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Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs Predictions, Odds, and Best Bets for Week 9 NFL 2025-26 Season

Eric Divakaran
American Football / NFL
02/11/2025 – 22:25
Buffalo Bills
VS
22:25
02/11/2025
Kansas City Chiefs
Odds updated on November 1, 2025 at 2:55 pm

The Buffalo Bills are hosting the Kansas City Chiefs for Week 9 matchup and the stakes could not get any higher, as this will be a rematch of last season’s AFC Championship, with two of the biggest teams in the NFL facing off.

The Bills are 5-2 for the season so far and have dominated their way through, for the most part, with their explosive offense, lead by reigning MVP Josh Allen. Meanwhile the Chiefs, after a rough start to their season, have started to come along with both their receivers back in the lineup, winning 3-straight games.

Both teams are trying to get a win, as a win for either teams would be a huge boost in their morale, as these teams are the NFL’s best of the best.

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Recommended Bets and Updated Odds

Recommended BetsFanduelBetMGM
Rashee Rice Under 72.5 receiving yards -114-118
Patrick Mahomes over 35.5 passing attempts-128-120
James Cook anytime TD scorer-135-135
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Rationale and Analysis

The Bills allow the second fewest passing yardages in the NFL this season, at 167.2 pass yards allowed on average. With the Chiefs WR Rashee Rice being a deep threat, we expect the Bills’ secondary to guard Rice heavily, keeping him up 72.5 receiving yards.

We expect Patrick Mahomes to use his arms more in this game, due to their RB Isiah Pacheco being out for the game with an injury. This means that the Chiefs will have to rely on their passing game more often than usual, with Mahomes constantly looking for Worthy, Rice, or Kelce.

James Cook has been one of the driving forces for the Bills’ offense and looking at the Chiefs’ rushing defense, ranking 15th currently, we expect Cook to be highly effective in this game, potentially scoring a TD against the Chiefs.

Bills vs Chiefs Prediction

We expect the Kansas City Chiefs to beat the Buffalo Bills and the reason being the Bills dropping two games against the Patriots and the Falcons, and history also tells us that Mahomes is the archnemesis and the only QB standing in Allen’s way, as he was eliminated by the Chiefs last season in the playoffs. And until that changes, we believe the Chiefs will have the upper hand.

Prediction: Chiefs win the game 28-24

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Week 9 Bills vs Chiefs Spread and Betting Odds

Looking at the spread and the moneyline, the Chiefs are the favorites to win the game against the Bills, as per BetMGM

TeamsSpreadTotal Points Moneyline
Chiefs -2 (-110)52.5 (-110)-135
Bills +2 (-110)52.5 (-110)+115
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Bills vs Chiefs Best Bets

Here are over/under and best player bets for the Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs, as per BetMGM.

Buffalo Bills Over/Under Odds

Listed below are some of the over/under odds for the Buffalo Bills, as per BetMGM.

Over/Under BetsOverUnder
Josh Allen pass completions 21.5 (-110)21.5 (-120)
Josh Allen passing TDs 1.5 (-125)1.5 (-105)
Khalil Shakir receptions made 5.5 (+125)5.5 (-165)

Buffalo Bills Best Player Bets

Here are some of the best player bets for the Buffalo Bills as per BetMGM.

  • Khalil Shakir under 5.5 receptions made: -165
  • James Cook anytime TD scorer: -135
  • Josh Allen under 0.5 INTs thrown: -145

Kansas City Chiefs Over/Under Odds

Below listed are over/under odds for the Kansas City Chiefs, as per BetMGM

Over/Under BetsOverUnder
Patrick Mahomes passing yards 275.5 (-115)275.5 (-115)
Kareem Hunt rushing yards 47.5 (-110)47.5 (-118)
Rashee Rice receiving yards 72.5 (-115)72.5 (-118)

Kansas City Chiefs Best Player Bets

Here are some of the best player bets for the Kansas City Chiefs, as per BetMGM

  • Patrick Mahomes under 2.5 passing TDs: -225
  • Rashee Rice over 6.5 receptions made: -140
  • Patrick Mahomes over 4.5 rushing attempts: -120
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FAQs

Who is favored to win between the Bills vs the Chiefs?
The Chiefs are 2-point favorites to win the matchup against Bills.

What is the over/under total for the game?
The over/under for total points is set at 52.5.

What is the predicted score for the Bills vs Chiefs game?
We expect the Chiefs to take down the Bills in a close battle, and the Final score to be 28-24.

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I cover the National Football League and things cannot get better than that. I always dreamed to play football or basketball professionally since I’m built like a Running Back. But now that I can’t, since I’m technically in the “Unc” age, I thought why not pick a career in sports industry? So here I am, doing what I love, and hoping that the Commanders win the Super Bowl. I give love to players when it’s due, but can be critical about their performances at the same time. Enough about me, now let my articles do all the talking. 

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