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Germany vs Portugal Nations League Semi-Final Best Bets

Moumita Dutta

Germany Host Portugal in Nations League Semi-Final Clash: Attacks and Potential Card Odds.

The first UEFA Nations League semi-final between Germany and Portugal is set to take place at Allianz Arena in Munich.  Both teams have been resilient and skillful throughout the tournament courtesy of a power-packed lineup on both sides. Germany enters the match with momentum after edging out Italy 5-4 on aggregate in the quarter-finals.

On the other hand, Portugal demonstrated their prowess in the quarters as they overcame Denmark with a 5-2 win in the second leg after a first-leg match defeat. Both squads are boasting a mix of seasoned veterans with extraordinary achievements already reached in their career along with emerging talents. Hence, this is sure to be an exciting match.

Germany Predicted Starting XI: Ter Stegen; Mittelstadt, Anton, Tah, Kimmich; Goretzka, Gross; Sane, Wirtz, Gnabry; Undav

Portugal Predicted Starting XI: Martinez; Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne; Kamara, Tielemans; McGinn, Asensio, Rogers; Rashford

Best Bets for Germany vs Portugal

Bet-Builder via BetMGM.

Total Shots: Over 26.5

Total Cards: Under 2.5

Given the attacking talents on both sides, this match is expected to see a flurry of goal attempts. Germany’s front line, featuring players like Serge Gnabry, Florian Wirtz, and Leroy Sane, has been prolific in creating scoring opportunities. The same can be said about Portugal with the likes of Cristiano Ronaldo, João Felix, and Diogo Jota powering their attacking. 

Also Read: Germany vs Portugal Nations League Semi-Final Over and Under Odds

However, both teams also have strong defensive units, including Joshua Kimmich for Germany and Ruben Dias for Portugal. Even so, the sheer volume of attacking play suggests that the total number of shots could exceed 26.5. This bet offers a balanced risk-reward scenario for those looking to capitalize on the possible total shots count. 

Both Germany and Portugal have displayed disciplined play throughout the tournament.  Germany has accumulated an average of 2.1 fouls per game, while Portugal averages 0.8, indicating a relatively clean style of play. With experienced players who are adept at avoiding unnecessary fouls, the match could see fewer than 2.5 cards issued. 

High-Risk Bet Builder Odds

Total Goals – Under 0.5 at +1600/ Over 5.5 at +900

Two strong teams are clashing in a high-stake clash like the semi-final. Hence, Chances are that the match will end up in a low-scoring narrow gap match. However, both a goalless draw and a high-scoring affair is still a possibility in this match. Especially considering both teams have seen a mix of high and low-scoring outcomes in their recent matches.

Also Read: UEFA Nations League 2025 Semifinals: Portugal vs Germany – Top Goalscorer Odds, Betting Tips, Key Players to Watch, and More

A bet on under 0.5 goals, that is, a goalless clash is risky but could pay off if both defenses hold firm. Conversely, with attacking talents like Ronaldo and Wirtz on display, a goal-fest leading to over 5.5 goals isn’t out of the question. Both bets are high-risk, high-reward options.

Total Cards – Under 2.5 at +360

Similarly, the disciplined nature of both Germany and Portugal suggests a lower number of cards. However, the intensity of a semi-final could lead to unexpected fouls and bookings. The pressure of the occasion adds an element of uncertainty. 

This means chances are fouls and cards may be flying. However, it could also go the other way with the players being cautious and the referee being reserved about showing cards at such an important stage. Hence, cards under 2.5 is a high-risk bet with the potential for substantial returns.

Germany vs Portugal Nations League Semi-Final Betting Odds

TeamsMoneylineTotal Goals
GermanyWin: -110
Draw: +260
Over 2.5: -140
Under 2.5: +105
PortugalWin: +280
Draw: +260
Over 3.5: +165
Under 3.5: -260
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Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.

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