WNBA Best Picks: Same Game Parlay & Prediction for Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Semi-Finals Game 2

The Minnesota Lynx head into Game 2 of the WNBA semi‑finals with a 1–0 series lead after flipping the script on the Phoenix Mercury in the opener. Phoenix dominated the first half of Game 1 with 47 points before the break, 42 of them in the paint. But Minnesota’s halftime adjustments shut that lane down.

Led by Courtney Williams’ 23 points, 8 rebounds, 7 assists, and 5 steals, plus Kayla McBride’s 21 points, the Lynx outscored the Mercury 42–22 in the second half to seal an 82–69 win. Napheesa Collier added 18 points and 9 boards, anchoring a defense that held Phoenix to just 3‑of‑23 from beyond the arc.

For Phoenix, Kahleah Copper’s 22 points and Alyssa Thomas’ near triple‑double kept them competitive early, but the supporting cast struggled to convert, and the offense stalled under Minnesota’s pressure. In Game 2, the Phoenix Mercury must find consistent perimeter shooting to complement their inside game and avoid another second‑half collapse.

The Minnesota Lynx, meanwhile, will look to replicate their defensive intensity and balanced scoring to protect home court and move within one win of the Finals.

Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Same Game Parlay

Here are some same game parlays for tonight’s Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx game, according to FanDuel.

Same Game Parlay 1

1st Half Winner – Lynx (-225) + Alyssa Thomas to Record a Double‑Double (-165) + Napheesa Collier to Record a Double‑Double (+200)

Parlay Payout: Bet $100 to Win $596 (total return $696)

1st Half Winner – Lynx (-225) Minnesota has been one of the league’s most dominant home teams, going 20–2 at Target Center this season. While they trailed at halftime in Game 1, they’ve won the first half in 65% of home games and tend to start faster after a close call. Phoenix’s defense allowed 50% shooting in the first half of Game 1, and if the Lynx clean up early turnovers, this is a high‑probability leg.

Alyssa Thomas to Record a Double‑Double (-165) Alyssa Thomas is a triple‑double threat every night, averaging 11.4 rebounds and 8.1 assists in the postseason. In Game 1, she finished with 18 points, 8 rebounds, and 7 assists just shy of the mark. Historically, she’s posted a double‑double in 6 of her last 8 playoff games against Minnesota. Her combination of rebounding and playmaking gives her multiple paths to hit this prop, even if her scoring dips.

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Napheesa Collier to Record a Double‑Double (+200) Collier averaged 22.9 points and 8.4 rebounds this season, and she was one board short of a double‑double in Game 1 (18 & 9). In the regular season vs. Phoenix, she hit this mark in 2 of 3 meetings. With the Mercury focusing defensive attention on Kayla McBride, Collier should see more rebounding opportunities, especially on the offensive glass. At +200, this is the high‑value swing leg of the parlay.

Same Game Parlay 2

Natisha Hiedeman to Score 10+ Points (-106), Satou Sabally to Score 10+ Points (-520), Napheesa Collier to Score 20+ Points (-176)

Parlay Payout: Bet $100 to Win $258 (total return $358)

Natisha Hiedeman to Score 10+ Points (-106) Natasha Hiedeman has been a spark plug for Minnesota’s offense, averaging 11.2 PPG in the postseason and hitting double figures in 6 of her last 8 games. In Game 1, she poured in 12 points on efficient shooting, including 3‑for‑6 from deep. With Phoenix’s defense keyed on Collier and McBride, Hiedeman should continue to get clean looks from the perimeter, making this a near coin‑flip price with solid upside.

Satou Sabally to Score 10+ Points (-520) Sabally is one of Phoenix’s most consistent scoring options, averaging 16.3 PPG this season. Even in her worst shooting nights, she still finds ways to get into double figures. She has scored 10+ in 27 of her last 29 games. Her size and versatility make her a mismatch for Minnesota’s wings, and she’ll likely see 35+ minutes in this must‑win spot. This is the safest leg in the parlay.

Napheesa Collier to Score 20+ Points (-176) Collier is the heartbeat of the Lynx offense, averaging 22.9 PPG this season and 24.3 PPG in the playoffs. She’s scored 20+ in 8 of her last 10 games, including multiple 25+ point outings against Phoenix this year. With the Mercury’s defense stretched thin trying to contain her inside‑out game, Collier’s high usage rate makes this a strong leg.

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Same Game Parlay – Long Shot Special

Napheesa Collier to Score 30+ Points (+660), Satou Sabally to Make 3+ Threes (+320), Race to 20 Points – Mercury (+142)

Parlay Payout: Bet $100 to Win $5,188 (total return $5,288)

Napheesa Collier to Score 30+ Points (+660) Collier has been the offensive engine for Minnesota all season, averaging 22.9 PPG and logging multiple 30+ point games in the regular season. In the playoffs, her usage rate spikes in tight matchups, and Phoenix’s defense has struggled to contain her in isolation. If this game stays close and Collier gets to the line 8–10 times, she has a realistic path to 30+.

Satou Sabally to Make 3+ Threes (+320) Sabally is a streaky but dangerous shooter from deep, averaging 1.7 made threes per game this season. In playoff games, she’s shown the willingness to fire from beyond the arc, including multiple 3+ make performances against top defenses.

With Minnesota likely packing the paint to slow Alyssa Thomas and Kahleah Copper’s drives, Sabally should see open looks from the corners and wings. If she gets hot early, this leg could cash by the third quarter.

Race to 20 Points – Mercury (+142) Phoenix Mercury came out firing in Game 1, building a halftime lead before fading late. They’ve hit the 20‑point mark first in 4 of their last 6 games against Minnesota. The Mercury’s perimeter shooting and transition attack give them a shot to start fast again, especially if Sabally and Copper connect early from deep. This leg pairs well with Sabally’s 3‑point prop for correlated upside.

The above odds are sourced from FanDuel. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game in all sports!