Basketball / NBA W
29/09/2025 – 01:00
Odds updated on September 28, 2025 at 9:23 am
The Phoenix Mercury are one win away from the WNBA Finals after taking a 2-1 lead in their semifinal series with an 84-76 victory in Game 3. Phoenix’s trio of Satou Sabally, Kahleah Copper, and Alyssa Thomas powered the win, combining for over 60 points and controlling the game late.
Playing at home again in Game 4, the Phoenix Mercury have momentum and the chance to close out the top-seeded Minnesota Lynx, who have struggled to match their regular-season dominance in this series. Phoenix has also gained confidence from its defensive pressure and rebounding edge, which have tilted the matchup in its favor.
Minnesota faces a steep challenge with star forward Napheesa Collier sidelined by an ankle injury and head coach Cheryl Reeve suspended after her ejection in Game 3. Collier was the team’s leading scorer and centerpiece on both ends of the floor, and her absence leaves the Lynx searching for answers.
Guards Kayla McBride and Courtney Williams will need to shoulder more of the scoring load, while Minnesota’s defense must rediscover its regular-season form to extend the series. With the Mercury surging and the Lynx shorthanded, Game 4 in Phoenix has the feel of a decisive moment that could send the Mercury back to the Finals for the first time since 2021.
Same Game Parlay
Here are some same game parlays for tonight’s Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx game, according to FanDuel.
Same Game Parlay 1
- Satou Sabally – To Score 15+ Points [-182]
- Kahleah Copper – To Score 15+ Points [-128]
- Natisha Hiedeman – To Score 15+ Points [+360]
Parlay Payout: Bet $100 to Win $1,167 (total return $1,267)
Satou Sabally — To Score 15+ Points Sabally averaged 19.1 points per game in 2025 for Phoenix. She cleared 15 points in 11 of her last 15 regular‑season games and has multiple 20+ outings in the playoffs. With a usage rate over 30% and consistent shot volume, 15 points are well within her normal range.
Kahleah Copper — To Score 15+ Points Kahleah Copper averaged 15.6 points per game in the 2025 regular season. She’s hit 15+ in 15 of 27 games, including a 33‑point outburst against Dallas. Her three‑point shooting (37.7%) gives her multiple scoring paths. While streaky, her role as Phoenix’s secondary scorer makes 15 a realistic target.
Natisha Hiedeman — To Score 15+ Points Natasha Hiedeman averaged 9.1 points per game for Minnesota in 2025. She’s not a consistent 15‑point scorer, but she’s shown upside with games of 18, 19, 20, and even 24 points late in the season. She’ll need extended minutes and hot shooting from deep (37.1% from three) to clear this line.
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Same Game Parlay 2
- Kayla McBride – 3+ Made Threes [-130]
- Satou Sabally – 3+ Made Threes [+250]
- First Half Winner – Phoenix Mercury [-162]
Parlay Payout: Bet $100 to Win $902 (total return $1,002)
Kayla McBride – 3+ Made Threes [-130] Kayla McBride averaged 2.6 made threes per game in the 2025 regular season on 39.5% shooting from deep. In the playoffs, she’s been even more aggressive, attempting over six threes per game and hitting at least three in 7 of her last 10 outings. Her role as Minnesota’s primary perimeter scorer makes this a steady leg.
Satou Sabally – 3+ Made Threes [+250] Satou Sabally averaged 1.7 made threes per game on 32% shooting in 2025. She’s more streaky than McBride, but she’s had multiple playoff games with 3–5 makes when her outside shot is falling. Phoenix often spaces her on the wing to open driving lanes for Copper and Thomas, so volume will be there, it’s just about efficiency.
First Half Winner – Phoenix Mercury [-162] Phoenix Mercury has been strong early in this series. In Game 3, they led 48–44 at halftime before pulling away late. Kahleah Copper scored 17 first‑half points on 8‑of‑9 shooting, showing how explosive they can be out of the gate. With home‑court energy and Minnesota missing Collier, Phoenix has a real edge in the opening 20 minutes.
Same Game Parlay – Long Shot Special
- Courtney Williams — To record a double-double [+480]
- Alyssa Thomas — To record a triple-double [+350]
- Monique Akoa-Makani — To record 6+ assists [+720]
Parlay Payout: Bet $100 to Win $21,402
Courtney Williams — Double-double (+480): Courtney Williams averages 13.6 points, 4.9 rebounds, and 6.2 assists in 2025. She has multiple games with 9–13 assists and 7–9 rebounds, plus consistent scoring in the teens, making a points+assists double-double her most realistic path. The line is long because rebounds are the swing stat.
Up to $300 Bonus Bets per day for 10 days (max $3,000 Bonus Bets total).
21+ and present in AZ/CO/CT/IA/IL/IN/KS/LA (permitted parishes only) /MA/MD/MI/NJ/NY/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY. Minimum $10 first deposit required. Promotion Bonus will be credited to your account within 72 hours settlement of Qualifying Wager. First online real money wager only (minimum $5). Bonus issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets that expires in 14 days. Bonus bets and NFL Sunday Ticket code will be issued within 72 hours of bet placement. See full terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com.
Alyssa Thomas — Triple-double (+350): Alyssa Thomas led the league in triple-doubles this season and delivered a 20-11-11 in the decisive Game 3 vs. Liberty. Her usage and role as Phoenix’s centerpiece give steady points, rebounds, and assists volume. Given her recent run, +350 reflects real upside for a milestone.
Monique Akoa-Makani — 6+ assists (+720): Monique Akoa-Makani averages 2.7 assists but has several 6-assist games (e.g., vs Aces and vs Fever) and earned 3–6 dimes regularly with starter-level minutes. She needs extended run and clean spacing, and if Phoenix Mercury staggers her with Alyssa Thomas, the playmaking bump makes this live despite the long number.
The above odds are sourced from FanDuel. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game in all sports!
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