Rome Champion Paolini Meets Roland Garros Surprise Package
The fourth seed, Jasmine Paolini, takes on lucky loser Yuliia Starodubtseva today in the third round of Roland Garros, marking their first-ever meeting.
In the French Open 2025, Paolini opened with a hard-fought three-set win over Yue Yuan before easing past Ajla Tomljanovic in the second round. Starodubtseva, who lost in qualifying to Sara Bejlek, has made the most of her second chance. The Ukrainian stunned 29th seed Linda Noskova in a gritty three-set battle, then followed up with a straight-sets win over Anastasia Potapova, edging out a tense first-set tiebreak.
Starodubtseva d. Anastasia Potapova 7-6(4) 6-2 at Roland Garros
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) May 28, 2025
Huge win for Yulia.
She started this week as a Lucky Loser.
Now, she’s into the 3rd round of a Grand Slam for the first time.
Nothing better than seeing someone’s hard work pay off.
🇺🇦💙 pic.twitter.com/2IjoNYB5yT
Paolini arrived in Paris riding the momentum from her Rome sweep, winning both singles and doubles (with Sara Errani), the first Italian to do so in four decades. After a slow start to the season, she found form with semifinal runs in Miami and Stuttgart, both ending at the hands of world No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka. A round of 16 in Madrid followed before her Rome breakthrough. Now in peak form, Paolini holds a 22-8 record with 40 aces, a 67.6% first-serve win rate, and a 49.8% break point conversion.
Jasmine Paolini becomes the first woman to win both the singles and doubles title in Rome since Monica Seles in 1990.
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) May 18, 2025
She is also the 2nd woman to ever win both the singles and doubles titles in a WTA 1000 event since Vera Zvonareva in 2009.
Insane.
🇮🇹❤️ pic.twitter.com/aSoLBJsoH0
Starodubtseva, ranked No. 81, is still finding her footing this season. Known for being the first woman in the Open Era to qualify for all four Slams (last year), she’s had mostly early exits, with her best result a round of 16 in Madrid. She upset Liudmila Samsonova before falling to Mirra Andreeva. Her 8-15 record includes 10 aces, 63.6% service games won, and a 35.1% break point conversion, decent numbers for a player making the most of her lucky loser lifeline in Paris.
Jasmine Paolini and Yullia Starodubtseva do not have a head-to-head record yet.
| Jasmine Paolini | Category | Yuliia Starodubtseva |
| 4 | Ranking | 81 |
| 408-278 | Career W-L | 121-80 |
| 22-8 | YTD W-L | 8-15 |
| 3 | Career Titles | 0 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
Jasmine Paolini keeps on cruising in Paris ⛴️#RolandGarros pic.twitter.com/4oQ1QzHvjq
— Roland-Garros (@rolandgarros) May 28, 2025
Paolini enters as the clear favorite, backed by strong recent form and confidence from her Rome double. Her all-court game and momentum give her the edge. Still, Starodubtseva has shown grit in Paris and has nothing to lose. If Paolini stays steady, she should advance, but she can’t afford to underestimate the Ukrainian’s fight.
Prediction: Jasmine Paolini in straight sets
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Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
Jasmine Paolini: 1/18
Yuliia Starodubtseva: 19/2
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mma I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.
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