Jan 16, 2025; Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Jasmine Paolini of Italy hits a forehand during her match against Renata Zarazua of Mexico in the second round of the women's singles at the 2025 Australian Open at Melbourne Park.

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Jasmine Paolini vs. Peyton Stearns Preview, Prediction and Betting Odds for WTA Italian Open 2025 Semifinal

First meeting between the two stars!

No. 6 seed Jasmine Paolini will battle marathon woman Peyton Stearns in the 2025 Internazionali BNL d’Italia semifinals on Thursday. This is set to be the first meeting between the two gritty WTA stars – their current head to head stands at 0-0. The winner of this encounter will take on either Coco Gauff, or the winner of Aryna Sabalenka vs Zheng Qinwen.

Jasmine Paolini vs. Peyton Stearns Preview

Jasmine Paolini will receive the unwavering support of the partisan Italian crowd when she steps onto Centre Court on Thursday. The 29-year-old is the defending Roland Garros runner-up, and dropped just one set en route to the semifinals. Paolini has an 18-7 record in 2025 and is excelling on the doubles circuit side-by-side. She has beaten Sun, Jabeur, Ostapenko and Shnaider in order to book a maiden face-off against her American opponent.

Peyton Stearns on facing Jasmine Paolini next in Rome

“I don’t expect many people to be cheering for me. But that’s ok, I played college tennis so… I’m used to it” 😂

pic.twitter.com/7WCIShyYg5
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) May 13, 2025

Unseeded Peyton Stearns made history in Rome by becoming the first woman in the Open Era to win three straight main-draw deciding set tiebreakers. On Tuesday night, she beat Elina Svitolina after being double break down in Set-3. The 23-year-old firmly declared that college tennis has prepared her for what the raucous crowd at the Foro Italico will throw at her on Thursday.

This will be the first meeting between Paolini and Stearns. Considering the contrasting styles, a lot will depend on who can infuse their pattern of play into the match. While the Italian will attempt to engage in heavy baseline exchanges and a lot of variety, Stearns might look to dominate with her forehand.

Jasmine Paolini vs Peyton Stearns Career Comparison

Jasmine Paolini	Category	Peyton Stearns
0	Grand Slams	0
2	WTA Singles Titles	1
7	WTA Doubles Titles	0
1	WTA-1000 Titles	0
R3 (Paris 2024)	Olympics Best Performance	–
No. 5	Current World Ranking	No. 42

Jasmine Paolini vs Peyton Stearns Italian Open 2025 Prediction

So far, Jasmine Paolini has played all her singles matches in the day session. Thursday will be no different, which means that the two-time Grand Slam finalist will have the edge. However, the faster conditions due to the sun being out will benefit the top-spin heavy groundstrokes of Stearns. One key aspect in her favour is the second serve of Paolini – which can be exploited. It will be a match decided by extremely fine margins.

Prediction: Jasmine Paolini in three sets.

Jasmine Paolini vs Peyton Stearns Italian Open 2025 Betting Odds

Paolini has the edge over Stearns when it comes to the odds for the 2025 Italian Open semifinal. She is heading into the match with over 60% chance of emerging victorious, according to the pre-match market analysis at BetMGM.

Jasmine Paolini Win: -220

Peyton Stearns Win: +180

(According to BetMGM)

Betting

Diana Shnaider

Elina Svitolina

Italian Open

Jasmine Paolini

Peyton Stearns

Tennis

WTA

WTA 1000

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.