Picks
Sportsbooks
Casino
Promos
Prediction Markets
Lottery
Guide
Tennis
Picks Sportsbooks Casino Promos Prediction Markets Lottery Guide
Gambling is prohibited for underage individuals | Commercial content | Regional restrictions may apply | T&Cs apply | Play responsibly

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elise Mertens Head-to-Head Record, Preview and Prediction for 2025 Stuttgart Open Quarterfinals

The Playoffs News Team

Sabalenka Faces Mertens in Stuttgart Open With Semifinal Spot at Stake

World No. 1 and top-seeded at the Stuttgart Open, Aryna Sabalenka faces Elise Mertens in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Stuttgart Open. Sabalenka arrives in the last eight without having struck a ball, courtesy of a Round of 16 walkover after Anastasia Potapova’s withdrawal. Mertens has fought her way through, defeating Diana Shnaider and Aliaksandra Sasnovich in straight sets.

Elise Mertens won her ninth career singles title at the 2025 Singapore Open but has struggled with form since then. Aryna Sabalenka, on the other hand, has enjoyed a solid season, winning the Brisbane International and Miami Open. Given her superior form and top ranking, she enters the tournament as a clear favorite.

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elise Mertens Head-to-Head Record

Aryna Sabalenka leads the overall head-to-head against Elise Mertens with a record of 8-2. Interestingly, Mertens registered both of her wins against Sabalenka in 2018. Their former success as a doubles team, winning two Grand Slams in 2019 and 2021, has been overshadowed by their one-sided singles rivalry. The last time Mertens defeated Sabalenka was in the 2018 Lugano final, claiming a straight-set victory with a score of 7–5, 6–2.

Her next win came in the Round of 16 at the 2018 Montreal Open, where she staged a comeback win after losing the first set. Interestingly, since then, Mertens has been on a seven-match losing streak against Sabalenka, winning just a single set in these 7 matches.

YearEventRoundWinnerScore
2024US OpenRound of 16Aryna Sabalenka6–2, 6–4
2023Australian OpenRound of 32Aryna Sabalenka6–2, 6–3
2021US OpenRound of 16Aryna Sabalenka6–4, 6–1
2021MadridQuarterfinalsAryna Sabalenka6–1, 4–0 RET
2020LinzFinalAryna Sabalenka7–5, 6–2
2020DubaiRound of 16Aryna Sabalenka6–4, 6–3
2019ZhuhaiRound 1Aryna Sabalenka6–4, 3–6, 7–5
2018MontrealRound of 16Elise Mertens2–6, 7–6(1), 6–0
2018EastbourneRound of 16Aryna Sabalenka7–5, 2–6, 7–6(4)
2018LuganoFinalElise Mertens7–5, 6–2

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elise Mertens Comparison 

Sabalenka, who turned professional in 2015, has won 19 singles titles and 6 doubles titles in her career. In comparison, Mertens, who turned professional in 2013, has 9 singles titles and an impressive 21 doubles titles.

This season, the 26-year-old Belarussian has won 23 of 27 matches, while Mertens has 16 wins in 23 matches. Without a doubt, Sabalenka clearly dominates the overall comparison. 

Aryna SabalenkaCategoryElise Mertens
1WTA Ranking 29
439-192Career W-L458-269
23-4YTD W-L16-7
19Career Titles 9
3Grand Slams 0
2YTD Titles1

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elise Mertens Stuttgart Open Predictions

Mertens’ last win over Sabalenka came in 2018, but since then, Sabalenka has significantly elevated her game, giving her the upper hand.

Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka to win in straight sets.

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elise Mertens 2025 Stuttgart Open Betting Odds

Aryna Sabalenka win: 1/6

Elise Mertens win: 4/1

Read More: Jessica Pegula vs. Magdalena Frech Head to Head Record, Preview and Prediction for WTA Stuttgart Open 2025 Round of 16.