the division.
Andrade brings her trademark aggression with 6.39 significant strikes landed per minute. Her 50% accuracy shows she’s not just swinging wildly. She’s picking her shots while maintaining that relentless pressure that made her famous. Standing at 5’1″ with a 62 inch reach, she’s learned to make every inch count by getting inside and unleashing her power shots. Andrade averages 2.21 takedowns per fight with a solid 54% success rate. Her takedown defense sits at 71%, which is respectable
Godinez takes a more calculated approach, landing 4.28 strikes per minute at 48% accuracy while absorbing significantly less damage at 3.87 strikes per minute. Her 61% strike defense is notably better than Andrade’s 54%, showing she’s much better at avoiding the big shots that can change fights in an instant. At 5’2″ with a 61 inch reach, she’s almost identical in size to Andrade but uses her length differently, preferring to control distance and pick her moments rather than brawl in the pocket.
Godinez attempts 3.12 takedowns per fight at 47% accuracy, but her real advantage shows in her 81% takedown defense.. Her 0.9 submission attempts per fight compared to Andrade’s 0.3 suggests she’s more comfortable hunting for finishes on the ground.
According to FanDuel, Loopy Godinez is a slight favorite at -152. Meanwhile Jessica Andrade comes back at +128 as the underdog. These odds reflect the recent form and stylistic matchup rather than name recognition alone.
The odds for the fight going the distance have also come out. The probability of the fight ending before the final bell is lower and the odds (+192) reflect that. The odds for the fight seeing the judges scorecards stand at -260
This matchup comes down to whether Loopy Godinez can implement her gameplan without getting caught in Andrade’s violent storms. The Mexican-Canadian fighter has the tools to win this fight. She has better defense, superior takedown defense, and a more diverse submission game. Her recent wins show she can handle pressure and maintain composure against tough opponents who want to make things ugly.
However, Andrade remains one of the most dangerous fighters in the division when she finds her rhythm. Her power transcends weight classes, and she’s knocked out fighters much larger than Godinez throughout her career. The former champion’s experience in high stakes fights gives her an edge when things get chaotic, and she knows how to turn momentum in an instant.
If we bet on the fight, we are going with Loopy Godinez to win via unanimous decision.
(All odds taken from FanDuel. Bet on the most up-to-date MMA odds, lines, and spreads with FanDuel Sportsbook)
(Image Credit: Mark J. Rebilas – Imagn Images)
mma I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!
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