Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Predictions, Odds, and Best Bets for Week 11 2025-26 NFL Season

The Denver Broncos will host the Kansas City Chiefs for Week 11 matchup, in this exciting AFC West rivalry matchup. The Broncos have surprised everyone this season, and are on a 7-game win streak, with a 8-2 record for the season. They’ve been quietly winning games, and are 5-0 at homes, with only two losses on the road. While their offense can struggle at times, their defense is impeccable, helping them win games.

Meanwhile, the Kansas City Chiefs come into this matchup, losing to the Buffalo Bills two weeks prior and are coming fresh off a bye week. The Chiefs’ defense has not looked the same as it was during their championship years, and even their offense can stall at times, losing some winnable games this season. While Mahomes has continued to be great, it is the others that needs to step up, as Kansas is currently 3rd in their division.

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Recommended Bets and Updated Odds

Recommended Bets	Fanduel	BetMGM
Bo Nix over 0.5 INTs	-140	-135
Patrick Mahomes over 36.5 passing attempts	-118	-110
RJ Harvey anytime TD scorer	+125	+120

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Analysis and Rationale

Bo Nix may throw over 0.5 interceptions as he’s on a 3-game streak throwing at least one or more INTs in every game. While the Broncos are winning, Nix has been very inaccurate with his throws in his recent games, even though his volume is mediocre. Chiefs’ passing defense is ranked 7th on, since Denver still needs a better offensive line to protect their QB, Nix could throw another INT is this game.

Patrick Mahomes has 30 or more pass attempts in almost every game he’s played so far, expect for one. And has crossed the 3.6 threshold, four times this season. With the Broncos stout run defense ranking 5th, they may have to rely on Mahomes’ arm more in this game, with him going over 36.5 passing attempts.

RJ Harvey is a threat to score at any given moment as the Chiefs’ rushing defense and red zone defense has shown glaring holes this season, ranking 13th and 23rd respectively. Looking at this, we expect Denver to rely on their rushing game more using RJ Harvey, with him potentially getting his third TD of the season.

Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction

The Chiefs have struggled this season but they should come out on top against the Broncos, even though Denver is on 7-game winning streak. While the Broncos did pull off an impressive win against the Eagles, their two losses came against two elite teams in Chargers and the Colts. Their winning streak is largely contributed to them playing teams that aren’t in playoff contention, potentially making this a very difficult game for them.

Prediction: Chiefs win the game 24-21

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Week 11 Chiefs vs Broncos Spread and Betting Odds

Looking at the spread and the moneyline, the Chiefs are the favorites to win the matchup against the Broncos, as per BetMGM

Teams	Spread	Total Points	Moneyline
Chiefs	-3.5 (-118)	45 (-110)	-210
Broncos	+3.5 (-110)	45 (-110)	+170

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Broncos vs Chiefs Best Bets

Here are some of the over/under odds and best player bets for the Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs, as per BetMGM

Denver Broncos Over/Under Odds

Listed below are over/under odds for the Denver Broncos, as per BetMGM

Over/Under Bets	Over	Under
Bo Nix passing yards	217.5 (-118)	217.5 (-115)
RJ Harvey rushing yards	49.5 (-110)	49.5 (-118)
Rashee Rice receiving yards	76.5 (-115)	76.5 (-118)

Denver Broncos Best Player Bets

Here are some of the best player bets for the Denver Broncos, as per BetMGM

RJ Harvey anytime TD scorer: +120
Bo Nix under 1.5 passing TDs: -160
Troy Franklin under 4.5 receptions made: -155

Kansas City Chiefs Over/Under Odds

Listed below are some of over/under odds for the Kansas City Chiefs, as per BetMGM

Over/Under Bets	Over	Under
Rashee Rice over 6.5 receptions	6.5 (-140)	6.5 (+105)
Kareem Hunt over 12.5 rushing attempts	12.5 (-135)	12.5 (+100)
Patrick Mahomes passing yards	266.5 (-115)	266.5 (-115)

Kansas City Chiefs Best Player Bets

Here are some of the best player bets for the Kansas City Chiefs, as per BetMGM.

Kareem Hunt anytime TD scorer: +110
Patrick Mahomes over 1.5 passing TDs: -160
Rashee Rice over 6.5 receptions made: -140

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(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

FAQs

Who is favored to win between the Broncos vs Chiefs?
The Chiefs are 3.5-point favorites to win the matchup against Broncos.

What is the over/under total for the game?
The over/under for total points is set at 45.

What is the predicted score for the Chiefs vs Broncos game?
We expect the Chiefs to take down the Broncos in a close victory, and the Final score to be 24-21.

Eric Divakaran

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I cover the National Football League and things cannot get better than that. I always dreamed to play football or basketball professionally since I’m built like a Running Back. But now that I can’t, since I’m technically in the “Unc” age, I thought why not pick a career in sports industry? So here I am, doing what I love, and hoping that the Commanders win the Super Bowl. I give love to players when it’s due, but can be critical about their performances at the same time. Enough about me, now let my articles do all the talking.