Aug 30, 2025; Flushing, NY, USA; Felix Auger-Aliassime (CAN) hits a backhand against Alexander Zverev (GER) (not pictured) on day seven of the 2025 US Open tennis championships at Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

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Andrey Rublev vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime Head-to-Head, Predictions and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Round of 16

Auger-Aliassime knocked out No. 3 seed Zverev in Round-3.

No. 15 seed Andrey Rublev will be facing off against Felix Auger-Aliassime in an electrifying Round-4 contest at the 2025 US Open. While both players have been highly impressive, their Round of 32 battles could not be more contrasting. Despite a huge difference in their ranking and experience, Andrey Rublev struggled and just about scraped though vs Coleman Wong. On the other hand, Auger-Aliassime arguably completed the upset of the tournament.

Experiencing his first major Grand Slam breakthrough, the 25-year-old Canadian dominated World No. 3 Alexander Zverev. After losing the first set, FAA showed the world just how high his peak can go. Yet, the real question remains whether Auger-Aliassime can sustain the heroics and knock off another seed. If not, his Russian counterpart will enter an 11th career major quarterfinal. Let’s see what the odds and predictions for this clash are, per the accurate data by BetMGM.

Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Head to Head Record

Andrey Rublev leads Felix Auger-Aliassime 7-1 in their head-to-head match-ups.

One of the highlights about the matches between these two ATP veterans, is the tight nature of scorelines. Despite 7 wins for Rublev, Auger-Alisassime did offer stiff opposition to Rublev on multiple occasions. Most of their matches have had tiebreakers, and very few ended in straight sets.

Year	Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025	Hamburg	Semifinal	Andrey Rublev	6-1, 6-4
2025	Doha	Semifinal	Andrey Rublev	7-5, 4-6, 7-6(5)
2024	Madrid	Final	Andrey Rublev	4-6, 7-5, 7-5
2024	Rotterdam	Round of 16	Andrey Rublev	3-6, 7-6(6), 7-5
2022	Marseille	Final	Andrey Rublev	7-5, 7-6(4)
2022	Rotterdam	Semifinal	Felix Auger-Aliassime	6-7(5), 6-4, 6-2
2020	Adelaide	Semifinal	Andrey Rublev	7-6(5), 6-7(7), 6-4
2018	Umag	Round of 16	Andrey Rublev	6-4, 6-7(4), 6-3

Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Career Comparison

Andrey Rublev	Category	Felix Auger-Aliassime
15	Current Rank	27
29/19	YTD W/L	29/18
1	YTD Titles	2
364/203	Career W/L	244/165
17	Career Titles	7

Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime US Open 2025 Prediction

There is no doubt that Felix Auger-Aliassime will head into this match riding a wave of confidence. However, one of the biggest problems for the Canadian has been his inconsistency. FAA blows hot and cold – while his compact style of play keeps him afloat, he tends to wither as the match goes on. Moreover, his lack of a Plan-B against marquee opposition leaves him second guessing himself. On the other hand, Rublev is a tad more consistent, and will look to assert himself with his powerful forehands.

Prediction: Andrey Rublev in five sets.

Felix Auger Aliassime hits a SENSATIONAL backhand passing shot against Zverev at the US Open.

The drop shot was impeccable.

The backhand was a rocket. 🚀

Missed seeing him play this type of tennis… wow.
pic.twitter.com/pvx1WfzELi
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) August 31, 2025

Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime US Open 2025 Betting Odds

With 77/100 odds, Rublev is a slight favorite heading into this match. On the other hand, Auger-Aliassime has been given a mere 39% chance of winning this match, according to the money line. Take a look at the odds, per the data given by BetMGM.

Andrey Rublev win – 77/100
Felix Auger-Aliassime win – 2/1

Total Sets 3 – 33/20
Total Sets 4 – 3/2
Total Sets 5 – 2/1
Total Games >39.5 – 69/100
Total Games <39.5 – 1/1
Set 1 Winner Rublev – 4/5
Set 1 Winner Auger-Aliassime – 19/20

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals, and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

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Sanskar Dubey

A passionate sports fan since childhood, it was always my dream to cover the peak of human potential. Baseball, Tennis, and Football (or Soccer) have been closest to my heart. From Rafael Nadal’s never-say-die attitude to Roger Federer’s beautiful backhand, I’ve seen it all. Prior to the Playoffs, I’ve worked in EssentiallySports and Pro Football and Sports Network.