Inter Miami and Orlando City are set to clash in the Leagues Cup semi-final at Chase Stadium on Wednesday. A spot in the final is at stake on August 31. The Florida rivals are aiming to assert dominance in one of the competition’s two all-MLS semi-finals.
Miami are the winners of the 2023 edition. They are now chasing another title and will be eager to avenge their recent 4-1 MLS defeat to Orlando. Both sides are coming into this fixture with contrasting fortunes. This adds extra intrigue to this high-stakes encounter.
Semifinal is set ⏳ See you tomorrow 🏟️ pic.twitter.com/rPOE8Bo2h2
— Inter Miami CF (@InterMiamiCF) August 26, 2025
| Bets | Status | Moneyline |
| Total Goals | Under 3.5 | -150 |
| Total Shots on Target | Over 9.5 | -110 |
| Total Corners | Under 8.5 | -140 |
| Total Cards | Under 3.5 | +145 |
| Penalties in the Game | Yes | +140 |
The Herons remain unbeaten in this year’s competition. They’ve advanced from the group stage with two regulation-time wins and a shootout win. Javier Mascherano’s men then edged UANL 2-1 in the quarter-final. However, their defense remains a concern, with no clean sheets in the tournament.
Lionel Messi has missed the last two matches and is a doubt. Meanwhile Jordi Alba and Allen Obando are likely sidelined with injuries. In attack, Luis Suarez has contributed three goals and two assists. He has emerged as the key figure in Messi’s potential absence.
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Orlando reached the semi-final after edging past Toluca on penalties in the previous round. However, Oscar Pareja’s side suffered a crushing 5-1 defeat to Nashville in MLS last weekend. Thus, extending a two-month run without a clean sheet. Despite that, they hold a strong recent record against Inter Miami.
They’re currently unbeaten in three meetings against Miami. This includes two wins this year. Martin Ojeda has been instrumental with three goals and three assists. Meanwhile Luis Muriel remains a consistent scoring threat. The Lions will be without Duncan McGuire, Wilder Cartagena, and Yutaro Tsukada due to injuries.
Bookmakers are pricing the match tighter than many might expect. They’re offering favorable odds on under 3.5 total goals. Inter Miami’s struggles with defensive solidity suggest a match with limited scoring. The Herons have yet to register a clean sheet in this competition. They’ve conceded in every match group and the quarter-final.
This includes their 2-1 win over Tigres. Meanwhile, Orlando City are coming on the back of a heavy 5-1 defeat to Nashville, undermining attacking confidence. With Lionel Messi likely still managing a muscle issue and Jordi Alba also doubtful, Inter Miami may lack its usual cutting edge up front. A 1-0 or 2-1 win in their favor remains a plausible, leaner outcome.
Despite fitness concerns, there is still value in backing Messi to score anytime. He recently made a dramatic return from injury. He came off the bench to score a trademark solo goal and assist Suarez in a 3-1 comeback win over LA Galaxy.
His ability to influence high-pressure matches remains unmatched. While his participation isn’t guaranteed, should he feature, even as a substitute, his knack for decisive contributions makes the -180 price line seem justified. Especially if the match is tight and requires a spark.
Luis Suarez remains one of Inter Miami’s few reliable finishers. With Messi sidelined, Suarez stepped up in the quarter-final. He scored twice from the spot to send Miami into the semis. Still, expecting him to bag multiple goals again is ambitious. The lofty +600 odds reflect this as a high-risk, high-reward proposition. That is, formidable if he finds his form, but far from a sure thing.
| Picks | Moneyline |
| Luis Suarez to score anytime | +105 |
| Lionel Messi to score two or more | +300 |
| Luis Suarez to score first | +470 |
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Inter Miami appear to be primed for a narrow semi-final win. They’ve won each of their last four matches. They’ve scored multiple goals at home consistently and their attacking depth without Messi, including Suarez, remains dangerous. Orlando City, though unbeaten in much of the run-up, are coming off a demoralizing 5-1 loss.
Considering the factors around both teams, expect Miami to edge the contest 2-1, fitting both the low total goals and value betting angles.
soccer Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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