Jun 7, 2025; Newark, New Jersey, UNITED STATES; Mario Bautista (red gloves) fights Patchy Mix (blue gloves) during UFC 316 at Prudential Center. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

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UFC 316 Predictions – Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix Preview, Predictions And MMA Betting Odds

Get to know the betting odds, predictions and picks for the upcoming Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix fight at UFC 316!

Jun 7, 2025; Newark, New Jersey, UNITED STATES; Mario Bautista (red gloves) fights Patchy Mix (blue gloves) during UFC 316 at Prudential Center. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

The bantamweight division has been absolutely wild lately, and it’s not slowing down anytime soon. Mario Bautista has quietly become one of the most dangerous fighters at 135 pounds without getting much fanfare. The Mexican-American warrior went on a tear through some serious competition, including a massive upset win over former featherweight champion Jose Aldo. That victory alone should have put him on everyone’s radar, but somehow Bautista keeps flying under the spotlight.

Now he faces Patchy Mix, a submission specialist making his long-awaited UFC debut at UFC 316 on June 7th in Newark. Mix has been tearing through competition outside the octagon for years, building an impressive 20-1 record with 13 submission wins. He has been the Bellator bantamweight champion and defended that title multiple times before making the jump to the UFC. This fight represents a classic clash between a proven UFC veteran and a highly-regarded newcomer trying to make his mark.

Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix Preview

Mario Bautista brings a well-rounded skill set that has evolved dramatically over his UFC career. His striking has improved with each fight, and his takedown defense has become rock solid. His footwork and boxing combinations have looked sharp during his winning streak. He also shows excellent fight IQ, knowing when to push the pace and when to stay patient.

Patchy Mix presents a completely different set of problems for anyone brave enough to step in there with him. The submission artist has finished 13 opponents with chokes and locks, making him one of the most dangerous grapplers in the sport. Mix has been sharpening his striking while maintaining his elite grappling skills, making him a more complete fighter than ever before.

Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix MMA Betting Odds

The UFC MMA odds for this fight are in. According to BetMGM, Patchy Mix is sitting as a slight -180 favorite. Meanwhile Mario Bautista comes back at +145. These tight odds suggest bookmakers view this as a genuine pick’em fight that could go either way.

Mix’s slight favoritism probably comes from his record over the past few years and his finishing ability. Bettors love fighters who can end fights dramatically, and Mix has done that throughout his career.

Mario Bautista vs Patchy Mix Prediction And Picks

This fight will likely be decided by who can impose their game plan most effectively. Mix needs to get this fight to the ground early and often to maximize his submission opportunities. His wrestling should be good enough to secure some takedowns, but keeping Bautista down might prove more challenging than expected. Bautista’s scrambling ability and submission defense have improved dramatically during his winning streak.

Bautista’s combinations and footwork should give Mix problems as the rounds progress. Mix’s striking has improved, but it’s still not on the same level as someone who’s been trading leather with elite UFC competition for years. The longer this fight stays on the feet, the more it favors the proven veteran.

If we bet on the fight, we are going against the grain and betting on Mario Bautista to win the fight via unanimous decision.

(Image Credit: Vincent Carchietta – Imagn Images)

Mario Bautista

Patchy Mix

UFC 316

Zaid Quraishi

mma

I am a dedicated MMA and Boxing content writer at The Playoffs. I was instantly hooked on MMA after watching the fight between Lyoto Machida vs. Gegard Mousasi back in 2014, and since then, i have been an avid writer with a deep love for the sport and its techniques, providing readers with a thorough understanding of the sport. My favorite aspect of working at The Playoffs is the creative freedom it provides. The diverse range of topics, from listicles and SEO to news articles, keeps me engaged and motivates me to continuously improve my skills! I aim to capture the excitement of the combat sports world in my writing, acting as the middleman between fighters and their die-hard fans. It is kind of like a referee, but with words!