Jun 4, 2024; Paris, France; Carlos Alcaraz of Spain reacts to a point during his match against Stefanos Tsitsipas of Greece on day 10 of Roland Garros at Stade Roland Garros.

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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head to Head Record, Preview and Prediction for ATP Monte Carlo Masters 2025 Semifinal

The World No. 3 is looking for his second title of the season.

Jun 4, 2024; Paris, France; Carlos Alcaraz of Spain reacts to a point during his match against Stefanos Tsitsipas of Greece on day 10 of Roland Garros at Stade Roland Garros.

“Spanish never die,” declared a young Carlos Alcaraz at the 2023 Cincinnati Open final against Novak Djokovic. The seasoned fans of tennis are well aware of how true the phrase is – having seen decades of dominance by players from the European giant. Saturday will be no different, as World No. 3 Alcaraz meets the never-say-die attitude of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina for a spot in the ATP Monte Carlo Masters 2025 final.

Opening the year with a partially convincing 18-4 record, Carlos Alcaraz is entering the buildup to his title defence at Roland Garros. He has beaten the likes of Arthur Fils and Francisco Cerundolo en route to the semifinal stage, playing eight sets in three matches along the way. With an 82% win ratio in service games on clay since 2024, he starts as the firm favourite.

The challenger is none other than Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Like his Spanish counterpart, the 25-year-old also recorded his 18th win of the season on Friday, by thrashing Alexei Popyrin in the quarterfinals. ADF is a strong baseliner who has already made two finals in 2025, as well as his career-best finish of Fourth Round at the Australian Open. He has an 18-7 record so far.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head to Head Record

Carlos Alcaraz leads the head to head record against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-0. Their only meeting came in 2023.

The Spanish duo met at the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell in 2023, where the younger starlet emerged victorious in a closely contested quarterfinal. They have different approaches – Alcaraz will look to target the Fokina backhand, and Fokina will aim to play first strike tennis. A former finalist at this event and a new Top-30 entrant in the ATP Rankings, Davidovich Fokina is one win away from his second summit clash at the Principality.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2023 Barcelona	Quarterfinal	Carlos Alcaraz	7-6(5) 6-4

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Titles Comparison

Carlos Alcaraz	Category	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
4	Grand Slams	0
17	ATP Singles Titles	0
0	ATP Doubles Titles	1
5	Masters-1000 Titles	0
6	ATP-500 Titles	0
Silver (Paris 2024)	Best Olympics Performance	R3 (Tokyo 2020)
No. 3	Current World Ranking	No. 42

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Monte Carlo Masters 2025 Prediction

Once you step onto the court, there are no friends 😈

Carlos Alcaraz takes on fellow Spaniard Alejandro Davidovich Fokina tomorrow for a spot in his FIRST EVER Monte Carlo Final 👀#RolexMonteCarloMasters pic.twitter.com/MSaAuFq6Hh
— TENNIS (@Tennis) April 11, 2025

Although not much has changed in terms of ranking when they last met, this is the coming of age for Davidovich Fokina. A proficient clay court competitor, his wins against the two lefties – Shelton and Draper – were his best performances. However, his strong cross-court will be put through the wringer vs Alcaraz, as the four-time major champion is adept at matching power and changing direction. Claiming that it is important to play his best tennis early on during matches after his QF win, this is Carlitos’ match to lose.

Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Monte Carlo Masters 2025 Betting Odds

Carlos Alcaraz Win: 1/5

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Win: 7/2

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

ATP

ATP Masters 1000

Betting

Carlos Alcaraz

Monte Carlo Masters

Novak Djokovic

Rafael Nadal

Tennis

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.