Winner faces Svitolina or Stearns in the semis.
No. 6 seed Jasmine Paolini takes on 21-year-old young gun Diana Shnaider in the 2025 Internazionali BNL d’Italia quarterfinal on Tuesday. Paolini will be defending runner-up points at Roland Garros later this month, and looks to add some much-needed points to her account ahead of the red dirt major. However, the southpaw will put up a tough fight to deny her a semifinal entry at the Italian capital.
Jasmine Paolini and Diana Shnaider have contrasting styles, but both players can be associated with aggression and fierce ball striking. They have an innate knack of painting the lines under pressure and taking the ball on the rise to leave their opponents unsettled. While Paolini comes into the encounter with a 14-7 record this year, Shnaider is currently 14-10 across 11 tournaments in 2025.
🇮🇹 Rome WTA 1000 quarter-finals are set!
— We Are Tennis (@WeAreTennis) May 12, 2025
Sabalenka 🆚 Zheng
Gauff 🆚 M.Andreeva
Paolini 🆚 Shnaider
Svitolina 🆚 Stearns pic.twitter.com/2WHyN5Xdon
Both players are searching for their first championship run this year. The 29-year-old Italian, who is a Top-10 player on the doubles circuit, has defeated the likes of Ons Jabeur and Jelena Ostapenko en route to the last eight stage. Having lost in Round-2 at the Italian Open last year, Paolini has nothing to lose. On the other hand, Shnaider’s victims include Dolehide, Cristian and Mertens.
The head to head record between Jasmine Paolini and Diana Shnaider is 1-0 in favour of the higher ranked Italian. Their solitary meeting was at the Australian Open in 2024.
Coming face to face in the opening round at Melbourne Park last year, Paolini and Shnaider played out an entertaining match. It was the No. 26 seed Paolini who emerged victorious in straight sets to progress into Round-2. As a result, Tuesday’s QF clash will be the first time they lock horns on clay.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2024 Australian Open | Round of 128 | Jasmine Paolini | 6-3 6-4 |
| Jasmine Paolini | Category | Diana Shnaider |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 2 | WTA Singles Titles | 4 |
| 7 | WTA Doubles Titles | 2 |
| 1 | WTA-1000 Titles | 0 |
| R3 (Paris 2024) | Best Olympics Performance | R2 (Paris 2024) |
| No. 5 | Current World Ranking | No. 11 |
Paolini has a very strong clay court game – she has the ability to dismantle the rhythm of any given opposition. While Mertens failed to convert any of the five break points against Shnaider, Paolini is more clinical on the return of serve. She will look to force her Russian counterpart on the back foot by striking deep balls from the back of the court, and complete the attack with volleys or drive volleys.
Prediction: Jasmine Paolini in three sets.
The markets for this quarterfinal encounter are constantly fluctuating. It is a tight call, and both players have a chance to succeed. There is a strong likelihood for a three set finish, as per the pre-match odds.
Jasmine Paolini Win: 8/11
Diana Shnaider Win: 6/5
(According to OddsChecker)
A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.
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