Apr 28, 2025; San Francisco, California, USA; Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) controls the ball against Houston Rockets forward/guard Amen Thompson (1) during the fourth quarter of game four of the 2025 NBA Playoffs first round at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-Imagn Images

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NBA Best Bets Today | Top Picks & Predictions for 4/30/2025

The NBA Playoffs First Round is coming to its close. Thus, the betting scene has become more unpredictable with each game as teams refuse to yield. In this article, you can find the predictions related to spreads and player props for the April 30, 2025, action.

NBA Best Bets Today – 4/30/2025

It is a dashing double-header day, with two of the most marquee affairs. First, the Houston Rockets will host the Golden State Warriors. It is a must-win game for Houston, which is down 1-3 after a hard-fought 3-point loss in Game 4.

On the other hand, the Los Angeles Lakers will host the Minnesota Timberwolves. They are in a similar predicament to the Rockets, down 1-3. They lost Game 4 by three points as well due to endless late-game errors.

Get your NBA best picks, and here are the NBA predictions for 4/30/2025 on BetMGM.

Best NBA Bets for 4/30/2025

Bet #1: Player Points: Stephen Curry O 26.5 (-115 at BetMGM)

Curry scored just 17 points in Game 4. It is the second time he has been held under the 21-point mark this series. But he has two 30+ point performances thus far. The sharpshooter has made 16 threes (4 per game) in the series thus far.

The Warriors guard is now receiving ample support from his teammates that he lacked in the first half of the Regular Season. He is cooking, and everybody is looking. I fancy him to close out the Rockers here with a big night.

Bet #2: Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Spread: Timberwolves +5.5 (-110 at BetMGM)

Anthony Edwards had a 43-point outburst in his last game, scoring 11 straight to begin the fourth quarter. That was the turning point of Game 4, and the Lakers’ defense has been exposed by the squad like that throughout the series. They have been unable to seize the big moments, and the Wolves have done well to carry the momentum they generated late in the season.

The Lakers have allowed the Timberwolves to score 115 or more in three of the four games, which is not playoff-level defense. Meanwhile, Minnesota has restricted the Lakers to 104 or fewer points on three occasions, continuing their regular-season defensive form.

These trends favor the Timberwolves heavily. While I see the Lakers eking out a win, I see Minnesota covering the + spread at the same time.

Bet #3: Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Total O 202.5 (-115 at BetMGM)

The Rockets-Warriors series has been more of a two-sided defensive battle. Game 4 brought the highest yield of 215 points. But before that, each of the three games had been under 200. Both the Rockets and the Warriors have touched the 109-point mark once. Apart from that, they have struggled to breach the 100-point territory. Jalen Green’s lack of performance has hurt the Rockets a lot as he has scored 15.5 PPG in the four games, a bloated scoring line because of a 38-point performance. I think as bad as Green has been, he is due for a big performance, and this can be the game where he can get going. It can increase the scoring tally in the Rockets’ case while I also expect Curry to have a big night, Thus, I am opting for “Over” here.

NBA Betting Trends to Know:

The Rockets haven’t covered the spread in three of the last four games.
Jalen Green has scored in single figures during six of the last seven games.
Jimmy Butler has gone “Over” his projected points mark in five of the last six games.

Final Picks Recap

Stephen Curry O 26.5 (-115)
Spread: Timberwolves +5.5 (-110)
Warriors vs Rockets O 202.5 points (-115)

Betting Tips of the Day

Bookmakers pay close attention while assigning odds. Often, there is a temptation to put on risky bets, but the odds can hit home more often than not. But there is an area to exploit.

When betting on the spread, it is usually wise to place a stake on the team that is in a better rhythm, as in the case of the Warriors and the Timberwolves. Thus, sometimes the bookmakers may be conservative, but there is a huge potential to make big on such bets.

Photo Credit: Kelley L Cox-Imagn Images

Anthony Edwards

Golden State Warriors

Jalen Green

Jalenm

Jimmy Butler

LeBron James

Los Angeles Lakers

Luka Doncic

Minnesota Timberwolves

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Shubham Singh

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Hi, I am Shubham. I am currently an NBA Predictions Writer on The Playoffs. I enjoy this job because it helps keep me in the loop about the game I love while fulfilling the pleasure I derive from stats. I got into NBA writing through social media interactions in the mid-2010s as I shared my takes on young talents such as D’Angelo Russell. I hope you enjoy reading my pieces as much as Dennis Rodman loved rebounding the basketball!