Comprehensive Look at the Over/Under Betting Odds for the Fluminense vs Chelsea Club World Cup.
Chelsea are set to face Fluminense in the Club World Cup semi-final. Both teams are aiming for a place in the final. The Blues, fresh off of their wins against Benfica and Palmeiras, are chasing their second Club World Cup title. Their last came in 2021. Enzo Maresca’s side look to continue their strong form despite earlier setbacks.
Fluminense, meanwhile, defeated Al-Hilal to extend their unbeaten run to 11 games and seal their place in the semis. Led by veteran Thiago Silva, the Copa Libertadores winners have shown resilience. Key contributions from Hercules and goalkeeper Fabio are still keeping their title hopes alive.
Os horários da nossa decisão na #FIFACWC ao redor do mundo!
— Fluminense F.C. (@FluminenseFC) July 8, 2025
Acompanhe a partida de graça no app da @daznfootball >> https://t.co/pOu0BqBHDP#TakeItToTheWorld pic.twitter.com/c8rquK53eH
Fluminense and Chelsea are set to clash in the Club World Cup semi-final with both sides carrying contrasting styles into the fixture. Chelsea have averaged 2.4 goals per game across their last five matches in all competitions. This includes a 2-1 win over Palmeiras in the quarter-finals.
Their attack has been bolstered by Cole Palmer’s sharp form and the return of Nicolas Jackson. Fluminense, meanwhile, have scored eight goals in the United States. Half of those arrived after the 70th minute. They have a tendency to grow into games late.
With Chelsea’s superior attacking options, the contest promises a minimum of three goals. Add to that both teams will miss some defenders. Freytes and Martinelli for Fluminense and Colwill for Chelsea are set to be absent. Hence, over 2.5 goals becomes a strong pick.
Pick: Over 24.5 Shots at -260
Pick: Over 9.5 Shots on Target at +120
(Odds via FanDuel)
Chelsea and Fluminense’s matches so far in the Club World Cup suggest a high shot count is likely. Against Palmeiras, Chelsea registered 19 total shots and seven on target. Meanwhile Fluminense’s quarter-final win over Al-Hilal saw them register 10 shots with three on target.
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Given Chelsea’s aggressive front line and Fluminense’s resilience in attack through Jhon Arias and German Cano, a combined total of over 24.5 shots appears achievable. Chelsea are expected to dominate possession and force saves from 44-year-old goalkeeper Fabio.
On the other hand, Fluminense may rely on counters to test Liam Delap. They have registered low counts of shots and shots on target. As a result, over 9.5 shots on target is also within reach as both teams have demonstrated efficiency in converting chances under pressure.
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Pick: Under 9.5 Corners at +110
Fluminense has struggled to rack up corners in this tournament. However, in Chelsea’s case, they earned 10 corners each against Palmeiras and Benfica. Meanwhile, Fluminense amassed only six corners in their last two games in the knockout round so far .
This trend reflects Fluminense’s slower build-up play and Chelsea may have a hard time registering high counts of corners against Fluminense. The defensive setups and cautious approaches, especially early in the match, could see the total corners remain under 9.5.
The physical nature of both teams suggests a feisty encounter with plenty of fouls. Chelsea’s last two matches saw them collect six yellow cards combined. Meanwhile Fluminense registered a total of seven cards in the knockout rounds in the tournament.
With key absentees and high stakes, tensions could boil over. The battle between midfielders like Moises Caicedo and Hercules could lead to further cautions. Over 4.5 total cards looks feasible as both sides fight for a spot in the final.
soccer Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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