New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers Preview, Betting Odds, and Prediction – NFL 2025-26 Season Week 3

The Pittsburgh Steelers are travelling on the road to face the New England Patriots for this Week 3 action of the NFL. The Steelers are currently third in the AFC North, while the Patriots are second in AFC East. Both teams are 1-1 in terms of their record, and will want to improve their record. It’s a battle of quarterbacks as Steelers’ Aaron Rodgers will face the 23-year-old Drake Maye in this exciting matchup.

Recommended Bets	FanDuel	BetMGM
DK Metcalf Anytime TD scorer	+140	+140
Aaron Rodgers Passing Attempts Under 34.5	-114	-123
Total TDs Over 4.5	-150	-145

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Analysis and Rationale

DK Metcalf, now with the Steelers, has 1 TD on 7 catches (103 yards) through two games, thriving in deep red-zone looks with Aaron Rodgers. Patriots’ secondary ranks dead last, allowing 315 pass YPG and 3 WR TDs already. Due to this, we think this is an excellent bet.

Aaron Rodgers, had 33 attempts in Week 1 and 28 in Week 2, averaging 30.5 attempts. New England’s 31st-ranked pass defense encourage efficiency over volume for Rodgers for this game. We believe that Rodgers is likely to throw 29-32 times, leaning on DK Metcalf’s big plays.

Steelers–Patriots game should be a shootout and cross 4.5 TDs because of the weak defense on both sides. Steelers have allowed 31 and 32 points in two games so far, meanwhile the Patriots have allowed 20 and 27 points in Weeks 1 and 2. We expect this game to be more of a shootout, scoring a lot of points, than a game where defense plays a big factor.

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers Preview

In Week 3’s AFC clash at Gillette Stadium, the 1-1 Pittsburgh Steelers, led by veteran Aaron Rodgers and explosive WR DK Metcalf, seek redemption after a home loss to Seattle. The 1-1 New England Patriots, riding rookie QB Drake Maye’s momentum from a 33-27 win at Miami, are on the winning column but face questions in pass coverage against Pittsburgh’s aerial attack.

The Patriots prep for a matchup vs. Aaron Rodgers & the Steelers.@ezlazar's Week 3 gameplan: https://t.co/Py7Y9tQKLY pic.twitter.com/phQpSbK8TD
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) September 18, 2025

New England Patriots Best Bets – Over/Under and Player Bets

Here are over/under and best player bets for the New England Patriots, according to BetMGM

Over/Under Bets	Over	Under
Drake Maye Passing Yards	229.5 (+100)	229.5 (-130)
Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards	42.5 (-115)	42.5 (-118)
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards	44.5 (-115)	44.5 (-115)

New England Patriots Best Player Bets

Below are some of the best player bets for the New England Patriots, according to BetMGM

Drake Maye Pass Completions over 21.5: -130
Drake Maye Passing Touchdowns under 1.5: -145
Rhamondre Stevenson Rush attempts under 11.5: -135

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Pittsburgh Steelers Best Bets – Over/Under and Player Bets

Here are over/under and best player bets for the Pittsburgh Steelers, according to BetMGM

Over/Under Bets	Over	Under
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards	236.5 (-115)	236.5 (-115)
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards	60.5 (-115)	60.5 (-115)
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards	54.5 (-118)	54.5 (-110)

Pittsburgh Steelers Best Player Bets

Below are some of the best player bets for the Pittsburgh Steelers, according to BetMGM

Jaylen Warren anytime TD scorer: +100
Aaron Rodgers under 1.5 passing TDs: -150
Jaylen Warren under 3.5 receptions made: -155

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction for Week 3 of the 2025-26 NFL Season

We believe that the New England Patriots will be able to pull out a close victory over the Steelers in this matchup. The reason is because the Steelers’ defense has been torched so far in both weeks, and while the offense has been functioning well, allowing that many points will not help you win games. On the other hand, the Pats have been good defending the pass while their offense is starting to come around.

Prediction: Pats pull away 24-20

🔜 Week 3

More 📸: https://t.co/bh1EJIhMbW pic.twitter.com/4JMMdCILvP
— Pittsburgh Steelers (@steelers) September 19, 2025

Patriots vs Steelers Betting Odds and Spread

Teams	Spread	Total Points	Moneyline
Steelers	-1.5 (-115)	44.5 (-110)	-130
Patriots	+1.5 (-105)	44.5 (-110)	+110

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(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

FAQs

Who is favored in the Patriots vs Steelers game?
Pittsburgh Steelers are 1.5-point road favorites with -130 moneyline.

What is the over/under total for the game?
The total points line is set at 44.5.

What is the predicted final score?
Patriots win a close one 24-20 over Steelers.

Eric Divakaran

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I cover the National Football League and things cannot get better than that. I always dreamed to play football or basketball professionally since I’m built like a Running Back. But now that I can’t, since I’m technically in the “Unc” age, I thought why not pick a career in sports industry? So here I am, doing what I love, and hoping that the Commanders win the Super Bowl. I give love to players when it’s due, but can be critical about their performances at the same time. Enough about me, now let my articles do all the talking.