Jun 3, 2024; Paris, France; Alex De Minaur of Australia celebrates winning his match against Daniil Medvedev on day nine of Roland Garros at Stade Roland Garros.

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Alex de Minaur vs. Lorenzo Musetti Head to Head Record, Preview and Prediction for ATP Monte Carlo Masters 2025 Semifinal

The winner will face Alcaraz or Davidovich Fokina in the final.

Jun 3, 2024; Paris, France; Alex De Minaur of Australia celebrates winning his match against Daniil Medvedev on day nine of Roland Garros at Stade Roland Garros.

After coming through contrasting quarterfinals, 8th seed Alex de Minaur will battle 13th seed Lorenzo Musetti for a spot in the 2025 ATP Monte Carlo Masters final. Their match-up will be the second semifinal on Super Saturday, with Carlos Alcaraz taking on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the other half of the draw.

World No. 10 Alex de Minaur needed less than 45 minutes to book his final four spot – the Australian swept aside Grigor Dimitrov in dismissive fashion – serving up a historic double bagel. The demon leads the ATP Tour in terms of 2025 victories, winning 20 matches in this season so far. His other noteworthy victories at the Principality have been against Daniil Medvedev and Tomas Machac.

Managing to beat the defending champion and a three-time winner at the event, and that too from a set down, is no mean feat. This is exactly what Lorenzo Musetti achieved when he took out Stefanos Tsitsipas in the quarterfinal stage. The Olympic bronze medalist has reached his maiden Masters-1000 semifinal, and will enter the Top-10 of the rankings if he wins the trophy.

Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti Head to Head Record

The head to head record between Alex de Minaur and Lorenzo Musetti is tied at 1-1. They met in 2022 and 2024; consequently, Saturday’s semifinal will be their first duel on clay.

Alex de Minaur won the first meeting against Lorenzo Musetti – it came in Round-1 of the Australian Open in 2022. However, the Italian settled the score in this rivalry by emerging victorious in the 2024 Queen’s Club Round of 32 in London. With a title in Monte Carlo promising big things for both players (Top-5 and Top-10 respectively), there is a lot at stake.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2024 Queen’s Club	Round of 32	Lorenzo Musetti	1-6 6-4 6-2
2022 Australian Open	Round of 128	Alex de Minaur	3-6 6-3 6-0 6-3

Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti Titles Comparison

Alex de Minaur	Category	Lorenzo Musetti
0	Grand Slams	0
9	ATP Singles Titles	2
1	ATP Doubles Titles	0
0	Masters-1000 Titles	0
2	ATP-500 Titles	1
–	Best Olympics Performance	Bronze (Paris 2024)
No. 10	Current World Ranking	No. 16

Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti Monte Carlo Masters 2025 Prediction

6-0 (vs Machac)
6-3
6-2 (vs Medvedev)
6-2
6-0 (vs Dimitrov)
6-0 @alexdeminaur last ‘six’ sets at #RolexMonteCarloMasters 🤯 pic.twitter.com/KjIAeDBflJ
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) April 11, 2025

This will be an extremely tight encounter to call, considering the varied game-styles and impeccable form of both players. Musetti will play the waiting game – he has come back from a set down on three occasions this week. The 23-year-old will work his way into the match with slices and angles. Meanwhile, de Minaur will look to block out the buoyant pro-Italian crowd and attack the Musetti backhand. Whether or not he can neutralise the kick serve of Musetti consistently enough from his deep return position, and come forward to finish points quickly, will determine how this match pans out.

Prediction: Alex de Minaur in three sets.

Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti Monte Carlo Masters 2025 Betting Odds

Alex de Minaur Win: 8/11

Lorenzo Musetti Win: 11/10

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Alex de Minaur

ATP

Betting

Carlos Alcaraz

Lorenzo Musetti

Monte Carlo Masters

Tennis

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.