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Elina Svitolina vs. Elise Mertens Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for Wimbledon 2025 Third Round

Rudra Dubey

Veterans set for another chapter in their compelling rivalry on the Wimbledon grass.

The 14th seed, Elina Svitolina, is set to face the 24th seed, Elise Mertens, in a high-stakes third-round match at Wimbledon 2025. A two-time semifinalist at SW19, Svitolina has looked sharp so far, dispatching Anna Bondar and qualifier Aliaksandra Sasnovich in straight sets.

Mertens, on the other hand, opened with a solid win over Linda Fruhvirtova and then battled past Ann Li in three sets, edging a tight tiebreaker in the opener. With a long-standing rivalry between them, this matchup promises to be one of the more intriguing battles of the round.

Elina Svitolina vs. Elise Mertens Preview

Svitolina has had a consistent 2025 so far, with quarterfinal runs at the Australian Open, Indian Wells, and Roland Garros, along with a title in Rouen. She also made deep clay runs in Madrid (semifinal) and Rome (quarterfinal) before a back injury halted her in Strasbourg. In 39 matches, she’s hit 130 aces, winning 68.1% on first serve, 46% on return, and converting 48.5% of break points.

Mertens has been more up-and-down, winning titles in Singapore and Libema despite several early exits. She opened with a final in Hobart but exited early in Melbourne, with Stuttgart (QF) being her other highlight. Through 39 matches, she’s served 159 aces, winning 69.6% on first serve, 44.7% on return, and posting a 46.2% break conversion rate.

Elina Svitolina vs. Elise Mertens Head-to-Head Record

Elina Svitolina holds a 5-3 lead in her head-to-head rivalry with Elise Mertens. Their long-standing duel began back in 2017, when Svitolina clinched a straight-sets win in the Istanbul final. Mertens responded in style the following year at the Australian Open, scoring a straight-set victory of her own, complete with a bagel in the second set.

Since then, it’s been a steady tug-of-war for dominance. Svitolina pulled ahead with consecutive wins in 2018 (Montreal) and 2019 (Cincinnati), both in straight sets. Mertens then fought back at the 2021 Gippsland Trophy, edging out a close three-setter, and repeated the feat in Charleston 2024. But Svitolina once again had the last word, with wins at Wimbledon 2023 and Bad Homburg 2025, reestablishing her edge in this compelling rivalry.

YearEventRoundWinnerScore
2025Bad HomburgRound of 32Elina Svitolina7–5, 6–4
2024CharlestonRound of 16Elise Mertens6–4, 6–1
2023WimbledonRound of 64Elina Svitolina6–1, 1–6, 6–1
2021Gippsland TrophyQuarterfinalsElise Mertens6–3, 5–7, 10–6
2019CincinnatiRound of 32Elina Svitolina6–4, 6–1
2018MontrealQuarterfinalsElina Svitolina7–5, 6–3
2018Australian OpenQuarterfinalsElise Mertens6–4, 6–0
2017IstanbulFinalElina Svitolina6–2, 6–4

Elina Svitolina vs. Elise Mertens Comparison 

Elina Svitolina CategoryElise Mertens
13Current Ranking23
514-268Career W-L468-274
13-10YTD W-L26-12
18Career Titles10
0Grand Slams0
1YTD Titles2

Elina Svitolina vs. Elise Mertens Prediction

Given her consistent form in 2025 and a 5-3 head-to-head edge, Elina Svitolina enters as the slight favorite. Her recent wins on grass and deep Slam runs suggest she has the edge in rhythm and confidence, especially against a streaky Mertens.

Prediction: Elina Svitolina in straight sets

Elina Svitolina vs. Elise Mertens Wimbledon 2025 Betting Odds

Svitolina is the odds-on favorite at 8/13, but Mertens at 13/10 presents a tempting upset pick. With two titles this year and a strong serve game, the Belgian has the tools to challenge if she finds early momentum.

Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM

Elina Svitolina: 8/13

Elise Mertens: 13/10

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM): 

Total Games Over 22.5: Evens

Total Games Under 22.5: 10/13

Total Games won by Svitolina Over 12.5: 19/20

Total Games won by Mertens Over 11.5: 8/13

Total Sets Over 2.5: 27/20

Total Sets Under 2.5: 4/7

(All Odds According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals, and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Image Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.

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