Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Maria Sakkari Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for WTA Bad Homburg Open 2025 Round of 16

Alexandrova and Sakkari set for a contrasting second-round battle on the grass of Bad Homburg.

Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images

Eighth seed Ekaterina Alexandrova will face wild card Maria Sakkari in the second round of the Bad Homburg Open. The Russian opened her campaign with a dominant win over Belinda Bencic, dishing out a breadstick in the first set. Sakkari, meanwhile, pulled off a solid win over Yulia Putintseva, sealing the match in straight sets with a second-set tiebreak.

While the 29-year-old Greek has struggled to find rhythm this season, Alexandrova, though not entirely consistent, has shown flashes of top-tier form, including multiple semifinal runs. With contrasting styles and the unpredictability of grass-court tennis, this clash sets up an interesting battle.

smooth sailing ⛵️

Ekaterina Alexandrova moves past Bencic in straight sets, 6-1, 6-2.#BadHomburgOpen pic.twitter.com/MVE91EMKx9
— wta (@WTA) June 23, 2025

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Maria Sakkari Preview

Alexandrova has had a start-stop season. After a second-round exit at the Australian Open, she rebounded with a title in Linz, beating Dayana Yastremska in three sets. She also made semifinal runs in Doha, Charleston, Stuttgart, and most recently at the Libema Open.

Withdrawals in Abu Dhabi and Rome due to injury disrupted her momentum, but she hit a career milestone by reaching the fourth round at Roland Garros, falling to eventual champion Coco Gauff. Across 36 matches, she’s served 157 aces, won 68.2% on first serve, won 46.4% of return points, and converted 43.7% of break points.

Ekaterina Alexandrova wins her first WTA 500🏆in Linz

“It was a very difficult match bcuz when you’re up a set and 3-0 in the second set and then you’re already like 0-3 down in the third and you’re losing, it’s difficult to accept and do something about it.”

🎥: WTA, DAZN pic.twitter.com/rIzuJXQshb
— TennisONE App (@TennisONEApp) February 3, 2025

Sakkari, by contrast, has struggled to find traction in 2025. She hasn’t gone beyond the Round of 16 at any event, with early exits being the norm. Her best result came in Linz, where she reached the quarterfinals but was routed by Dayana Yastremska, who handed her a bagel in a straight-sets loss. In 27 matches, she’s hit 60 aces, winning 62.8% of first-serve points and 42.9% on return, and converting 43.1% of break chances.

Maria Sakkari and Yulia Putintseva got heated during their handshake in Bad Homburg 😳

Watch the full clip here and read more from @Tennis below 👇 https://t.co/Xi8KegqHOu pic.twitter.com/wvS84NILKu
— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) June 22, 2025

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Maria Sakkari Head-to-Head Record

Maria Sakkari leads the head-to-head against Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-1. A rivalry that has been thoroughly one-sided. Even Alexandrova’s lone win comes with an asterisk, as it was the result of a mid-match retirement by Sakkari due to dizziness during the 2021 Kremlin Cup semifinals.

Their record stretches back to 2015, when Sakkari claimed their first meeting in straight sets in Sobota. Since then, the Greek has dropped just one set, in the 2016 Szeged quarterfinals, where Alexandrova managed to force a tiebreak before eventually falling. Their most recent encounter came in 2023 in Doha, ending with yet another routine win for Sakkari in straight sets.

Year	Event	Round	Winner	Score
2023	Doha	Round of 16	Maria Sakkari	6–3, 6–2
2022	Rome	Round of 32	Maria Sakkari	6–3, 6–2
2022	St. Petersburg	Round of 16	Maria Sakkari	6–2, 6–4
2021	Moscow	Semifinals	Ekaterina Alexandrova	4–1 (retired)
2019	San Jose	Round of 32	Maria Sakkari	6–1, 6–4
2016	Szeged	Quarterfinals	Maria Sakkari	7–5, 7–6(8), 6–3
2015	Sobota/Rokietnica	Round of 32	Maria Sakkari	6–1, 6–3

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Maria Sakkari Comparison

Ekaterina Alexandrova	Category	Maria Sakkari
18	Current Ranking	85
442-275	Career W-L	480-321
23-12	YTD W-L	14-18
5	Career Titles	2
0	Grand Slams	0
1	YTD Titles	0

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Maria Sakkari Prediction

Alexandrova comes in with far more momentum, titles, semifinal runs, and a career-best Slam result, while Sakkari holds a commanding 6-1 lead in their head-to-head, suggesting she matches up well tactically. However, form matters, as Alexandrova has been sharper so far, and Sakkari’s struggles may outweigh past dominance.

Calling it Now

Ekaterina Alexandrova is going to do something big on grass this season.

Maybe it's in Bad Homburg.

Maybe it's at Wimbledon.

But, with 2 grass titles already to her name and a string of big wins this year… it feels like her time to shine on a bigger stage. pic.twitter.com/Gc0fEHAFad
— Tick Tock Tennis (@TickTockTennis) June 23, 2025

Prediction: Ekaterina Alexandrova in straight sets

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Maria Sakkari WTA Bad Homburg Open 2025 Betting Odds

Alexandrova is the clear favorite at 3/10, reflecting her superior form and deeper tournament runs. Sakkari, at 5/2, offers long-shot value based on past dominance, but her recent struggles make the upset a risky bet.

Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:

Ekaterina Alexandrova: 3/10

Maria Sakkari: 5/2

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):

Total Games Over 20.5: 17/20

Total Games Under 20.5: 10/11

Total Games won by Alexandrova Over 12.5: Evens

Total Games won by Sakkari Over 9.5: 22/25

Total Sets Over 2.5: 17/10

Total Sets Under 2.5: 4/9

(All Odds According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Also Read: Donna Vekic Gets Revenge Over Defending Champion Diana Shnaider With Thumping Win at 2025 Bad Homburg Open

Bad Homburg Open 2025

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Maria Sakkari

Rudra Dubey

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.